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Is Happ Set For 2009 Spot?

Posted by Tim Malcolm, Thu, September 18, 2008 10:33 AM | Comments: 57
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JA Happ’s solid “I’ll bite, but you’ll have to beat me” start last night has allowed me to step out of 2008 and gaze into the 2009 season, just for a moment.

Happ has shown in a few starts that he can go deep enough to give his team a chance to win, while supplying the kind of arsenal that suffices for a No. 4 type starter. His fastball, changeup and sinker work very well together, and as he’s not afraid to challenge hitters, he seems to me more valuable than Kyle Kendrick (as of right now).

The 2009 Phillies have a nice problem — a lot of rotation-ready pitching. Cole Hamels, Brett Myers and Joe Blanton are signed on for 2009. For better or worse, Adam Eaton is, too. Happ, Kendrick and Carlos Carrasco are under the Phillies’ control next season. That’s seven pitchers who are automatically figured onto the rotation race for next season.

There are plenty of options. No need to go into trades or free agency (Jamie Moyer may return), but the Phils have plenty to work with when setting up the ’09 rotation. Judging by what you’ve seen from Happ, is he worthy of a spot next season? Where do you think he’ll end up?

 
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  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    The more I think about it, the less I think the phillies will sign someone of note in the offseason. They simply dont believe in spending that much money on starting pitching.

    hamels, myers, blanton, happ, moyer isnt a bad rotation IF myers is in form again and blanton is serviceable. i cant see adam eaton even being in phildelphia come april. kendrick probably wont even be in the rotation next year an di wonder, why did it take them so long to get happ up here? kendrick was done back in july….happ shouldve never been sent back down.

    now, i think if moyer doesnt come back, or even if he wants to, THEN you sign a notable solid starter, pushing happ to the 5th spot and leaving carrasco in AA to start the year, kendrick along with him. and adam eaton doesnt exist…

     
  • Posts: 0 I know Sal..

    I’d say as of today…Hamels, Myers, Happ, Blanton and Moyer. I think Kendrick gets bumped to bullpen.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    Carrasco was up in AAA to end the year, so he’ll probably start there next year.

    Moyer said he wants to return next season.. I think somebody said his family is still in Seattle, but I can’t see him sticking around to play for one of the worst teams in baseball, the Mariners.. so I expect him to resign here.

    Hamels, Myers, Moyer, Blanton, Happ… IF they dont sign somebody else… I’d love for them to overpay a Sheets for $50 M over 3 years… so you aren’t killed with him long-term… but I doubt they would do that.

     
  • Posts: 0 Gabriel

    lets not forget that kendrick went 10-4 last year, followed it up with a similar start to this season… maybe he is just gassed? given this ‘tuneup’ of a year, maybe he trains a little harder this offseason for stamina, i think that with stamina he’d be fine for all of next season

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    but even at 100%, his STUFF was never that great…. yea he had some good outings, but I dont think anyobody think Kendrick would ever be more than a #4 or #5 starter. Happ showed all year in AAA that he can be almost unhittable… and I think he’s deserved his shot up here, especially with Kendrick struggling now…

    I think hitters have adjusted to Kendrick quicker than he was able to counter.. now he’s paying the price. Especially when you read quotes from him saying that he isn’t doing anything differently..he feels fine, etc..

     
  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    yeah. i kind of think, given the eaton disaster, that if youre not going to sign a 1-2-3 type guy, then its not even worth it. Its safer to go with internal options at that point. i like derek lowe, but why overpay for someone thats going to be your 4th starter? the mariners overpaid carlos silva and he isnt even good enough to be a 5th starter….wasted money.

    now, if you can get sheets to come here for that deal then, hey, fine…happ and moyer battle it out for the 5th spot.

    i do think, however, that if moyer doesnt come back then you HAVE to sign someone as good as or better than derek lowe. having one rotation spot penciled in but not locked up (happ) is enough. because someone will slump or get hurt and you need to have one (carrasco), two (kendrick), maybe even three (anyone else: bastardo, stutues, savery) to come up at a moments notice. that kills teams when they cant call someone up like that.

    youd burn your pitching surplus if you wanted to trade for matt holliday, so i say an emphatic no to that. just sign a free agent to play in teh vacant outfield spot.

     
  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    kendrick isnt coming back until late next year, maybe. hes just not good enough. happ is your 5th starter right now, PERIOD. unless some dramatic thing happens in the offseason…

     
  • Posts: 0 OZ

    let Carrasco stay in AAA next year. Happ – its early still. however before last season’s injuries, he was clearly on the radar.

    Kendrick might be good in a trade – young, fresh start, cheap.

    i’d like to see: Hamels, Myers, Blanton (ugghh), Happ, Moyer.

