Friday Starter Candidates: Happ, Mazone, Durbin
Posted by Tim Malcolm, Thu, July 03, 2008 10:39 AM | Comments: 96
Posts
A lot of news today. Lots to update.
The Phillies will decide today who gets the start Friday against the Mets. It won’t be Carlos Carrasco, who suffered tightness in his right shoulder during his start last night.
Word is the spot will either go to James Happ, Brian Mazone or Chad Durbin.
It’s got to be Happ. He’s proven himself down in the Minors and deserves at least one start. He might not be the long-term solution, but there are no other options, especially with Carrasco going down. Mazone is 31; why bring him up when you have a legitimate younger guy waiting?

















Posts: 0 Phil
Happ got beat up by the Mets last year didn’t he?
Posted: 10:54 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Bruce
Does seniority count? ;-)
Compare their current records in AAA:
Mazone: 6-4, 3.18 ERA, 1.07 WHIP (note: just 12 BB in 85 inns)
Happ: 3-5, 3.86 ERA, 1.32 WHIP (note: 30 BB in 77 inns)
Personal choice: Mazone (keeping in mind the chance given to another senior member in the past.. Coste.)
Posted: 11:09 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 TJ
Happ did get beat up but showed promise if possible. He K’d 5 in 4 innings but did give up 5 earned.
Id like to see him go again.
Posted: 11:11 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 1650 Tim Malcolm
Well the statistics do bode in favor of Mazone, but I’m thinking about packaging Happ as a trade chip or something. Showcase him a little.
Posted: 11:12 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Phil
Yeah, well it might be hard to trade him if he gets annihilated by the Mets of all teams.
Posted: 11:14 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Phil
Mazone also had a sub 3 ERA in 06 and 07. Why hasn’t he ever been brought up and tested out?
Posted: 11:16 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 NC Jason
I think Mazone should be the choice. I also think you can not pitch Durbin because he pitched last night.
Posted: 11:17 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Griffin
Yeah, Happ lost the first game of a doubleheader last year against the Muts, I think.
I want Durbin to stay where he is. I don’t know what’s happening, but I don’t want him waking up from this dream season.
Posted: 11:18 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 NC Jason
I do not think it was Happ – wasn’t JD Durbin last year who lost the game?
Posted: 11:20 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Phil
JD Durbin actually pitches well against the Mets.
Posted: 11:21 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Griffin
yeah, Happ started a day game doubleheader against the Mets and gave up a homer to Reyes and was in trouble for most of his 5 innings.
Posted: 11:23 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 NC Jason
Whoever it is, it might turn out to be a slugfest and a long night for the bullpen. Hopefully tonight Cole can go deep into the game so the pen can rest
Posted: 11:27 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Don M
The Mets blow.. I think Happ should get the start, or be traded… this is his chance to come up and do well. And if they don’t want to give him that shot, they should try to move him.
Did Happ come up from AA or AAA to make that start last year? And last year the Mets were a whole lot better then they are this year, so Happ is throwing better, and the Mutts are hitting worse… I don’t like our chances vs. Santana (tough LHP eat the Phillies alive) but I think Happ can give us 6 strong and limit them to 3.. = quality start?
Posted: 11:27 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 NC Jason
For as much noise people make about Santana he really has not dominated, no CGs this year, 7-7 giving up 14 home runs – I would not call that a dominating pitcher. A decent pitcher who will keep you in the game, not not the ace they traded for. much like last year
Posted: 11:35 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 NC Jason
sorry for the extra “not”
Posted: 11:36 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Don M
He’s got a 3.01 ERA… and 103 K’s….
He’s nasty… some of his loses are like 3-2 games and stuff, where the NY Mutts don’t score him any runs, because they suck
Posted: 11:39 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Phil
NC Jason…W/L has nothing to do with how good a pitcher is. Look at his strike outs, ERA, IP, etc. He can’t help that he gets no run support and has lost 7 games. He has been pretty dominating.
Posted: 11:40 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Phil
Thank you Don M.
Posted: 11:40 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 philspan
Happ was injured last year and tried to play through it. He is healthy this year and should get the call. Mazone would be okay for a spot start though. Both are lefties.
