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Setting The Burrell Parameters

Posted by Tim Malcolm, Wed, November 19, 2008 12:38 PM | Comments: 71
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The one question that may determine the Phillies offseason plans is, of course, the Pat Burrell question.

It was reported yesterday that the club “set parameters” for a Burrell proposal. More or less, that means “we’re starting here, we’re ending here.” The Phillies know what amount they would give Burrell, and they know what amount they won’t give Burrell.

My parameters would start at two years, $23 million, with a third-year option at $15 million. Or: $11.5M / $11.5M / $15M.

My max is three years, $33 million, with no option, more money on the front end and performance incentives in the back end. Or: $14M / $11M / $8M / incentives up to $9M, kicking in as $3M in 2010, $6M in 2011.

I’m not keen on giving Burrell $11.5 M, then turning around and giving Jamie Moyer another $6M or so. Still, the Phils will have room to get another couple players with the cash remaining. Going up to $14M or $15M with Burrell is probably too much.

What are your parameters?

 
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  • Posts: 0 Manny

    Those parameters sound right. I think the Phillies are going more for the 2 years with third-year option. And it’ll probably be around 12M/year.

     
  • Posts: 0 Chutley

    i think Burrell will take a 3 yr 32 mill. he wont settle for a 2 yr with a club option

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    I don’t even know what “parameters” are… BUT.. they need to have a plan for Ryan Howard in place before they start giving Burrell extra years..

    If Howard being traded before he would become a Free Agent is where they are looking, then it would makes sense to hold on to Burrell, and let him move to 1st base if/when Howard leaves.. if that is the case, you could give Burrell a 4-year deal or something.

    If you want to keep Howard for the next few years and plan on giving him an extension… I wouldn’t go past 2 years with Burrell, because he’ll only get slower in the OF

     
  • Posts: 0 brooks

    I think the Phils put their limit on the line and I dont think they will move from that.

    Personally, as much as Pat means to the team, I thought Aaron Rowand was even more valuable and he left without a fight.
    Burells numbers will be difficult to replace, 30 hrs, 90(+) rbi but not too much as to worry about. Even if the Phils do not decide to test the market for another stick in LF, the idea of Dobbs platooning with Jenkins is not a hard one for me to swallow. Jenkins is not a .246 hitter, his lifetime BA is .275. He was on the AL All star team in 2003, hit over .290 in 3 seasons and will be 35 this year. He has pop and can drive in runs. True, he does not walk as much but hits with more efficiency that Pat and does not strike out as much (Pat averages 140 K’s a year, in years where Jenkins played over 100 games he averaged about 105 k’s). They both have about the same proficiency for GIDP (1349 games for Jenkins, 113; Pat has 104 in 1306 games).

    No need to sell Dobbs.

    Now, with the money being saved from Pat’s contract, get back to pitching. The pen put the Phils into the playoffs last year, no way around that. The group of pitchers that made up the pen are not rookies they peaked at the right time. I would not expect the same results as last year from the pen but I would do everything possible to a) get a quality starter &
    b) find even more help in the pen.

    Who are the Phils losing from the pen? Seanez & Gordon are the 2 I know for sure. Eaton (please!) should go and perhaps Kendrick could find another team that might use his ‘skills’.

    And finally, for the offense. Jimmy needs to resume the improvement he was showing virtually every year, even if we are looking at close to .290, close to 20 hrs and 50 SB’s; Ryan has to pick up his offense from the start. He cannot hit under .220 for the first 4 months of the season and Chase, well, we all are hoping (expecting actually) the MVP in him to come out and play for the entire season.

    Given an ever improving Victorino, Werth with a full year under his belt and a nice looking catcher in the wings (I love Marson), I’d say we are looking for a repeat if the Phils spend some real dough on pitching.

     
  • Posts: 0 Georgie

    Is there any way to find out what kind of offers Pat is getting from other teams. I hear people on ESPN saying he’s be better off in the AL as DH, but I don’t think they’re aware of the fact that Pat needs to be involved in the game if he’s going to hit. Selfishly, I’m hoping the other offers aren’t that great, so he’ll come back here for close to the numbers Tim gave. I probably wouldn’t give him much more than that, 2 yrs with a 3rd year option sounds ok, but I really like his stabilizing influence on the team, that’s something you can’t put a number on. Same goes with jamie, I’d give him 7M, his expertise in the fine art of pitching is immeasurable, and he’s a good role model for the younger guys.