    Ownewrship is loving this. They aren’t going to do d**k in the off-season now.

     
  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    i still need to see another late-inning reliever brought in here to sure things up a bit IN ADDITION TO keeping chad durbin and scott eyre around. (goodbye, rudy seanez).

    im simply no longer going to advocate paying all that money for pat burrell to stay here. i mean, hes not even mobile in left field and i cannot bear to see pat keep getting pulled in the 7th inning for so taguchi anymore. if greg golson was ready or was the real deal then hed be platooning by now. not ready, have to go sign free agent. stairs is in the mix but hes not a starter. so you need more power numbers from the corner outfield, knowing that werth is playing everyday still. milton bradley? 2 years is prob not enoguh unfortunately.

     
  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    id kind of let kendrick hang around AAA for a while…who else do they even send out there in AAA to start?

     
  • Posts: 0 Jack

    i love a good lefty but i certainly am not sold on Happ yet. One good start? Slow down people. And I’m definitely not one to throw away Kendrick yet. He hasn’t been the same lately. He hasn’t gotten that good downward diving action. It’s only been moving left to right, not down. And it’s been down the middle and about thigh high.

    He just needs a tune up. And when some pitcher goes down next year with an injury, because face it we’re due for an injury… Kendrick will be there to fill in.

     
  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    what about maybe getting a decent japanese starter? you can probably get a bargain there actually. kyle kendrick needs to develop one or two new pitches by starting the season in AAA and working his way back here.

     
  • Posts: 0 Greg B

    Wow, Geoff, I never thought I’d hear this out of you.
    Myers/Hamels/Blanton are locks for Phils rotation. You’d be an idiot not to resign Moyer after all he’s done for this organization and his performance this season. Even if he’s not as great as he was this year, his presence is definitely acknowledged by his teammates.
    Gotto go with Happ. Kendrick has this jaw-dropping ability to get out of jams when he’s on. Everyone on this site knows it or “Kendrickian effort” would never have been coined. Bottom line is that thriving on low averages in key pressure situations is a way to make a living, but its a dangerous one. Has Kendrick come unraveled at the seams, or have teams finally figured him out? You have to wonder with his stuff. I don’t have too much faith in Kendrick even when he’s on because he’s always one big hit away from getting shelled. I say Happ has proved he is a very viable option, but of course the contest doesn’t end here.

     
  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    you guys dont know how refreshing it was to watch happ strike someone out with high heat. when ahs kendrick ever done that?

     
  • Posts: 0 Jeremy

    Despite Myers’ resurgence I think he may be the best 8th inning option the Phils have. Maybe ask him shortly after the season ends if he wants to start or be the primary set-up guy for Lidge. If he wants to pitch the 8th, extend his contract two years with the promise that when Lidge’s deal ends, Myers will become the team’s closer.

     
  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    although, with the young pitching in the lower levels of the system ready to move up to AA and maybe AAA id kind of be ok with trading kendrick. we found out he doesnt have much other than being a nibbler. maybe if there isnt a free agent outfielder out there you can assemble a package for a decent corner outfielder?

     
  • Posts: 0 Phil

    Jeremy…that’s a horrible idea.

     
  • Posts: 0 mikem

    do you think mets sign burrell. and cc ,plus ulgala

     
  • Posts: 0 Phil

    I could see the Mets trading for Uggla. They already said they won’t sign CC.

     
  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    dude, why would you let myers be a setupman when hes thrown as many complete games in a month then hamels has ALL YEAR? also, who wants to pay their setup man 12mm per year? no, hell be in the rotation. go sign a good setup man in the offseason and be done with it. i think if you do that and leave the rest of the pen the way it has been then you have a great bullpen.

     
  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    any NL team taht signs burrell and has him play in the outfield is retarded

     
  • Posts: 0 Phil

    Unfourtantely Burrell makes sense for the Muts. Sign him to play LF and then throw him on 1st when Delgado’s contract is over.

     
  • Posts: 0 NC Jason

    While on another site – someone posted this link on youtube. Some guy fell asleep at Shea and the fans proceeded to stack cups on his head. The clip is nine minutes long but it might be the best thing Mets fans have ever done……

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kdnImqDmLqk

     
  • Posts: 0 Bruce

    Happ while not overly impressive with his “stuff” showed composure
    and good command of his pitches last night. He exceeded my expectations (and probably Manuel and Dubee) with six shutout innings. I now know he is a flyball typed pitcher getting 11 of the 18 outs that way. He is fortunate to pitch in a spacious park at Turner Field.

    I wonder if Happ will pitch Monday night against the Braves when the
    Phillies again will need a fifth starter to complete their rotation?
    As we all know, pitching in a bandbox that is Citizen Bank Park can
    be excruciating expecially for the inexperienced. If Happ does get
    the assignment, it will be an interesting test for him.

