Breaking News: Phils, Ibanez Close To Agreement
Posted by Tim Malcolm, Thu, December 11, 2008 05:41 PM | Comments: 180
Posts
Accrording to numerous reports, the Phillies are close to signing outfielder Raul Ibanez.
From Jayson Stark :
Ibanez has been sending signals through friends that the Phillies are his top choice. And two high-ranking Phillies officials — outgoing GM Pat Gillick and assistant GM Benny Looper — know Ibanez well from their days in Seattle. One source described talks between the club and Ibanez’s agents, Seth and Sam Levinson, as “heating up,” and said the two sides have made progress.
















Posts: 0 Ryk
What does everyone think of this lineup….
Victorino/Utley/Werth/Howard/Ibanez/Rollins/Feliz/Ruiz/Pitcher
You can swap Victorino and Rollins as the leadoff man but to get a guy with speed at the 5 or 6 hole is needed with slow guys down at the end of the lineup. It proved very important in the playoffs to add speed to the bottom of the lineup and with 3 lefties in the lineup it makes sense to bat Utley 2nd to help put a good patient hitter at the top of the lineup to set the table for Howard and Ibanez. Thoughts?
If they were to do this, I doubt Werth would hit 2nd. But for the sake of argument, let’s say he does. Rollins should hit in the 5 hole to break up the lefties, since he bats from both sides of the plate.
Posted: 12:57 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Ryk
I hate forgetting to put quotes around the original post. Grr.
Posted: 12:59 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 timb
ryk, i like it! j roll has always wanted to be an rbi guy, and i think he does pick his game up with risp. im sure everyone else will say no way, but from terms of righties, lefties, and power distribution….. i like it.
Posted: 01:03 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Geoff
If they did do this..you NEED a righty after howard…you really do…it would have to be something like
rollins/victorino/utley/howard/werth/ibanez/feliz/ruiz/P
i dunno…the more i think about this move the less it makes sense..why waste a first round pick on this guy? hes type A, and youd surrender your pick for him…i dont think this is what they need. they have a lefty hitter…i really believe they need to get a right handed hitter. juan rivera is ok..i dont like bradley and no need to bring back burrell..id rather spend the money on pitching…just get me a right handed bat that can hit 5th or 6th and do a nice job…nothing outlandish, no huge insane splash costing tons of players or money..just a solid performer..
id rather see them acquire a starter through trade for the third slot..add depth..the rotation this year is already better becausae eaton and kendrick are repalced by happ and blanton…so thats a relief at least…lowes too expensive for a 36 year old..my final verdict is that ill pass…pass on oliver perez, pass on burnett, pass on andy pettite…garland (if hes cheap ill consider it..otherwise, pass), ben sheets (if you can sign him for two years affordably id immediately make that offer, and take the gamble – add a durability incentive in the contact).
sheets would be my top choice now..check in, see if hes affordable, otherwise…pass….
if all that fails id rather trade for someone than consider odalis perez and other slop like that..
Posted: 01:09 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Memphis
Burrell hit .181 in August and .205 in September. Howard hit .213 in August and .352 in September. I don’t think Burrell provided a lot of protection down the stretch. I like Pat, but he REALLY tailed off last year. Didn’t exactly serve himself well in a contract year.
Last 3 years vs lefties (adding to what Manny said above):
Ibanez: .269
Burrell: .275
These guys are actually pretty similar. Burrell has more power, walks more, whiffs more, but he played in a hitters park compared to Safeco. Ibanez is a very productive player. Don’t want to overpay, so very curious what the contract would be, but this guy is good. Even at his age, he’s probably more reliable and less streaky than Pat. I’d rather have Holliday even if was just for a year, but considering what’s remaining, Ibanez is a good get. Still dreamin’ of Man Ram….because I think Lowe ends up with the Mets.
Posted: 01:14 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Geoff
theyre not going to sign manny, amaro openly came out and said he has no interest at all and will not even make an offer to manny…which is the right thing to do…to afford mannys salary they would have to shed like 20mm in salary (myers, howard) and that is not worth it…signing manny is THE very worst big splash move any team will make this offseason. the dodgers dont even want him back, and NOBODY ELSE WANTS HIM….he has not recieved any other offers because hes WAY overpriced…
all of these left fielders on the FA market are overpriced and overhyped, the A/B ones. whats wrong with juan rivera…otherwise trade for someone…
i prefer trades to free agent sinings if you have to go outside the organization to fill a need…
Posted: 01:14 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Geoff
the mets have not made an offer to lowe…theyre trying to trade for jason marquis (YES! the mets get an adam eaton too!)
