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The Next Moyer? For Blackley, It Could Happen

Posted by Tim Malcolm, Wed, March 05, 2008 05:50 AM | Comments: 10
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With one week down in Clearwater, we can begin to shed the preliminaries from our skin. The tune-up games have waned away, and now the Phillies will start looking hard at the major battles for 25-man roster spots. As early as the Spring is (and we have to remind ourselves this), a few concerns have begun to appear from the fresh Florida grass.

The big concern still has to be the bullpen. While the only injury of the Spring so far, Brad Lidge’s knee ailment was probably the one injury nobody wanted. Though Lidge and doctors are very optimistic, and Lidge looks to be slated for a pre-Opening Day return, you can’t help but question the stability of the Phillies relief corps. Behind Lidge is Tom Gordon, who won’t completely strike fear in opposing hitters anymore. And behind him is JC Romero, who I’m convinced shouldn’t be facing right-handed hitters. Ryan Madson — if one outing means anything — looks at least competent to handle the seventh inning, but one sure thing out of four? No thanks.

Of those competing for the final bullpen spots, nothing sticks out (I’ll get to Travis Blackley in a moment). Shane Youman’s control is suspect if best, while Fabio Castro still doesn’t look ready for primetime. Vic Darensbourg, 38, could very well emerge as the dark horse LOOGY, which can’t be the optimum plan. From the right side, Lincoln Holdzkom doesn’t seem to show the legs to be held onto the 25-man roster all season. I can’t see him making the club anyway. Francisco Rosario has a shot. Chad Durbin and JD Durbin may cancel each other out and allow Kris Benson to slide in without even throwing a pitch. None of the prospects outside of JA Happ should make the team — no matter how well Carlos Carrasco pitches, he must start the year in the Minor Leagues.

But the other Rule V pick, Travis Blackley, has been a pleasant shock to many so far. Baseball America’s No. 63 prospect in 2004, he’s thrown six scoreless innings so far and seems to be the lead man in most pitching races. As a lefthander, he could sneak into the LOOGY race, but I think that’s wasting a pitcher with considerable stamina and multiple pitches. He carries two fastballs, a devastating changeup and a slider. And I found this article from 2004 where Blackley was referred to as … here it comes … the next Jamie Moyer.

Yes, the comparison came because Blackley and Moyer both throw changeups, aren’t hard throwers and are lefties. And they were both Mariners at the same time. That helped. But put in perspective the comparison to the Wise Old Man, and suddenly, there’s real potential for Blackley to shine in Philadelphia. Cole Hamels has cited Moyer as a reliable instructor and veteran voice helping him as a young lefty; while I’m not in Clearwater, something tells me Moyer may be showing Blackley a thing or two. I mean, if Blackley is so much like Moyer, wouldn’t you think they’d have some sort of interaction?

That bodes tremendously well for the Phillies. While Blackley hasn’t had anything resembling Major League numbers since 2004, under the right tutelage and with just enough of the right stuff, there’s no reason to think he couldn’t pitch every sixth day, and with quality.

Blackley’s strengths are perfect for the Phillies and Citizens Bank Park. In his first Spring performance, he struck out two while making four ground out. And ground out pitchers with the ability to strike out a guy once in a while are at a premium in Philadelphia.

I really hope Blackley pans out over the next few weeks and the Phils decide to add him to the 25-man roster. He may start out as the LOOGY, or in a general mop-up/middle relief role. But at some point, he may likely get a crack at the starting rotation. It’s becoming more possible, from my vantage point, that Blackley could be starting some big games toward the end of the 2008 season.

 
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  • Posts: 0 Rob (the Phils fan)

    That is great to hear about Blackley, but am I the only one that thinks the Phils should take a look at Lohse for a one year 3-4 million? I dont know if Benson will be ready in time to do anything, and Blackley can be put in the pen as a reliable lefty out of the pen. Also i think a trade and where we eat salary for Eaton should be considered. Or a bad contract for bad contract deal.

     
  • Posts: 0 dan

    Anything to get Eaton out. I think we all agree on that, besides the Mets fans that occasionally pop their heads out of the holes they buried themselves in last September. I’ve been excited about Blackley from the start and I’m hoping he gets a shot at it. Here’s my question: What’s Benson been doing down in Clearwater? I haven’t heard anything about his progress at all.

     
  • Posts: 1650 Tim Malcolm

    Benson threw two 20-pitch bullpen sessions yesterday. Rich Dubee practically canceled out a possibility of him throwing in a Grapefruit League game, but Benson said he was feeling fine.

    And Mike Arbuckle denied any interest whatsoever in Lohse. It’s possible he could have some problems, which is why no one has bitten in the past two weeks.

     
  • Posts: 0 Ped

    Maybe we should stop hating on Adam Eaton. It’s a new year, maybe things will be different. I’m more concerned about Kendrick. Is it possible for him to lose a rotation spot if he continues pitch poorly?

     
  • Posts: 1650 Tim Malcolm

    Ped: Absolutely. I’m working on a Kendrick piece now. He has options remaining, so it’s very possible with a horrible start, he could go back down to the Minors for some re-tooling.

     
  • Posts: 0 xfactor

    I can’t see how Blackley won’t make the team given the lack of lefties in the pen behind Romero. Not to mention Romero isn’t a sure thing to hold on to the set up role. Even with Blackley the Phillies need another lefty behind him. The other contenders are JA Happ, Fabio Castro, Shane Youman, and Brian Mazone. Josh Outman isn’t ready, though he may show up later in the season.

    Bottom line: Barring injury, Blackley will be there on opening day as the Phillies first Aussie. In slang: Blackley is a pretty spiffy bloke who’ll be bottling his blood’s worth for the Phillies this season. He’ll be a tall poppy to his cobbers from down under.

     
  • Posts: 0 Mike

    Does everyone remember last year how Eaton got shelled in almost every single spring training start, then blew it off by saying he doesn’t try in spring training? Well if he has another 2 or 3 bad starts, the Phils should absolutely NOT take a chance on him this year. I realize that the options behind him are unproven, but let’s be serious, can they really do worse than a 6.50 era? BLACKLEY FOR 5TH STARTER.

     
  • Posts: 0 typhoon

    Unless Eaton starts the season on the DL, he will be the fifth starter. Even with Eaton as the fifth starter I still think Blackley will be in the bullpen and if Eaton falters Blackley will have his chance to start. Right now I think the other spot with go to Francisco Rosario. If the Blackley gets moved the the rotation and need another lefty in the pen they can call up Happ, Castro, or Youman (I think he has an option left) and Darensbourg could probably be had on a minor league deal as insurance. Zagurski will be healthly if they need to call him up later in the season.

     
  • Lol @ Mike’s comment. On paper you damn sure can’t do worse than a pitcher with the highest ERA. I haven’t been able to check out too many of the spring training games yet just the one against the Yankees but with that said if Blackley has the upside that everyone seems sold on and the Phillies get their damn bullpen issues straight, testing him out as the 5th starter is worth a shot.

     
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