Grading The Offseason To Date
Posted by Tim Malcolm, Wed, December 17, 2008 09:47 AM | Comments: 82
Posts
Let’s count the offseason progress:
Additions
Ronny Paulino (C)
Raul Ibanez (LF)
John Mayberry Jr. (OF)
Jamie Moyer (SP)
Chan Ho Park (SP/RP)
Scott Mathieson (SP/RP)
Subtractions
Jason Jaramillo (C)
Pat Burrell (LF)
Tadahito Iguchi (2B)
So Taguchi (OF)
Greg Golson (OF)
Rudy Seanez (RP)
Tom Gordon (RP)
Yes, the Phils have basically filled holes this offseason. Burrell out, Ibanez in. Seanez out, Park in. Golson out, Mayberry in. Jaramillo out, Paulino in.
Are the Phillies finished with their offseason shopping? Reports say Ruben Amaro has looked at more than 20 non-tendered players, meaning he’s still fishing the lake for minor catches. It’s possible the Phillies will add another bench bat (especially right-handed) and a reliever (would love some veteran experience near the back).
But, for posterity sake, let’s say Amaro has finished his offseason shopping. Are you satisfied?
Grade the offseason (on the A to F scale) so far. At this moment, I’d give Amaro a C-plus. The plus is the Chan Ho Park addition. While everything else seemed to be lateral, Park could turn to be a coup if used correctly.
What’s your grade?
















Posts: 0 JR
D.
Paulino makes no sense to me. Ruiz/Marson/Coste was a fine backstop for me… Mayberry and Mathieson are dime a dozen.
The DeRosa deal would’ve been great. So would’ve Hairston – but I actually like the Ibanez move more than most people.
I like Jamie Moyer, but giving in on a deal for a guy to pitch until he is 48 just seems like bad business.
Chan Ho Park is perfectly OK to sign on as relief and maybe we get lucky and he gets his starting stuff back, but it seems like we’re relying on that becoming a reality.
Most deserving of the D, however, is the sickness I feel that a week ago it was just us and the Yankees being talked about as serious contenders for Derek Lowe – a guy that was about 2 innings from keeping us from our (pause for dramatic effect) trip to the World Series. Now, just a week later, the Yanks have spent a fortune on CC and AJ and the Phillies are nowhere to be found in the Lowe rumors. Disgusting.
Posted: 02:07 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Don M
Victorino was batting #2 for most of last season… and until late in the year, Werth wasn’t even starting, so it was either Jenkins (who everyone hates), or Werth… followed by Feliz who had a bad back all last year..
My whole point is that Burrell was paid big dollars to drive in runs.. 117 in 2005, 95 in 2006, 97 in 2007, and only 86 last year. If they wanted Burrell to just get on base, they would have had him hitting in the top of the lineup, not in the heart of the order. He was slotted behind Ryan Howard to add protection, and drive in runs… now we add a guy who drives in runs on a more consistent basis, and people can’t stop talking about how much better Burrell OBP% was.
I dont get it
Posted: 02:07 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Griffin
Burrell will sign for the same money Ibanez does. Burrell’s not going to make $14 million this year.
On a team with guys who hit home runs and a ballpark that is conducive to home runs and big innings, having a guy who walks a lot helps turn solo home runs into big innings. Let’s not forget that Burrell’s SLG% is higher than Ibanez’s too. He has more power than him. We’ll see if that changes now with his move out of Safeco (although Ibanez played in KC in one of the best hitting parks as well).
The left-handed aspect can not be overstated. Late in a game, Utley, Howard and Ibanez will not face right-handed pitching, unless the closer is a righty. While this isn’t a big deal for Utley, Howard is lost against lefties and Ibanez does NOT hit well against them. The Phillies needed a right-handed corner outfielder, not another lefty.
Ibanez and Burrell are similar talents, except that one is left-handed and 5 years older. They will both be making the same amount of money for the next few years, which makes this move all the more puzzling.
Posted: 02:13 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 john of Albuquerque
I give Amaro a D. Not impressive. Reminds me of the Phillies past who sort through the scrap heaps of baseball hoping to catch a diamond in the rough. I think Amaro will manage to please the owners and not the fans.
Ibanez is left handed and will be 37 years old. Unless he is another Minnie Minoso (who was a right-handed hitter) he will disappoint in his first National League experience. He will decline after that. It is that simple. I hope I am wrong. Amaro could have signed better players than Ibanez, period. Ronnie Paulino is an upgrade but not much of one. Moyer, and Matheson were really going nowhere buy Philly anyway. Mayberry for Golson was a mistake and you will see this if you look at Mayberry’s minor league numbers. He is , at best, another Wes Chamerlain. Chan Ho Park was decent eight years ago. He has had a number of bad years in a row. He will also disappoint. Let’s not cut our ties to Mike Arbuckle because I believe that Ruben Amaro, Jr. will make Ed Wade look good.