    Let’s go Phillies!

     
  • Posts: 0 Gabriel

    burrell on the muts is a funny thought… considering he is the ‘mets killer/nemesis’
    hopefully he does what jenks did here – nothing. jenks use to DESTROY us and look how he’s worked out this year hah
    anybody consider willy mo pena as a possible left fielder? maybe with chollie’s genius hitting coach abilities he could return to the bosox/reds from he was once feared for… plus he’s still young and would probably be cheap

     
  • Posts: 0 Greg B

    I think Jeremy was paid by the Mets to post that

     
  • Posts: 0 Eb

    I am all for trading Kendrick, but I would rather send him to AAA to develop an out pitch

     
  • Posts: 0 Eb

    Remember Webb was a little shaky until he developed a nice change. In no way am I saying Kendrick will become a Webb though

     
  • Posts: 0 Gabriel

    he needs both an out pitch and some more confidence.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    by the time Kendrick regains his confidence, and develops an out-pitch… Carrasco or some of the other young guys would be better options than Kendrick anyway…

    They need to get him ready for a long-stint as a AAA pitcher/ MLB fill-in guy… thats what he’ll be for the rest of his career with the Phillies

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    due to the off-day on the 25th. it looks like Hamels will get 3 more starts.. 18th, 23rd, and 28th..

    And the 28th, Myers would be available on a short-rest situation if he was needed… Hopefully that game won’t matter at all though!

     
  • Posts: 0 Gabriel

    Donnie M,
    your synopsis is normally spot on and for that i commend you… but…
    i think double K has the potential to be a solid 4 or 5 longterm for us, i think that with the development of an outpitch (ephus?? hahah) his confidence will be automatic and therefore be a career 10-13 game winner

     
  • Posts: 0 uguethurbina

    Sign CC. Cole,CC,Myers,blandton/happ/carrasco/kendrick,moyer… use the others as trade bait to fill our bench and/or bullpen. Bring in a legit 8th inning arm. Sold.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    Considering Hamels has 13 wins this year… and Moyer has 14 (i think)… you really think Kendrick has the TALENT to win that many games… He could get lucky and get great run-support, great defense behind him like he did all of last year… but I just see hitters always having the upper-hand on him..

    we can agree to disagree.. im fine with that.. I just dont think Kendrick has what it takes to stick around and be better than other guys in the organization.. I HOPE I’M WRONG…

     
  • Posts: 0 Manny

    I think we need a A-type pitcher (We should keep Hamels, Myers, and Moyer in the rotation and let Blanton, Happ, Carrasco fight for No.5 spot). We’ve been very lucky in that none of our good pitchers has been injured this season.

    But just think what would happen to our rotation without Hamels for a month? We need some insurance, and it must come in the form of a top pitcher. No.1 priority for 2009. Leave the offense intact if you have to.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    The offense is good enough as it is to win ballgames… you’d like to add a more consistent bat to the offense, but I would like to think that Werth and Victorino will only produce even better number as the get more playing time.

    Its kinda crazy to think that Werth, who is the type of player every team covets, has been under our noses for the past two seasons.

    I believe they have an option for him for next season, but they should lock him up for 3-4 years.. same with Victorino after next season.

     
  • Posts: 0 Matt Kwasiborski

    Urbina- you obviously have been stuck in jail to realize no #1 or #2 UFA has ever signed a FA contract to pitch in the Bank. And Sheets hurt his elbow last night and revealed he has been getting some shots for it, so he is out or do you want another Garcia?

    Happ has had some pretty solid starts this year in some pivotal team situations and has done real well. I don’t think last night was just a one time deal. I think he has more talent then Kendrick does and is a LH.

    Kendrick needs a couple of pitches added and confidence. Last year the pressure didn’t seem to affect him until the playoffs- which for a rookie isn’t bad. And he won games even if he had alot of run support. If he can add an effective pitch and keep his pitches low in the zone, then I think he is a solid candidate for 5.

    I can also see them using him as trade bait and putting Happ and Carrasco in that spot next year. But again, as I mentioned, they need to resign Moyer for the #3 spot.

    Rotation for 2009 unless some big pitcher does want to come here:
    1. Myers-he wants it more than Hamels right now in pressure situations
    2. Hamels- let him sit quietly here and learn how to become a 200+ inning pitcher one more year
    3. Moyer- a definite keeper and key to the rotation
    4. Blanton- signed, sealed and delivered to our rotation- accept it
    5. Happ,Carrasco, Kendrick- let them battle it out

     
  • Posts: 0 Fightin' Phils R Back

    All of you are giving Kendrick such a hard time…Sure as of the last few months he has stunk and lost confidence, but you all seem to quick to realize that Kendrick was the man who they brought up last year and got the job done all year long.

