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The Day After: It’s Only June

Posted by Tim Malcolm, Mon, June 23, 2008 10:50 AM | Comments: 22
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The Phillies finished the homestand 1-5, are 3-9 in their last 12 games and are suddenly hanging on for dear life to first place in the National League East.

So how do you feel?

Bill Conlin today wrote a meandering (when is he not meandering?) reassurance that this team isn’t completely doomed. But it sure didn’t read like it — 87 wins, here they come, he wrote.

It doesn’t look as if the Phillies are that 100-win team Jimmy Rollins predicted before the season began. Truth is, teams don’t win 100 games anymore. There’s too much parody in baseball. The fifth starter, injuries and ballparks make it difficult for teams to break into 90-win land. The Phils can still win 90 games.

Are the Phils the best team in the NL East? Well, yes. Obviously the Marlins aren’t going away. Obviously the Mets have a lot of juice in them. Obviously the Braves will fight as well. It’s June. It’s very early, still. But so far the Phils have been the best team.

The 1-5 homestand was a real kick to the collective jewels of we fans. I stated the Phils had to go 4-2 to send a message to the rest of baseball. Instead the message was “we ain’t so hot after all.” Face it: The Phils faced baseball’s best teams, they lost — not miserably, though. The holes were exposed.

And those holes:

  • They can’t hit the breaking ball. Like Pedro Cerrano, this team feasts on No. 1 and No. 1 only. And if guys aren’t quite picking up the fastball, well, good luck.
  • They need at least a No. 3 starter. Brett Myers pitched well, but not well enough to go eight innings against Los Angeles. Jamie Moyer, Kyle Kendrick and Adam Eaton aren’t going to beat the best teams. They need a guy who can beat the best teams.
  • They need to manufacture runs. The Rollins/Dobbs double steal yesterday was phenomenal. All Ryan Howard had to do was hit one in the air; heck, ground one to the right side. He couldn’t. When things aren’t going your way you have to do little things that’ll get the job done.
  • The biggest warning sign of all, however, is the inability of the C-class players to step up sometimes. Those players: Pedro Feliz, Geoff Jenkins, Carlos Ruiz. I’m always thinking, “now they’ll get a big hit.” But they don’t. So far Jenkins hasn’t been that good. Ruiz has been horrendous. Feliz? He’s worth exactly what he’s worth, but when the guys around him are struggling, he looks worse. Bottom line: With the middle guys in a slump, these three have to perform better. They haven’t.

So now the Phils travel to Oakland, then to Arlington, to face two teams who are probably as good as the Cardinals club they dropped two games to last weekend. Oakland will throw good pitching at the Phils — likely shutting down the offense while Moyer/Kendrick/Eaton give up a couple runs and the games, while the Rangers will try and bash Myers and Moyer into oblivion. I could forsee a 2-4 trip. But that’s with the way things are going now. All we know, they could go 5-1.

If they do, I won’t get my hopes too high. As we all know, it’s only June.

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About Tim Malcolm

Tim Malcolm has written 1947 articles on Phillies Nation.

 
 
  • Posts: 0 Paul

    I’ll be at the Wednesday game. I hope Phillies bats decide to show up there too… come on Phils!

     
  • Posts: 0 JPK

    Anybody from the PhilliesNation going to be at the game on Tuesday in Oakland? I’ll be there!!!!

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    Our 3, 4, 5, hitters suck balls again good pitching. How many times did Pat the Bat go down on a called-third strike this weekend?

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    Chase will bust out of this soon and he’ll hit .315 or so this season….. Burrell and Howard will be lucky to have their averages at .270 when the season ends

     
  • Posts: 0 Joshua

    just dont hope that chase will wait till august 5th to hit .315 again

     
  • Posts: 0 PSU Fan

    I blame this whole losing streak on J-Roll’s new song when he comes up to bat. If that’s what get’s a guy pumped on his way to the batters box, no wonder he’s doing horrible.

    PS. What song is that? I want to write a letter to that record company asking for that artist to be dropped from his label.

     
  • Posts: 0 Frank

    Can we leave Moyer out of this “he’s a problem” discussion?

    The guy has made 56 starts here and won 26 of them outright. 200 IP last year- and will make a serious run at the number again. Never misses a turn.

    He won 14 last year- and could win 15+ this year.

    All on a sane contract.

     
  • Posts: 0 Frank

    Manufacture runs?

    You have to be a little fair. Rollins, Utley, Howard and Burrell are never going to be the sort of players who give up at bats to move runners over, look for pitches to hit the other way, etc. They’re all 30+HR guys playing in a big fly park. That is $50 million in payroll to hit 3-run HRs, not play situational baseball.

    I guess you could do it with the 6-8 hitters. But we have zero high OBP, good speed, good bat control guys down there- unless you want to move Victorino down somewhere or find more at bats for Taguchi or Bruntlett? No one who plays a lot right now can run- and the catcher has got to hit somewhere. Plus, I think, with this line-up you want another “traditional” RBI guy in the six hole, not a slasher.

    I dunno… if I could add a bat to this line up in the six/seven spot, I’d go for a .280. 22HR RBI guy rather than a .350 OBP guy to manufacture RBI opportunities for Coste, Jenkins and Ruiz.

     
  • Posts: 0 Bruce

    Tim~ Exactly! It’s only June. The reality is that more than half of the season is to be played. When the team got on a recent hot streak and had first place all to themselves, some fans here got carried away and raised their expectations unrealistically. In a 162 game schedule, the only sure bets are 1) winning streak, 2) losing streak and 3) injuries. It’s inevitable that all clubs will have those experiences during the course of a long season.