     
  • Posts: 0 mikemike

    Brooks you just don’t get it Werth and dobbs are not good enough to bat behind Howard and make Pitchers pitch to him. People just dont understand if we don’t have a legitimate power hitter behind him they will just walk him all day.

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew R.

    I agree with the parameters set forth here. He’s pretty much a one-dimensional player. Doesn’t run at all, doesn’t hit for average, doesn’t play good defense, he’s got a strong, accurate arm and hits for some decent pop. That doesn’t sound like $15M a year to me, so about $11M or so sounds about right.

    Don M, no way does he go to first. They tried that back in 2000. He’s worse than Mike Piazza on first. Terrible. He just can’t move around over there. I’d bunt down the first base line every time up.

    I also don’t think we should invest in Howard for the long-term, (but this was a major topic in previous blogs). Gotta go after Hamels, and go after him hard. Pitchers like him don’t come around that often. We were lucky to get Steve Carlton and Curt Schilling via trade, but other than those 2, who were the best to come out of our farm? Fergie Jenkins?

    Burrell is a DECENT piece for our lineup, but if he walks, he walks. I don’t think there is anything wrong with a Baldelli/Jenkins/Dobbs lineup. Baldelli faces lefties, and would be a great piece to come off the bench to pinch-hit and be a defensive replacement. And maybe why not try Baldelli out at 1B a little bit. Who knows, there a bunch of possibilities.

     
  • Posts: 0 Georgie

    There’s no way a team that just won the WS should even be considering platooning Jenkins and Dobbs, that would be a big mistake, imo.

     
  • Posts: 0 Greg B

    I love Pat, but I question how much he has left in the tank. He is already probably top 5 slowest players in baseball, which doesnt bode well for a LF. It seems he should be destined for an AL team, probably increasing both his longevity and value. I might go to Bradley.

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew R.

    Mikemike, not every team has a 3-4-5 combo like we had. many teams have to make do with a good 3-4, and hopefully a suitable #5. and in case you didnt notice, the reason they didnt pitch around howard this year was because he swung at everything out of the strike-zone this year. No need to throw him strikes. burrell was ALMOST a non-factor, esp. after May 15.

     
  • Posts: 0 Chutley

    Mike absolutely. Dobbs is great for a pinch hit HR every once and a while but consistently no way. Burrell is a HR threat every time he walks to the plate

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew R.

    good point chutley.

     
  • Posts: 0 schwalmy

    Call me an idoit but we came into this year with a platoon in right and a question in center and came out with a gold glove and 2 solid starters….why not platoon and take the extra cash and sign someone like derik lowe… hamels lowe and myers at the top of the rotation sounds pretty juicy to me!!!!

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    I’ve been saying for a few months now that I think Werth can hit 30+ HRs if he plays everyday.. with better speed/baserunning and defense than Burrell, he could be your #5 hitter… People want to pitch around Howard to get to Werth.. good, because he can hit and his all-around game makes him maybe MORE valuable than Burrell

    Rowand was great, and played hard… but how smart do the Phillies look now for letting him walk, replacing him with Victorino, who won the Gold Glove, hit .293 instead of .271.. one more HR, only 12 fewer RBIs, 45 more Runs scored, 34 more Stolen Bases

    all while saving $9+ million on the contract this season…

    They know what they are doing, they know what they have.. Honestly the most consistent thing about Burrell is his inconsistency, don’t give him the world again

     
  • Posts: 0 joe

    It might be unrealistic, but I wouldn’t go over 9 mil per for 2-3 years for Pat. IMO, that means Pat’s gone. I really would like to land Dye, but not sure what the price tag would be if he even is available. interesting trade between the Red Sox and Royals. I like the players involved. We could’ve used either side of the trade. Crisp or Ramirez.

     
  • Posts: 0 Chutley

    Burrell is our one power right handed bat. Without him all we have is lefties. Lets get rid of our Power righty for two average lefties. Great idea

     
  • Posts: 0 mikemike

    Werth is a unproven player until he repeats , charlie has said it before he has to hit right handed pitching better to play. You are risking a season on him being better to repeat. Do you think the platoon in left give us thirty homeruns and 100 rbi. Jenkins didn’t show he could and putting dobbs in left weakens your bench.

