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Breaking News: Phillies Sign Geoff Jenkins

Posted by Tim Malcolm, Thu, December 20, 2007 08:32 AM | Comments: 13
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Just as I figured.

Jerry Crasnick of ESPN is reporting the Phils snatched Jenkins to a 2-year/$13MM deal with a third year vesting option. At the moment, it’s a preliminary agreement.

Jenkins is a nice fit for the Phillies, and will make up for about 60-70 percent of Aaron Rowand’s loss. It looks to be about $6MM for the first year and $7MM for year two, which isn’t disastrously high. It’s about what you’d figure for Jenkins. Of course, this means the Phillies arbitrary $10MM to spend this offseason has been reached (and a bit overdrawn). Does it mean the Phils are finished spending? I hope not.

As far as the team’s needs for 2008, they can still use another starter and another back-end reliever. Kris Benson may be the former, but there’s no indication the Phils are strongly looking for the latter. All in all, despite this good pickup, the Phils may be going into 2008 with the same problems as 2007.

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About Tim Malcolm

Tim Malcolm has written 1947 articles on Phillies Nation.

 
 
  • Posts: 0 JPH

    Yeah, they have it here too:

    http://www.mlbfleecefactor.com

     
  • Posts: 1650 Tim Malcolm

    Avatar of Tim Malcolm

    With a little more thought — I really like the deal.

    Let’s put away the “Jenkins will hit better in CBP” talk. Truth is, Miller Park is just as much a hitter’s park as CBP (park factors are almost similar). Of course, CBP is much more of a HR-hitter’s park, so you could expect this kind of line from Jenkins:

    162 G / 53 R / 25 HR / 71 RBI / .257 AVG / .318 OBP / .479 SLG

    That’s obviously over 162 games, so I’m thinking about 17-18 HR for Jenkins, with another 12-13 coming from Werth.

    To those who point to a black hole from 4-5-6, Jenkins lat year was 116 SO / 32 BB. Now, we lost Rowand, who was 119 SO / 47 BB, so we basically gained back what we lost. So don’t think we’re losing out on the strikeout end.

    Defensively, Jenkins isn’t bad, and with Werth, make up a pretty decent right field tandem. They should play off each other well; meanwhile, Victorino should thrive in centerfield, his natural position.

    Where does Jenkins hit?

    I like the order of Rollins/Utley/Burrell/Howard/Victorino/Jenkins/Helms/Ruiz
    With a compliment of Rollins/Victorino/Utley/Howard/Burrell/Dobbs/Werth/Ruiz

    Those aren’t bad orders. Capable of 6 runs per game, easily.

    Jenkins had to be done. I would’ve rather seen Shannon Stewart in the outfield, but Jenkins is more of a sure thing and a lefty, which I suppose they really wanted because Werth was enough to start half the games.

    But now it’s time to focus on the mound. They must.

     
  • Posts: 0 Lea

    Tim,
    Not that i have a lot of experience filling out a batter order, but why put Vic behind Howard? are you assuming that the big man will either clear the bases or be heading back to the dugout when Vic gets to the plate? because my first reaction was that Vic’s speed would be compromised running behind the big man?

     
  • Posts: 1650 Tim Malcolm

    Avatar of Tim Malcolm

    Lee,

    I thought of that as well, but I loved Burrell in the 3-hole last season, and it does break up the potential for K/K/K when the big boys come to the plate (not that I should care about that, as I dismissed that claim above). Still, I completely understand that Vic shouldn’t be comprimised running the bases. Regardless, a lineup — as we saw from Manuel last year — is an ever-changing beast.

     
  • Posts: 0 Gavin

    Otsuka…why hasn’t Gillick signed this guy yet. He’s the best reilver out there. Geeeeeez.

     
  • Posts: 0 Sean P.

    I like the deal however, i see alot of write-up about Jenkins sharing time with Werth. I have to ask why pay a guy 7mil a year to platoon his position?

    Jenkings seem like an everyday player to me, especially the money the Phils are paying him…

     
  • Posts: 0 Jon

    “Dastardly high?” Dastardly means cowardly, Mr. Malcolm. Did you mean disasterously? Anyhow, I hate when my English is corrected, so its nice to pay that forward.

    Burrell in the 3-hole was a result of being on a TEAR (one we had never seen in his career), coupled w/ Utley’s injury. Utley’s the best #3 in the NL, other than Puhols. I leave him there.

    The incoming Adrian Beltre can bat 5th!

     
  • Posts: 1650 Tim Malcolm

    Avatar of Tim Malcolm

    Jon, I should’ve disclaimed (though I never really made an introductory ‘this is how I write’ post) by saying sometimes I use adverbs that don’t fit the point of the sentence, but whose sound conjures the mood of the sentence. Yes, that’s how I write.

    Regardless, though Burrell was on a tear, his high OBP number is welcomed in the 3-hole. Yes, Utley may be the best No. 3 guy in the league, but that doesn’t mean you keep a static lineup 162 times. Change is good.

     
  • Posts: 0 NateB

    I like the addition of Jenkins… in 162 games he puts up numbers similar to Burrell’s, and at a fraction of the salary. I think the lineup is still the best in the league, so now all focus should be on pitching. Chad Durbin was a good pickup too because if someone gets injured he can be a fill-in starter with about a 4.50 ERA. The bullpen still has way too many holes in the middle… please no more 40 year old guys who should have retired years ago… I agree that Otsuka would be a great pickup.

     
  • Posts: 0 Chris.I

    I’m kind of in the middle on this Durbin situation…Jenkins was a great pick up, but to be honest I would of been happier with Cameron (adds more speed on the bases than Jenkins). Either way I’m happy we filled the CF position. On the other hand If this is the last trade in the off season, than I highly doubt this pitching staff is going to carry us far this season. It seems to me the Phillies know theres no good arms available this year in the free agency market, and thats the reason there only signing one year deals. (In other words) There more looking to the 2009 season.

     
  • Posts: 1650 Tim Malcolm

    Avatar of Tim Malcolm

    On Cameron vs. Jenkins, one point to think about:

    Now the Phillies have a viable lefty bat to come off the bench a little less than half the year. Say Cameron was in there. Our regular bench would be:

    Werth/Cameron (two righties, similar in style)
    Dobbs/Helms (lefty/righty, similar in style)
    Coste (righty, singles/doubles hitter)
    Bruntlett (righty, not a hitter)
    Snelling (lefty, not reliable yet)

    Instead, we have Jenkins, who fills our big lefty bench bat quota well.

    Also, Cameron will probably command slightly more dollars. The Phillies allegedly don’t have slightly more dollars.

     
  • Posts: 0 Chris.I

    Tim,
    I’m completley fine with the trade (trust me). Offensively there pretty much the same player. Cameron seems to have a slight edge over in defense, and speed. That’s all. But here is one point not to over-look either….Jenkins was also 0-8 at citizens bank park last year. I think Jenkins adds strong depth, and power to the offense however. Great move. I do agree with everyone about signing Otsuka. I know he’s not our savior, but we would definitly look like were trying to strengthen our bullpen for once, and prove that were trying to clinch the NL East. It’s obvious we don’t have top quality starting pitching, so were going to be going into our bullpen alot this year, so it’s definitly a weak spot we need to upgrade to have a chance.

     
  • Posts: 1650 Tim Malcolm

    Avatar of Tim Malcolm

    Instead of getting one lights-out back-end guy, it may be worth it to just stockpile three or four guys like an Otsuka. Having multiple guys who might be able to hack it in the 7th and 8th has to work just as much as one static reliever.

     
 
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