    As Bill Conlin wrote and reminded, this is no time for panic; concern..yes.
    Prior to the season opener, I had questions about the team’s pitching in general and the depth of their bench. I felt the team could win 89-90 games and a decent chance to make the playoff in spite of those question marks. I felt strongly that there would be a season long
    “dogfight” with the division rivals, Mets and the Braves. My thoughts at the time were made on an unemotional, even-keel slate.

    Today, as I look at the bigger picture, I see little that would change my original views back in March. Pitching issues still remain and been hounded relentlessly here with thoughful comments and more often with emotional rants. One of my major concerns was the bullpen and weather or not Lidge could stay injury free and fulfill the role of closer. As season approaches the halfway mark, I must say the bullpen has been the most pleasant surprise and the team’s most valuable asset.
    Last season when the Phillies made their move on the Mets, their offense was not totally reliant on the long ball but also were able to manufactured runs with Rollins and Victorino leading the way. The team also benefited with their bench, especially with the hot bat of Jason Werth.

    I feel the team must use this same approach for the second half. The bottom half of the batting orde(Feliz/Jenkins/Werth/Ruiz) obviously need
    to pick up. This team can not live by the home run if they are to make a successful run to the playoffs.

    Obviously, the pitching for the rotation is a sore point for all of us and we can only hope that the Phillies’ front office can address the issue with a pre-deadline trade for a quality pitcher that can instantly help the team for the second half run. Otherwise, we will have to rely on Myers to make a turnaround and have the kind of success he had in the past. Let’s face reality; Without further changes, the Phillies’ hopes will rest on the arms of Moyers, Kendrick and Eaton (besides Hamels & Myers).

    One other note. Like most teams, Phillies are a very good fastball hitting team and are among leaders in several offensive categories. Their hitting approach has been successful for past years (including last year’s division title). That won’t change. On the other hand, they can be patient as needed (see Utley, Burrell, Werth). I’ve seen Rollins and more so of late with Victorino showing patience. Obviously, we need more of that for the rest of the line-up.

     
  • Posts: 0 Robert Walsh

    Why are you so down on the Phillies? This time of the season being in hunt is the most important part. The Phillies are in first place. Enjoy the fact that they are in first place. Remember 2007, all the other teams in the division are able to have a losing skid. The Mets are need of leadership and will fall apart in August. Florida will sink in the dog days. The Braves are living on their past Laurels. What can you say about the Nationals.

     
  • Posts: 0 Matt Kwasiborski

    I live down here in DC as well. Where is this newly claimed bar? I have to check it out!

     
  • Posts: 0 Mike T.

    The Phils will go 6-3 during the road trip, and will be back to a 3 game lead coming into the homestand.

     
  • Posts: 0 Phil

    Mike T. are you being sarcastic?

     
  • Posts: 0 Gavin

    I cant Blog about the Phillies right now…..too frustrating!!! The only way I survive the season is to step away when they have these tough patches……lets hope its a fucking patch.

    I’m superstitious so I have some habits I need to change to try and help them get out of this rut.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    Are the Cubs still “not a good team” … sweeping the White Sox.. and they have the most runs for, and lowest runs against in the NL. The best record in baseball..

    Just seeing where we are today..

     
  • Posts: 0 Phil

    Nope, Don M. I don’t think any teams in the NL are all that good. Phillies and Cubs are the best though.

     
  • Posts: 0 Ryan

    Parity, not parody.

    But yeah, that was a frustrating homestand. Of course the Phils had to let the Mets back into it – I always fear the Mets. Hopefully the Yankees can take two out of three this weekend, and the Phils can get back on track. I really don’t know what’s wrong with Howard. He can’t seem to hit anything. He has one good game, and we think he’s getting better, but then he resumes sucking.

     
  • Posts: 0 Phil

    Ryan, he had an RBI yesterday in a severely clutch situation. He’s been hitting pretty well overall lately actually. That whole 3-4-5 spot couldn’t do anything, not just Howard. Howard is the least of my concerns. The guy is batting .333 with RISP. That’s really good actually.

     
  • Posts: 0 Lewisauce

    He struck out like a dog on Saturday with RISP and two outs in the eighth inning and the Phightin’s down by two runs after Victorino lead an amazing near-comeback.

    I don’t even know what to say about Howard anymore. He comes to the plate, and I don’t feel the slightest glimmer of confidence. I feel utter despair, and anything he gives you is a surprise. When he does hit, I don’t feel like he proves he’s capable. I feel it’s a blind squirrel finding a nut. (Either that or the pitcher fucked up and left a fast ball over the middle of the plate.) .333 with RISP is good. But does anybody have his “late and close” stats? Are they good? Awful? Mediocre?

     
  • Posts: 0 Phil

    Utley’s BA with RISP is like .260 right now, noone is gonna get on his case though. I’m not saying Howard is more valuable than Utley or anything, but that HUGE slump Utley was in really hurt his BA and his BA with RISP. Howard may have an awful BA but at least he gets the hits when it counts. .333 with RISP means that 1 out of every 3 times he comes to the plate with RISP he gets a hit. That’s really good.

     
  • Posts: 0 Wes Helms' Big Fucking Pumpkin Head

    Leave Feliz alone. How quickly you forget the days when I was blocking out the sun with this boulder on top of my neck that I call a head. I collected the eqivalent of winning the PA lottery and all I gave you guys was a bunch of throws into the dugout and a heaping portion of infield ground outs. At least Feliz has power and a good glove. All I have is a big old brick-head and a sack of $100 bills I use for toilet paper.

     
  • Posts: 0 Matt

    The word is parity, by the way. Parody is the spelling for mocking comedy.

     
 
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