     
  • Posts: 0 TheDipsy

    I would never, ever, ever, resign Pat Burrell. Here are my reasons:

    1. He can’t run…even a little.
    2. He can’t field….because he can’t run.
    3. He can’t move a runner.
    4. He can’t play hit and run.
    5. He strikes out a lot.

    Other than that, I love him.

    In my mind, you cannot have a troika of Howard, Burrell, and Jenkins clogging up the base paths with no speed and no ability to move someone over and no ability to manufacture a run. Can’t have it. When these guys are not hitting homers you get NOTHING from them. Stop with Burrell. Gimme a RH with 10/45/10/.285 that can D up and get his bat on the ball. I would be very happy with that. We’re on a budget kids. Save the 8m and put it somewhere else.

    Sincerely,

    The Dipsy
    Chairman of the Derek Lowe In Pinstripes Foundation

     
  • Posts: 0 mikemike

    I must admit that I really haven’t seen Ibanez play. But looking at his number he is fairly consistant with twenty some hr, and 100 rbi, not a lot of walks, and no speed concern me two stolen bases and caught four times. but if you can sign him under ten for two yrs. with opinion go do it.

     
  • Posts: 0 Chutley

    Burrell’s got one of the best fielding percentages and ranges for a LF. He may not make a web Gem every not but then thats why he’s not in cneter. That list goes for Ryan Howard also so according to DIPSY lets get rid of him too.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    Werth is a former 1st-round draft pick with LOADS of talents, who has had very bad injuries to his wrist, to the point where they didn’t know if he’d play baseball again..

    He’s shown that Yes, he needs to hit righties better, but he started doing that once he started seeing them more as a full-time player. AND.. as long as he stays healthy, I think he will continue to improve, not just repeat.

    He hits RHP at exactly the same career number as Pat Burrell, .251 but Werth kills LHP, .291, and the league in HRs off of LHP this season.. I think that if they add another RH to the OF, you can get by with Stairs/Jenkins, and whoever the RH is in left-field …. the Phillies have been solid with their decisions as to which home-grown players to hold onto in the past few seasons, maybe there is a reason they have been keeping Golson around, maybe they see something we don’t

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    Problem with Ibanez is that he’s another Lefty… which really doesn’t help this team at all.. unless its a LH that can bat leadoff, and would allow you to move a Victorino to 5th or something if Burrell leaves..

    ?
    Rollins
    Utley
    Howard
    Victorino
    Werth
    Feliz
    Ruiz
    Adam Eaton..

    If you added Ibanez anywhere to that lineup its WAY too LH-heavy.. I do think he’s a hell of a player though, and would be down with him playing here.. it would just be an all LH lineup

     
  • Posts: 0 TheDipsy

    Hey Chutley, with all due respect, Pat Burrell has the range of a four foot cast net. Do you WATCH the Phillies? Despite all of Pats shortcomings, if he was good for 50/140 every year like Howard, I would keep him and he could pull a futon out to left field and sleep in it for all I care. Cmon, man. Get it together.

     
  • Posts: 0 Gavin

    I may be wrong, but I think it is against the MLBPA to have a front loaded contract. Some sort of stipulation that you cant make less money year to year in the same contract. Thats why Arod wasnt able to take a pay cut to goto Bos a few years back. I may be wrong.

    I would like to re-sign Burrell, but if it means that it is at the expense of being able to sign Howard and Hamels to a long term deal then I say no.

    BTW, it would be prudent of the Phils to give Hamels a long term deal ala Utley and buy out his arbitatrion years. Why hasnt this happened yet?

     
  • Posts: 0 TheDipsy

    Probably because he wants $17m a year.

     
  • Posts: 0 Georgie

    Gavin, Amaro said a week or so ago that signing Cole to a long term contract was not his top priority right now????

     
  • Posts: 0 Chutley

    Dipshit listen up. Hoard strikes out 200 times a year so his number are 50/140/200. Burrell is a decent LF and Dobbs and jenkins cant come cose to his bat. Derek Lowe went 14-11 against the NL west. he’d get lit up in the east.