Posted: 02:26 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Griffin
Mike Arbuckle is gone. He quit once Amaro was given the GM job.
Posted: 02:28 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Matt Kwasiborski
Mike Arbuckle resigned and took a similar job with the Royals when it was apparent Amaro was getting the job.
One thing I do like is that Ibanez doesn’t strike out nearly as much as Pat. And Pat at 32 IS ALREADY IN DECLINE. He has to be replaced in the 7th inning on. At least Ibanez can play the entire game. I love Pat, he is one of my favorite Philly athletes of all time, but I also recognize it is time to move on. As mentioned before, I will be at his number retiring ceremony but for now, Ibanez is a much better player at 36 than Burrell is at 32 and is about 2M cheaper per year. Good move.
Posted: 02:37 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Don M
Burrell probably won’t make $14 M this year… if he was offered arbitration, he would have accepted and probably made $16 M instead of the $10 M the Phillies would have wanted to pay him
Because he’s been stealing money from the Phillies for all but 2 years of his last contract, he should play here for 2 years at $10 total… since we know that’s not happening, he’s going elsewhere..
I really hope that he gets a chance in Oakland, where they seriously value OBP% above all else.. Burrell can still hit the ball a long way, but I’d rather have the guy that makes contact more frequently
Posted: 02:47 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Griffin
Don M, I hear the Reds are going after Burrell. I don’t want him on the Muts. I think Oakland is going to sign Giambi as their DH. Maybe a team like Toronto can use Pat as their DH?
Posted: 02:53 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Don M
I’d like to see Pat land somewhere with a chance to win… not the Royals, Reds, Pirates, Rangers, etc..
I heard Oakland was in on Giambi too, but isn’t it weird that this much time has passed in Free Agency, and only a handful of players have signed?
A lot of big names out there too with Burrell, Dunn, Ramirez, Lowe, Giambi, Oli Perez, Pedro, Wolf, … Rudy Seanez, Tom Gordon… (just jokes)
Posted: 02:57 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Geoff
even furcal is wavering with his decision…
i think the reason has to be that the agents havent “gotten it” yet…that outside of sabathia and burnett, maybe lowe and manny and tex. other than the upper echelon, nobody else is going to get major bank…theyll get market value or below that…there will be no carlos silva contracts….oliver perez will not get 11MM a year and if he does thats INSANE. even lowes demands are WAAAY out of line…the owners need to do this though…they must fight back against the outrageous contract demands we are seeing in a time of economic meltdown and a near-depression.
thats why its a bad idea to sign lowe at those prices…i dotn even think cc sabathia is worth 16mm a year, let alone deek lowe…ill pass on the rest of free agency unless jon garland comes cheap…
Posted: 03:14 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Griffin
not to beat a dead horse, but part of the reason I didn’t like the Ibanez signing was that the corner outfield market was flooded and the Phillies fell in love with one guy and wound up paying 3 years 10.5 mil for him. I think one of those other guys (Abreu, Dunn, Burrell) are going to fall through the cracks (like Lohse last year) and sign a below market value contract.
The Phillies waited out Pedro Feliz last year and signed him to a sensible deal once Feliz backed off his initial demands.
If Lowe signs a deal for 12 mil a year or something like that, then the Phillies made a bad move with Moyer, but I’m getting ahead of myself…
Posted: 03:20 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Manny
A big fat C
Posted: 04:02 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Manny
Maybe we could add Baldelli for a right-handed bat. At first I wasn’t sure about him because of his illness, but apparently doctors misdiagnosed it, and it’s a “non-progressive, highly treatable disease.” If we can bring him in to pinch-hit or play OF sporadically, why not? Is he too expensive?
Posted: 04:09 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Manny
“Most deserving of the D, however, is the sickness I feel that a week ago it was just us and the Yankees being talked about as serious contenders for Derek Lowe – a guy that was about 2 innings from keeping us from our (pause for dramatic effect) trip to the World Series. Now, just a week later, the Yanks have spent a fortune on CC and AJ and the Phillies are nowhere to be found in the Lowe rumors. Disgusting.”
You said it best, JR. Let me drop my C to a C- (I think overall the Phils didn’t improve much with the signings..but good luck to all of them!)