Posted: 01:15 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Johnson
vic/utley/werth/howard/rollins/ibanez vs leftys
they dont need a righty…ibanez is the right signing…if you can hit lefty pitching does it matter if your lefty or righty…shouldnt. 270 for a lefty vs lefty is great cause it means hes over 300 vs rightys. juan rivera stinks…geoff who is this not outlandish, not insane splash that can hit 5th as a solid performer…to protect howard you have to be good…like ibanez is…a threat to drive in runs that people wont walk howard to get to. do you see people choosing to pitch to howrd to avoiding loading the bases for juan rivera…face it burnett and lowe are unsignable and arent going to be here next year so get the best leftfielder available…raul ibanez
Posted: 01:32 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Memphis
I don’t have a problem with a Rivera/Dobbs platoon. Maybe Jenkins gets over whatever messed him up in ’08 and he helps out more, too. The only problem what that in LF is that, we’re the WF Champs, and you’d hope we’d come back better in 2009, and arguably that’s not better than Burrell. Or you’d go with Rivera/Dobbs, but you spend on Lowe or Sheets, but I don’t know if we get either.
Ibanez had 186 hits in 2008 and played in every game. Not too bad.
Just an economic argument — if you don’t get Lowe (not spend $15M), if you don’t re-sign Burrell or sign Ibanez (not spend $10M), you have $25M that can go to Manny. It’s not a dramatic leap from what Amaro is looking to spend. The cancer part, the aloofness part, you’d hope Cholly has a positive effect there. It’s VERY unlikely, but it’s not absolutely nuts.
Posted: 01:32 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Johnson
have you actually ever looked at juan riveras stats…300 atbats in last 2 seasons…255 average in that span…what a joke…best year in career is 06 hit 23hr and .310 in 120 games…never played a full season in 8 year career…nothing about him is desirable in any fashion…stinks. moyer and ibanez signed and this is a great offseason…forget burnett and lowe
Posted: 01:40 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Johnson
the key is to 1.sign ibanez 2.try to swap jenkins to a team looking for a lefty 4th outfielder for a righty 4th outfielder. 3.ink moyer or penny or garland (someone in that 8-10m per year 3rd or 4th starter kinda guy) 4. accept the fact that the final spot in roation will be happ or kendrick or carrasco which isnt bad
Posted: 01:49 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Memphis
Yeah, after that great 2006 (.310 avg, .362 OPB, .525 SLG, all comparable or better than Burrell last year, plus 23 HRs, 85 RBIs in 142 games), Rivera broke his leg and missed almost all of 2007. Last year, he never got a lot of time as the Angles have like 6 outfielders. It’s a buy low (last year was his worst year, by far), take a chance, hope he stays healthy and gets his mojo back. It’s full of risk, just like signing Werth was. His career numbers are closer to his great 2006 than his down 2008. And he’s only 29. He’s not a savior, just a part-time guy with the potential to play himself into a regular spot.
Posted: 01:58 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Johnson
team has money to spend so why buy low on rivera who has had 1 good year in his career when ibanez has been consistent and injury free for years. signing rivera is what the phils of a few years ago would do(eaton, freddy garcia, years ago gregg jefferies). why roll the dice. this organization has a standard of talent they should try to keep up with. that offseason money isnt going to one of the nig freeagent pitchers so why go cheap in the outfield…ibanez and moyer or garland and its a great offseason
Posted: 02:08 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike
you guys are seriously interested in getting Ibanez. im just gonna say pedro feliz 2.0….but a lefty version
Posted: 02:10 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Johnson
i meant big free agent pitchers obviously
Posted: 02:11 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike
as a pat burrell fan i hope he signs with somebody and haves a spectacular season.
Posted: 02:12 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike
i dont know you what you guys are smoking. But moyer is all but done in philly with the signing of Chan Ho Park.
Posted: 02:13 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Johnson
mike dont be silly…ibanez hits .290 every year and drives in 100 runs misses very few games, hits lefty pitching great…feliz is a .250 hitter
Posted: 02:15 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike
he still a lefty!!!
Posted: 02:17 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Johnson
so…he hit .300 vs leftys…higher than burrel who is a righty…phils didnt sign chan ho park
Posted: 02:23 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike
well there about to sign him and i still wouldnt want him hes still a lefty i think he’ll struggle i hope we sign somebody whos a righty thats wroth it. why not a rocco baldelli since ur gonna platoon anyawys.