     
  • Posts: 0 Memphis

    You can’t be serious about putting “one of the best” and defense in the same thought with Burrell. Fielding % is useless. He may not even be an average fielder. He’s decent in the field, and that’s tolerable because of his righty production. When you look at his second half last year, that’s not tolerable. That second-half player last year (forget his defense) was not a $10M/year player. Bringing him back just means we really hope that second half isn’t repeated and we think the other options are worse. And the current options aren’t too good.

    Reading between what Amaro has said, there may be other LF options after the non-tender deadline December 7th. Once all options are exhausted and if Burrell is still available, I think we may get more serious about him.

    Whatever happens this winter, the Phils can’t address every flaw and every risk. There’s potential decline of Burrell and Moyer, there’s the potential regression of Werth and the bullpen, there’s the general lack of right-handed hitting, there’s the unknown back of the rotation, and other things I may be missing. And there are limited FA or trade options. With such a great core, I’d like to see us be reasonably aggressive (Lowe, Dye, Baldelli) to take advantage of this window, but who knows what we gonna do. I could see us not doing much, bringing back Burrell and Moyer, and hoping we can be one game better than the Mets. As long as we’re competitive, it’s hard to complain, but we’d all like to see us try to get better, or at least address the potential downside to having the same team.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    Lowe had a BAD team behind for most of last season.. until Ramirez got there and they started winning… they still weren’t that great, but Lowe is one hell of a pitcher and “Wins” as a stat for pitchers doesn’t mean as much as their ERA

     
  • Posts: 0 Chutley

    his era wasnt much bettr than Moyer’s

     
  • Posts: 0 TheDipsy

    Hey Chutley, what are you? Burrell’s uncle? Burrell sucks in the field. Doesn’y make him a bad guy or a bad player. I’d love him at 5m. Not 12 or 13m. Now please take your tongue out his mouth :)

    Love ya, dude.

     
  • Posts: 0 Eb

    I dont mind bringing Golson up and platooning him in left with Dobbs and Stairs. Therefore starting Werth everyday. Give golson chance to prove himself a little, and if he continues to stink, then move him.

     
  • Posts: 0 From Section 113

    *Gavin – I believe Tom Gordon was given a contract where he made less in ’08 than he made in ’07. I think you are somewhat right, maybe 2 yrs in a row you cannot have a lower salary or maybe signning bonues have something to do with it.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    Let Golson play in AAA…which is the step-up from AA… and give him the time that most players need to develop. Its VERY uncommon for players to go AA to MLB, so lets wait until Golson is ready, and let him play everyday in the minors instead of sitting on the bench in Philly.

     
  • Posts: 0 Manny

    I would like to see Burrell again, but if he’s gonna walk, I’d be very in favor of getting a top quality pitcher (LOWE) who can be our No.2 and go with a Jenkins/Dobbs combination for the outfield spot.

    Jenkins, if he has an average or slightly-above-average career year, can be a pretty decent guy to have behind Howard. What we would need to do if that happens, is bumping Utley to No.2 in the lineup and putting a righty/switch-hitter in No.3.

    The Dipsy, I’m now a member of “Derek Lowe In Pinstripes Foundation.” Guess I’ve always been…

     
  • Posts: 0 JohnnySlowpoke

    I can’t understand why everyone is so excited about Bradley or Baldelli starting in LF. Really, what do you guys see in them? I’d much rather see Dobbs start in LF. Give the guy a chance. He has produced quite well offensively given the number of ABs he has had. Same with Werth. These are the 2 most underrated players on this team. I apologize for going against the grain here, but I’m not keen on the idea of overpaying for B or C grade free agents. That said, this would be my opening day lineup:

    Rollins
    Victorino
    Utley
    Howard
    Werth
    Dobbs
    Feliz
    Ruiz
    Hamels

     
  • Posts: 0 JNova

    Tim– How come nobody talks about Bobby Abreu? He batted .296 with 20 HRs, 100 RBIs, and 100 runs scored for the Bronx Bombers in ’08, a lineup that produced similarly to ours. SI.com has dubbed him as one of the top bargains of the ’08 offseason and claims that he could look like a star with a change back to the NL. So why not in red pinstripes?