To whoever posted the Mazone and Happ statistics, they are outdated:
Happ is currently 5-6 (poor run support is mostly to blame) with a 3.54 ERA, 104 strikeouts in 101.2 innings (He leads the International League in Ks), a 1.27 WHIP, 38 walks, 91 hits, and has given up 11 home runs. Opponents hit .243 off him and his Ground out/fly out ratio is 1.06
Mazone is currently 8-6 with a 3.28 ERA, 62 strikeouts in 109.2 innings pitched (the highest amount of innings pitched in the IL), a 1.15 WHIP, 22 walks, 104 hits, and has given up 14 home runs. Opponents hit .257 off him and his Ground out/fly out ratio is 0.68
Mazone’s ERA and WHIP are a little better but there isn’t a huge difference between the two in those stats. However Happ gets a lot more strikeouts than Mazone. Even when Happ started last year for the mets when he was hurt he had 5 strikeouts in 4 innings. Mazone has given up a few more HR than Happ, but its not a big difference either. Happ gives up more walks than Mazone, but Mazone gives up more hits than Happ. Happ gets a lot more ground balls than Mazone does so that would help him at CBP. I would go with Happ, its time for him to show he can be a ML pitcher. I would rather have him be the 4/5th starter in the future than pay somebody like Eaton big bucks to do it.
Posted: 11:44 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 philspan
Since Happ is leading the International League in strikeouts I wanted to see who lead the IL in Ks the past few years. JP Howell (now of the Tampa Bay Rays) did in in 2007 and our own Chad Durbin did it in 2006.
Posted: 11:49 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Griffin
Santana is just nasty and I hate him. He already beat us once this year and I fully expect he’ll do it again, but you never know, the Muts offense isn’t too great.
I heard that Moises Alou may come back for the Phillies series. So we’ll have to contend with Alou for the first three innings until he gets hurt and then it’s Endy Chavez time!
Posted: 11:50 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 TJ
I think the nod goes to Happ because he’s ” Whats HAPPening.” But in all seriousness I think this is the time for Happ to make or break his future with the Phils in the big leagues.
Posted: 11:52 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Phil
I was at the game with Santana vs Hamels and Hamels is basically a clone of Santana. He just is not as experienced as Santana. I guarantee you that Hamels will put up Santana’s Cy Young numbers sometime soon.
Posted: 11:53 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 NEPA
My choice would be Happ I think. I don’t know much about Mazone but there’s always a lot of talk on this site about Carrasco and Happ. If Carrasco can’t make the start, I’d like to see Happ come up and see how he reacts. We can see what he is really made of and stop wondering what kind of player we have down in the minors.
Posted: 11:58 AM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 fred
Durbin won’t make the start he pitched 2 innings last night. It’s gotta be Happ, he’s developed as far as he’s ever going too, and you never know e could end up being a Kendrick clone who just gets it done in the majors. Should that happen you can either trade him high or keep starting him until Myers is absoloutley ready to return.
Posted: 12:04 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 NC Jason
All true about Santana a lot of K’s and a solid era. But if the guy can not win games he can be the filthiest pitcher in baseball. What would you rather a pitcher who gets out but wins 17 or 18 games. Or Santana who will strike out about 7-10 per game but only be a .500 pitcher (which is what he is projected to be this year 13-13). One would think if he continues to pitch the way he has sooner or later he will start to win games. I am just suggesting that 7-7 pitcher is NOT what the mets traded for.
Posted: 12:05 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Don M
Yea but Santana is living up to his end of the bargin… with a 3.01 ERA… and 103 Ks…. his record should be more like 10-4 right now…. and then we’d be saying he’s the best pitcher in the NL.
Posted: 12:09 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 NC Jason
I agree – he is one of the top 5 pitchers in the game – but that really does not get a team anything at the end of the day it is about Ws and Ls.
Posted: 12:10 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 NEPA
Agreed Dom. There’s a huge difference between a .500 Santana this season and a .500 Eaton from alst season. At that difference is run support. The Met’s blow, simple as that. If Santana was getting run support he’d be looking very worth the money.
Posted: 12:12 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Don M
Right… which is why when teams spend huge money on a pitcher… who only plays in 35 of their 162 games… and they sign him for 7 years… they screw themselves for years to come.
If Santana was on the Red Sox, or the Phillies, or whoever he would have 10-12 wins right now
Posted: 12:15 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 NC Jason
This is a circular conversation because he is one of if not the best pitcher on a team that blows a fat one.
Posted: 12:19 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Griffin
Pitching Wins and Losses are a terrible stat. Look at ERA and WHIP, not pitching Ws and Ls which are dependant on your team’s offense and your team’s bullpen.
Johan is the best pitcher in baseball, unfortunately.