Posted: 02:26 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Johnson
i do hope burrell does well…unfortunately he hit the market during a satuarted year for the LF/DH types…he should have taken the 2yr/22mill phils offered him after the WS…nobody wants to give him 3yrs…agents tell these players they are worth so much more than they are and it ends up costing them money in the long run
Posted: 02:26 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Johnson
if they sign ibanez they wont platoon…he will be the evryday LF…11-12 mil per year doesnt get platooned…especially when you hit .290-.300 off both leftys and rightys
Posted: 02:29 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike
i hope burrell kills us in a game this season…but not the season. maybe he should go to mets i’ve always wanted to like a player on the mets besides david wright i like david cuz he speaks the truth and he doesnt showboat.
Posted: 02:29 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike
i dont think he’ll come cheap in a rare hitting market i think somebody will overpay and give him close to 14-15 million
Posted: 02:30 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike
and by the way hes 36 so i dont c more than 2 good years left in him let alone 1 i just wanna see how many years the phils offered be interesting…
Posted: 02:30 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Memphis
The argument for going cheaper in LF is to allow you to upgrade the starting pitching (Lowe or Sheets). In your plan (and your plan is fine), you’re not upgrading the pitching. You’re just upgrading LF, slightly. Signing Rivera would be just like when we signed Werth, coming off his injury, completely under the radar. Werth could have been a bust. Rivera could be a bust, who knows. But the “joke” .255 avg you mention is comparable to Burrell, for a lot less money. I don’t prefer the Rivera/Dobbs platoon, but I think it’s tolerable if we upgrade the pitching. That’s all I’m saying. For me, pitching is more important than paying $10-12M for Burrell or his replacement.
If we don’t upgrade the pitching, I agree Ibanez is a good get. BUT, if we don’t do anything about the pitching, then I prefer Manny. Manny isn’t going to happen, so Ibanez is fine.
Posted: 02:31 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Johnson
mets are a joke…im not really interested in finding a reason to like their players. .250 hitter turned down 11 million per year…i dont feel bad for pat…like him but he made a dumb choice thinking someone would give him 3 years 40mill
Posted: 02:36 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike
i just think karma is gonna bite us in the axx if we dont sign burrell….
Posted: 02:40 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike B.
I don’t know if I trust Ibanez. Yeah, he has good numbers against LHP and whatnot but I guess I don’t trust a guy who hasn’t played on a playoff team, or a team with any expectations really, since the 2000 Mariners. He didn’t even hit above .260 until after he went to the Royals in 2001, and they suck! And it says something that he couldn’t even beat Dee Brown for the Left Field spot so they stuck him at DH. I mean, yeah, his numbers are good, but unless I’ve seen a player play extensively I take good numbers with a grain of salt unless they’ve played for a contender. I don’t want another Bobby Abreu, good-numbers-but-missing something type.
And then keep in mind the late innings. With a lineup of Utley/Howard/Ibanez, a manager can just stay with one LH reliever. With a lineup of Utley/Howard/Burrell, they at least brought in a RH reliever to face Burrell. Because here’s how the lineup would stack up if they signed Ibanez.
(S) Jimmy Rollins
(S) Shane Victorino
(L) Chase Utley
(L) Ryan Howard
(L) Raul Ibanez
(R) Jason Werth
(R) Pedro Feliz
(R) Carlos Ruiz.
Basically they way that stacks up is you can use ONE pitcher for the 3-5 spots and ONE pitcher for the 6-8 spots. Yes there was still a string of RH batters at the bottom of the lineup last year, but at least you could pinch hit with Dobbs, Coste, or Jenkins and not worry about having to take one of your few good RH batters out of the lineup. And I am absolutely not comfortable with signing Ibanez because that gives us almost no lineup flexibility. I mean, it’s one thing if you could guarantee me that Werth would hit .300 as a full-time starter from the 5-spot. Then I’d be more comfortable with Ibanez. But you can’t guarantee that and until I see it, I’m really not comfortable with Ibanez. As it is, I think Werth is better suited for the 6th slot because he has both the RBI power to drive in the 3 through 5 guys and the speed to create a little havoc on his own on the off chance that the guys at the bottom can get hits. And I’m not the only one who thinks that; he’s batted, 2nd and 6th most frequently in his career.