Posted: 04:11 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Geoff
im not a big fan of overpaying for free agent pitchimg, manny, but what would you feel about a trade? brett myers has a tradeable 12mm one year deal…if you can get some younger rotation ready pitching in return whats the problem? maybe you go myers/prospect to anahiem for jered weaver/jose arrendondo/reggie willits
for lowe: i like that the mets want to sign him…let them do it…the phillies rocked lowe twice in the playoff s and when he doesnt get fastballs called on the outside corner hes VERY VERY hittable…
Posted: 04:24 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Geoff
overpaying for someone like derek lowe or oliver perez is exactly what a dumbass GM like minaya does routinely. it ALWAYS backfires on the mets and on these other teams, thats why i dont want our team to do it…io still want them to upgrade the roster but blowing money on free agents isnt always the best thing…
they tried to trade for derosa but it fell through so what happened when the cost-effective trade failed? they had to go overpay for ibanez, who will be a great addition to the team, but is still expensive…
Posted: 04:27 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Georgie
I would have said C- yesterday, but after watching that interview with Ibanez, I will go up to a C+. I think Amaro brought him here for his professionalism and strong work ethic as much as anything. He seems so humble and the antithesis of a Manny Ramirez. You know how much I like Pat, but I think this guy is going to be a great influence on some of our players like Vic, Howard, maybe even Jimmy. Remember Cole saying the other day, along with the Mets are chokers, he said the guys called out Vic for hotdogging around the bases when he hit that HR off of CC, I think it was. They put a J. Reyes sign on his locker, told him that wasn’t cool. You’ll never see Ibanez do something like that, I doubt, so maybe this is a good thing?
Posted: 04:27 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 edavies7
D- and thats only because I like Ibanez. But when a 46 year old player is your main focus of the offseason that tells me your CLUELESS
Posted: 05:21 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Don M
you’re * CLUELESS ….was what he meant..
I would say that more money and more years for Ibanez than they did for Moyer would mean that Ibanez was the “main focus”… and since you said you liked Ibanez.. how did you come up with that grade ?
Posted: 05:27 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Manny
Georgie, I def agree with Ibanez being the “antithesis of a Manny Ramirez.” This guy is great… we might have overpaid for him somewhat, but he is a true professional.
Posted: 05:27 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Malcolm
It’s hard to put a grade on the offseason before it’s even over. It’s hard to put a grade on the offseason until the regular season begins to play out. All of this has been said already.
The Mets are going to sign Derek Lowe, Oliver Perez or Randy Wolf. For the context of their team, it’s a smart decision (even if they overspend). After the Ibanez signing, they are probably going to pick up another LHP to come out of their bullpen. Whatever else they do, it will probably involve finding a utility man like Alex Cora. It’s easy to grade what the Mets have done and what the Mets will probably end up doing. They needed to improve their pitching, and they spent the money to do so. If they can pick up Lowe or Perez, and add a lefty out of the bullpen, they deserve an A+ for their offseason.
However, an A+ on one team cannot be judged to the B- or a C+ of another team. Everything is contextual. The Mets did what they needed to do, and their grade reflects how they addressed THEIR issues. The Phillies had different issues to work out this offseason. Our issues are arbitration and designing a rotation with the pieces we have.
1. Resigning Moyer leaves us where we were last year. I don’t think there is any reason to believe that Jamie will not continue to pitch like he did the past two seasons. Is it a good move compared to signing Derek Lowe? Well, it certainly is not a bad move. We signed a #4 rather than a #2. It’s not that we decided to pass over Derek Lowe, we decided to keep Myers as our #2, and you can’t judge that move until the season develops.
2. Replacing Pat Burrell with Raul Ibanez is a breath of fresh air for an offense that had a hard time finding their rhythm through parts of last year. We’re talking about two very good players here. It’s been so good to see the amount of respect shown to Pat on this blog. However, what Ruben did was bring in one of the two best players from the Seattle lineup. The Mariners already miss him, and that speaks volumes on his credentials. He’s a class act and provides contact for our lineup. I respected how Ruben defended this move, and I know that Phillies fans are going to appreciate Ibanez when they see him play. It’s a good move because it was one of the best options that we had.
3. Why did we trade for Paulino? He is an upgrade, and sometimes small moves mean just as much as big moves. We add potential depth to either our roster or to the minor league squad. We also clearly develop trade bait. It was a one-for-one trade, the Phillies clearly got the advantage. Great move.
4. I like taking a chance on Chan Ho Park. If he doesn’t work out, it’s not going to cost us more than it should. Having a tight competition for the 5th slot in the rotation will really determine how strong our bullpen will be. We have to wait and see what pitchers are going to be used and where. Happ/Kendrick/Park/Carrasco. . . Only one gets the job. We have depth in our starting pitching, and for that reason, it’s not the additions to our pitching that matter, it’s how we use what we have.