Posted: 12:22 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Phil
Eaton has 3 wins and Hamels has 8. Both should have 5 more wins than they do, but they get no run support. I’m not bashing Moyer or Kendrick when I say this, but those guys get TONS of run support, and they shouldn’t have as many wins as they do, well Moyer should. His last 3 or 4 starts he’s gotten no run support at all and lost the game eventhough he pitched well enough to get the win. The sooner people stop looking at W/L as the end all be all of a pitchers skill the quicker they’ll realize if a pitcher is good or not and the faster they’ll understand the game of baseball.
Posted: 12:22 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Don M
true dat.
“Drive Safely” and “Ohh, I heard there is a major backup on the turnpike!” are among the better things to say to Muts fans after they lose in Philadelphia.
Posted: 12:23 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Phil
“All true about Santana a lot of K’s and a solid era. But if the guy can not win games he can be the filthiest pitcher in baseball. What would you rather a pitcher who gets out but wins 17 or 18 games. Or Santana who will strike out about 7-10 per game but only be a .500 pitcher (which is what he is projected to be this year 13-13). One would think if he continues to pitch the way he has sooner or later he will start to win games. I am just suggesting that 7-7 pitcher is NOT what the mets traded for.”
You are contradicting yourself left and right…
Posted: 12:24 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 TJ
None of the blame can be put on Santana for his record, he keeps the team in games and its a shame that if he gives up 2 runs over seven and gets no run support that most of the time he’ll take a loss. He’s still a great pitcher no matter what his record portrays.
Posted: 12:25 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 NC Jason
How about your a met fan … drive off the Walt Whitman?
Posted: 12:25 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Don M
From the mouths of MLB players all over…. the most accurate stat to tell how good a pitcher really is… ERA!!! …I like WHIP too just because it lets you see how often runners are on.. like Myers and Gordon allow like 7 baserunner an inning, which is among the reasons why they suck
Posted: 12:25 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 NC Jason
What I am saying is if everyone is in agreement that the Mets suck – then give all of the personal accomplishments to Santana you want. He is still part of that team which sucks. In the case of an ace pitcher they are expected to win the close games (The 3-2 games he has been losing!). My inital comment of Sanatana not been dominate was taken to mean he is not a good pitcher, which I am agreeing that he is, but the mets were looking for a 20 guy to get them into the playoffs/ WS – and right now he is part of the collective sucking that goes on in Shea.
Posted: 12:31 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Phil
Yeah, I’m a Mets fan because I can honestly sit here and say Santana is a filthy pitcher and you’re a moron who judges a pitcher from his W/L. If you judge a pitcher for his W/L then Beckett would have won the Cy Young last year instead of Sabathia who owned Beckett in stats last year. Brandon Webb won his cy young with 16 wins eventhough there were a couple of 20 winners that year, but Webb outperformed everyone else in every other category. W/L is a team stat, you really need to realize that and not think I’m a Mets fan because I’m unbiased.
Posted: 12:32 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Phil
Santana doesn’t suck though, just the rest of his team…Whether he wins 5 games or 20 games, he still keeps them in the game and pitches great.
Posted: 12:33 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 NC Jason
Last game started by Santana
6.0 4h 3r 3er 4BB (that 8 people on base for the game) 8k 4.50 ERA
Posted: 12:33 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Phil
Oh wow, 1 start. Still a Q though. Want me to pull up Hamels bad starts?
Posted: 12:35 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 NC Jason
No I was saying what else to say to Met fans from don M comment above. Please read before posting….
Posted: 12:35 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Phil
Oh, my bad…I thought you were telling me to drive off the Walt Whitman bridge.
Posted: 12:36 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 NC Jason
No Met fans
Posted: 12:38 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Phil
I realize that now.
Posted: 12:40 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Griffin
3 of 4 this weekend would be nice.
Did anyone catch that Mets loss late last night. Feliciano the lefty specialist was brought in to face Duncan and gave up a homer. Sweet, just sweet. Those late losses just kill a team mentally. Good stuff.
Posted: 12:40 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 scot
Santana still is a great pitcher. There’s no doubt about that. He has given up 8 unearned runs though over the season, and even at unearned some of that has to fall on him for not being dominant enough to get out of the situations he’s found himself in. For example, when Mariners pitcher Felix Hernandez hit a grand slam off him last week? All four runs unearned.
Santana is still great, no doubt about it. But there are still at least a half dozen pitchers in the NL who’ve been better than him this season. Let’s not give him too much respect.
Posted: 01:03 PM on July 3, 2008
Posts: 0 Griffin
True, but he’s a notoriously slow starter and if I had to pitch one starter right now, I’d pick him. He’s the best pitcher in baseball and that’s not giving him too much respect.
Posted: 01:05 PM on July 3, 2008