    If the price is right (low 8-figures over 3 years) I could see Abreu returning as an experienced vet to a rejuvenated Philadelphia team poised for a championship defense. His legs can still churn (9 triples, 47 steals in the last two seasons) and I could potentially see an outfield comprised of: Werth in LF, Victorino in CF, and Abreu in RF.

    If Booby can’t make the trip down I-95 for whatever reason (Amaro isn’t high on him, he doesn’t want to return to Philly, etc.) my next top choices would be Rocco Baldelli and Milton Bradley. All three options are more fiscally viable than re-signing Burrell.

    So if Burrell won’t accept these parameters, I say we move on so we can put our $ to good use in other areas. Thoughts?

     
  • Posts: 0 GREENINIL

    What Philly anchorwoman would Lowe persue if he joins the Phillies….LOL

     
  • Posts: 0 TheDipsy

    JNova. He’s a lefty. No more lefties.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    Two things… I heard/read that Abreu was seeking a 45/3 year deal…

    AND #2… Do you know how much the Mets will pay Lowe just to keep him out of or rotation.. we can’t compete with what they would pay him..

    Especially now that we just won the World Series, their fan base is going to revolt if we add the pieces that they need..

    Hamels, Myers, Moyer, Blanton, Happ (Kendrick, Carrasco, ?) is probably where we’ll be to start the year.. and it would be the best Opening Day rotation in YEARS.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    Dobbs is a nice player.. and a good hitter.. But the fact that the Pinch Hitter role is so important in the National League, and Dobbs is THE BEST in baseball.. I think they leave him in that role, while giving him spot-starts at 3rd base, or in the outfield against tough Right-Handed-Pitchers..

     
  • Posts: 0 Manny

    We CAN compete for Lowe up to a certain breaking point. We cannot just flop because we ASSUME that other teams will outbid us.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    I’m sure they’ll look into him.. but im also sure that Mets will outbid us

    I actually think Lowe either goes RedSox or stays in LA though

     
  • Posts: 0 Manny

    Don: Congrats on the wedding and honeymoon, by the way…

     
  • Posts: 0 JNova

    TheDipsy: I fully understand the lefty argument, but the only other righty outfield alternative (ManRam) is too expensive. Bobby can hit lefties and will do the things that Burrell didn’t while only hitting 10 fewer HRs.

    If a righty outfield bat is needed the only options I see are (from the best option to the worst):
    1) Jermaine Dye
    2) Garrett Atkins
    3) Milton Bradley (S)
    4) Rocco Baldelli

    Options 1 & 2 cost us minor league resources and 3 & 4 won’t produce in the way that Bobby would.

     
  • Posts: 0 JNova

    Note: If he’s seeking a 3yr/45mil deal, forget it.

     
  • Posts: 0 clicheguevara

    Too bad we missed out on Crisp…it seems he could have easily been had for Ryan Madson.

     
  • Posts: 0 Georgie

    Oh no, I don’t think we want Abreau back here, don’t you remember what a turn-around the team made after he left? He really wasn’t very popular with the fans here either, he just wasn’t a good fit here for whatever reason.

     
  • Posts: 0 Lewisauce

    His numbers are good, but is anyone else simply … uneasy about Bobby Abreu? He had his run here. He put up good numbers. He drove in runs.

    He also let in runs (i.e. his lazy ass in RF), and the fans and his teammates got really, really tired of his act by the end. In fact, his trade was one of the major catalysts to the Phils’ success.

    I can’t put my finger on why, but I don’t want to see Bobby A. in red pinstripes. That era is done.

    I’m also warming to the idea of letting Pat walk. He is my favorite Phillie (next to Vic), but that’s a lot of money that could be used elsewhere. I think Johnny Wacko needs to play every day, which leaves you with a Jenkins/acquisition?/Dobbs? platoon in right. Maybe brooks is right. Maybe Jenkins just had a bad year.

    And I know Dobbs is the best PH in the game, but if I’m the GM, I give him what he deserves: a shot to play half-time in the outfield.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    I still believe that Werth needs to stay in RF (not Left Field)… because RF is the more difficult defensive position, and he plays it well.. his arm holds runners from going 1st-to-3rd… or trying to score from 2nd..etc.. leave him in RF

     
 
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