The Phillies would be wise to add another arm to the bullpen. They might add another right-handed bat. If these needs are addressed, I think the Phillies might end up with a grade as high as a B+ and as low as a B-
Posted: 06:06 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Griffin
Interesting article on the Ibanez signing:
http://crashburnalley.com/?p=264
Posted: 06:06 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Dan S
You can’t give an accurate grade yet. ask this question again half way through the season.
Posted: 06:08 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Malcolm
That’s a good article Griffin.
Posted: 07:17 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 clktwr
I give Amaro a big fat F—-, with the signing of Ibanez he is trying to say to Latin American players, that he will give them a fair shot, but he forgets he is only Latino by name only he was born and raised in Northeast Philadelphia, played American Legion ball, his father has more cred in the Latin American countries because he came from there, and played with rocks and sticks, Junior played with offical Little League equipment, so is the owners are playing to go after more Latino players they should have made Juan Samuel, or Rueben Sr the GM.
Posted: 07:43 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Jeff
Hopefully, we can revisit this after the Phils make a meaningful move in the next 6 weeks. That ought to tell you where I’m heading. I give Ruben Gillwade a big fat D. They aren’t much better than they were 2 weeks ago. I’m sure Ibanez will be a fine addition and Park is better than Seanez, but they have become too lefthanded, both in starters and the bench. Also, Amaro was preaching pitching, pitching, pitching, and the most he came up with was Chan Ho Park. They are world champs and I love that, but they were nowhere near head and shoulders above the rest, and they appear to have standed still. They needed to add another top player, either in the field or in the rotation. Sorry, folks.
Posted: 07:44 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Rob
You know what… you all have freakin warped expectations every season. You can’t ever grade a team’s offseason without looking at history… and besides last seasons acquisitions (which again you ALL shat on in the beginning of the season) nothing worked out the way it was supposed to. This year was a more miniscale approach. They won the world series, no matter how “good” they really are, they did something right so didn’t tamper with what they already had. The filled some holes adequately and didn’t waste money.
Grade: B (could have been B+ or A- if they could have pulled a bomb ass starter) but what more do you want.
Posted: 08:50 PM on December 17, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike
http://weretheteamtobeat.wordpress.com/2008/12/17/phillies-offseason-additions-subtractions/
Posted: 01:58 AM on December 18, 2008
Posts: 0 Ryan
is mathieson actually going to pitch this year? i was under the impression he would continue to be injured and out for quite a while yet. but i would welcome him. i think he has big league stuff. he was really impressive at one time. and i think he could start, or maybe if his injuries have changed him he still would have great stuff for a setup man. if his power arm still has any power left that is.
Posted: 02:55 AM on December 18, 2008
Posts: 0 RC
Grade B – I don’t get the comment that Park is a plus more than the Ibanez upgrade. He hasn’t pitched near 200 innings in 7 years and is probably a back of the bullpen guy with Condrey and adds depth. I don’t have a problem with the signing but I don’t see how it’s a plus over Ibanez or maybe even Paulino who has at least hit .300 in the past for over 400 abs. But really it’s a wait and see. Which Paulino and which Park do you get.
Frankly, I’m surprised that someone that runs a website doesn’t think Ibanez is an upgrade to Burrell. It’s mystifying.
And as far as getting another reliever they’ve got 11 pitchers including Park and that is not including Happ/Carrasco. And I still think Park belongs in the bullpen where he had a decent year after struggling with the Mets. There’s probably room for one right handed bat off the bench and that is if they move Stairs (to the AL possibly where he has more value) or Jenkins which they’ll have to pay most of his salary probably.
If he increased his velocity, more innings is going to decrease it. So I’m surprised you don’t get that either.
I went through the lineup and if you look at the 1-5 hitters (if Werth is 5th), you would be surprised at the room for improvement in production from last year that is there.
Posted: 04:39 PM on December 18, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike
How about adding TY wigginton.
Posted: 06:56 PM on December 19, 2008
Posts: 0 sshane
Well…I dont know a whole lot about baseball..BUT..It doesnt take a rocket scientist to figure this one out..The trade with Jaramillo was a senseless one. Jaramillo did really well in AAA and continued to prove that through hard work and dedication. He was definetley given the raw deal and I think what the Phills did to him was wrong. In all honest he will succeed no matter what team he plays for because its in his heart! You cant say that about a whole lot of other players. Phills loss..Pirates gain!!!!!
Posted: 04:43 PM on January 16, 2009