    It was the same situation that Happ is in now. Kendrick got a shot and everyone was like “whoa, where did this guy come from”, leave him in, he is a solid # 4 starter etc…etc…

    Now that he is having some difficulty, you seem quick to toss him back down. Remember he was a big part of the Phils success last year and deserves as much a spot as Happ did.

    The two are quite similar and Happ is so new, that hitters haven’t been able to figure him out because they simply haven’t seen him. That will unfortunately hinder him soon, but hopefully he will adjust.

    Who would have thought we would have too many pitchers for 09′? Well, then again, you can’t have too many pitchers EVER!

    My rotation sets up like this….
    Hamels, Myers, Moyer (lets hope they resign him), Blanton, Happ and have Kendrick start the year back in the minors to regain confidence – rest assured, he will be called up early in the 09′ season.

    As far as Eaton, his reputation here is so damaged he needs a fresh start elsewhere.

     
  • Posts: 0 mikem

    mets will sign rod,sheets burrell,plus 2 middle relief,and maybe cc if they can’t get sheets

     
  • Posts: 0 christopher

    as people have said, it’s all up to whether or not kendrick can develop a usable changeup or slider (or eephus!). he still has a future as a major league starting pitcher, but he might be spending some serious time in the minors next season. happ looks ready, although as was pointed out he was in a very pitcher friendly park and had one for sure, and maybe one or two more fly balls that would have been homers in many other parks. still, he has good command, good movement on his pitches, and good poise. at this point you have to give him another start, see how he does, and if he looks this good again then kendrick will have to come into spring training with a new pitch already developed if he hopes to make the big league rotation in 2009.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    I think HAPP lead AAA in strikeouts this year… Kendrick came from AA with a crappy record.. and did well because he could get groundballs, double-plays, etc..

     
  • Posts: 0 Gabriel

    i definitely enjoy the ‘problem’ of too much pitching…
    i put a little more faith in happ due to his swagger. his post game interview last night had zero nervousness. that is one intangible that is unteachable. brett has it, moyer has it, carrasco does not – obviously double K does not have it either.
    happ’s confidence is an enormous asset and should not be overlooked

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    Carrasco barely speaks english, so of course he’s going be nervous doing interviews with reporters..

     
  • [...] Nation speculates on what the Philadelphia rotation will look like in 2009 and notes the team sports plenty of starter-ready talent.  While his walks are on the high side, [...]

     
  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    the mets wont sign burrell. they wont sign k-rod either, and they wont sign CC sabathia. the mets will with brian fuentes and it will turn out to be a bad signing.

    omar minaya is an incompetent general manager. with ALL of that money they syhould have won 2 WS by now under him. hes made one good trade.

     
  • Posts: 0 Gabriel

    Donny, (your out of your element-hahah big lebowski)
    i think one of the reasons they project doubleC (carrasco) to plateau as a 3 or a 4 in the rotation is because he doesn’t have the mental makeup to be an ace, the stuff yes, but not the nerves.
    ruiz is a very good defensive catcher and his interviews are comparable to watching paint dry – but he is confident in his game, whereas i think (the much younger) carrasco only needs to mature a bit… people are speculating the same for our current ace – colebert. i disagree there, i think cole is the man, he just gets no run support.

     
  • Posts: 0 Matt Kwasiborski

    Gabe, no doubt Cole has the talent and has suffered from lack of run support this year, but right now- in a deciding game, who do you want with the ball? I mean, if you had to make that decision today? I think the Mets series showed us that Myers can shut a winning team down and right then Hamels did not. It doesn’t get much more prime time in the regular season then against the Johan and the Mets in Shea on the national game of the week.

    I love Cole and his stuff and has the talent to be an ace. I just don’t think at present moment he is ready to step up his game. Myers blew the Mets away against their #2 in Pelfrey. And Cole has never pitched this much in his life. I say let’s see how he does in the #2 role again if Myers’s head is truly cleared!

     
  • Posts: 0 Gehoff

    Mets have already said they have no interest in Fuentes.

     
  • Posts: 0 Gabriel

    i think that putting myers as the 1 will light a small fire under hamels…
    make him compete for the job like in football when they draft a young QB to make the veteran think about his job a little more…
    today i’d give the ball to brett because he WANTS it (he already has his contract perhaps?)

     
  • Posts: 0 Richie

    Freddy Garcia looked pretty good last night, he is auditioning for roster spots for ’09, granted he was damaged goods coming over, is that his fault? Wouldn’t mind having him as a fifth starter on a cheap one-year contract. Call me crazy, I know!!!

     
 
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