Posted: 02:41 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Memphis
I thought karma already bit us something bad when we signed Burrell last time.
Posted: 02:43 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Johnson
amaro made it clear manny is not an option and the team has no interest in making him an offer so he doesnt enter the equation at all…yankees have made it clear that they will pay what it takes to fill their starting rotation and will overpay for lowe and burnett so phils arent getting them…..sheets could be an option but 2years/30mill…semms a bit much for an injury plagued guy…LF is a position of need for this team…ibanez is clearly the best option in my opinion. spending the entire offseason budget on a pitcher that will cost 5yrs/80 to get is crazy to me
Posted: 02:44 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Johnson
more than likely leftys like utley howard and ibanez would hit 2-4-6 in lineup and rightys rollins,vic, and werth would be some combo of 1-3-5. ibanez has shown he will consistently hit about 40 points higher than burrell which to me is a significant upgrade at a cheaper price…i cant digest ur stats from 2000 and 2001…he has put together about 4 or 5 pretty consistent seasons in a row on a crap team which is impressive…if he does .293 like last year with 70 xtra base hits its a huge upgrade in left and cheaper
Posted: 02:55 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Memphis
The lineup concerns with Ibanez are legit, no matter how well he may hit lefties. There are lefties like Moyer and there are lefties like David Price in the late innings. But I’ve heard his make-up is very strong, very professional, not a look-at-me guy, he’s good in the clubhouse, not an Abreu type at all. Apparently Gillick is a big fan. And I think his production on a terrible Mariners team is a good sign. Not a lot of talent around him, no protection in that lineup, played every day on a really bad team, stayed focused, kept producing runs (had a torrid August .396). I think those are positives. But it’s a shame he’s not a righty. What’s hard to trust is what took this guy so long to get good? He’s the Moyer of hitting, can he keep it going?
Posted: 02:57 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike B.
My point is 2000 was the last year he played for a contender. He didn’t even play 100 games until he went to a team that sucked. My worry is he’ll be one of those guys who only plays well when no one’s watching. I’m not talking about his numbers, I’m talking about he’s never hit well for a contender. In 2000 he hit .229 over 92 games on a 91-71 Seattle Mariners team where he couldn’t even beat out a 41-year-old Ricky Henderson for a starting OF position. In 2001 he hit .280 over 104 games for a 65-97 Royals team. That’s just such a huge jump that it makes me wonder if he just suddenly put it together or only put it together because no one cared because it was the Royals.
Posted: 03:04 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Memphis
Interesting take Mike B — are there other players you’ve noticed that only play well on bad teams? I guess there are players that can’t handle New York. It’s been reported that Ibanez wants to play here, for what it’s worth.
Posted: 03:09 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike B.
Yeah that’s another thing I noticed Memphis. Especially because ahead of him in the corner outfield on that 2000 Mariners team were a 41 year old Rickey Henderson (.238 BA, 4 HR, 30 RBI over 92 games), a 36 year old Jay Buener (.253 BA, 26 HR, 32 RBI over), and a 36 year old Stan Javier (.275 BA, 5 HR, 40 RBI over 105 games). Basically it looks like they platooned their whole corner outfield…so why couldn’t Ibanez play as many games as a man over a decade his senior? Especially because it looked like they didn’t have many lefties.
This is one of those gut things. Like this year was the first year I wasn’t worried when the Phils fell out of first. Just a gut thing. But that gut thing made me answer “ask me when the Phils win the World Series” without even thinking when my professor asked me how my semester had been going. And my gut is telling me, not Ibanez.
Posted: 03:17 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike B.
I don’t know Memphis. I’d have to think. See, I might be wrong. Lou Pinella was his manager in Seattle, and from what I’ve gathered, he really prefers his veterans over unproven guys. Sometimes guys just don’t fit in somewhere. And the 2007 season (Mariners were 88-74) complicates my argument, although I’m not sure if they just got hot at the end or what. And I also get a bad gut feeling from Ibanez going to New York, if only because that means the Mets won’t be resorting to the Cliff Floyds of the world.
But…good question. Players who only play well on bad teams. I’m not thinking about short stints but whole seasons. Richie Sexson – when given the chance to play extensively with the Indians, he blew it, but prospered in Milwaulkee. Then, signed to Seattle with high expectations, he sucked. So maybe it’s not the team as it is the expectations. And God knows we’ve seen that with the Kevin Millwoods and David Bells of the world.
Posted: 03:30 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Memphis
I respect that. But whatever Ibanez did, he turned his career around. Usually that says “steroids” (or as Dykstra said, “vitamins”) but I don’t think that’s the case here. Word is he just worked hard, got in shape, figured it out. Can’t argue with his numbers. Production is production. My gut says he’d be a nice fit here, and he’d keep it going. I’d give him 2 years.
Career vs.
K-Rod: 7-22 (.318), 1 BB
Santana: 12-34 (.353), 1 HR, 8 RBI, 2 BB
Posted: 03:38 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Memphis
Some negative vibes on Ibanez’s defense:
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2008/baseball/mlb/12/03/bp.marinersgm/index.html
Posted: 03:55 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike B.
Ah. Fair point about K-Rod and Santana. Ibanez also got a chance to start more. Which may speak to the management style of Lou Piniella. And in fairness to him, in ’98 Griffey and Glenallen Hill were still around and didn’t give him much of a spot. But I still worry about our lineup flexibility. Signing Ibanez means Werth has to bat fifth because I don’t know if Charlie would put three lefties in a row, and as I detailed above, Werth is better in the two or six spot. If we sign a decent RH bat, okay, but having 3 LH power hitters doesn’t sit well with me.
Posted: 04:05 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike B.
Yeah I think what I read was that he has trouble adjusting to fly balls
http://www.sportsnet.ca/baseball/mlb/players/Raul_Ibanez/
Posted: 04:37 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike
I thought Ibanez was suppose to be a upgrade on defense ya just said he can’t play D im pretty sure pat burrell has a better arm. but still i rather have a burrell for 1 yr at about 11million over 3yrs+ for ibanez at 11-12million thats a left and hits only 40points higher. Though a interesting stat i notice is that Burrell road numbers are better than his home #’s 22HR on the ROAD and almost 45pts higher avg on the road so maybe hes just feels the pressure of philadelphia to live up to the hype plus i hope you guys are ready when Ryan howards gets walked and they bring in a lefty to stop Ibanez who to me is gonna struggle really bad and his HR total would be in the 15-25 range but with the amount lefties he gonna see while in this line up batting behind the big boys will drop his avg to about maybe .270 and not a really big hit threat. so have fun with pedro feliz 2.0. cpl good years stringed along and get overpaid by a team that happens to be the phillies again.
Posted: 04:44 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike B.
Hey hey not all of us like Ibanez. Mike thanks for talking sense tonight. Except the Feliz comparison is unfair because Feliz actually plays good defense, and by all accounts Ibanez does not. Let’s go with David Bell 2.0, except a lefty version. Because this smells exactly like a David Bell signing – a reasonably known name who’s signed to garner excitement and will fill a hole left by a departing star (in Bell’s case, Scott Rolen), even if said player really doesn’t fit our team. (Two corner infielders (Thome and Bell) who couldn’t play defense? Really Eddie?) The 2003 Phillies? Only two lefties and one switch hitter in their everyday lineup (pre-Utley).
My God, it’s Fast Eddie Wade all over again.
Posted: 05:13 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 R.Mac
ESPN reports Phils and Ibanez agree to 3-year $30 mil deal.
Posted: 10:17 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 R.Mac
The Pat the Bat era is over. I’m struggling coming to grips with that.
(single tear)
Posted: 10:26 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Johnson
great signing…lineup is better…since funds werent going to lowe or burnett or sheets they filled the most gaping need and got the best LF available…awesome move
Posted: 10:36 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 NJ
I like this deal. it’s a little more than you’d like to pay, you never like giving up your first rounder unless your landing someone flashy but it sends a good message. Ibanez isn’t flashy but he plays the game with the right attitude and will make the players around him better and that’s why I tip my hat to Amaro on this one.
Posted: 10:39 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Tyler
3/30 for Ibanez.
Hopefully Burrell signs with the Mets. ;)
Posted: 10:47 AM on December 12, 2008
Posts: 0 Phil
My new line up with Ibanez in it.
Victorino
Utley
Rollins
Howard
Werth
Ibanez
Feliz
Ruiz
pitcher
My only fear of this line up is the lack of speed and contact in the back of the line up, but you have to do a good job of seperating the lefties and righties. Maybe that above line up can be the line up against lefties. Against Righties it can be this.
Victorino
Utley
Rollins
Howard
Ibanez
Werth
Feliz
Ruiz
Pitcher
Posted: 10:54 AM on December 12, 2008