Saturday Open Thread: Your Opening Day Rotation
Posted by Tim Malcolm, Sat, December 06, 2008 12:05 PM | Comments: 103
Posts
Since the weekends are sooooooo interesting, I’ll open it up to y’all for the rest of the day, unless newsy news occurs.
Question: What’s your opening day starting rotation for the 2009 defending world champion Philadelphia Phillies? As in, what’s the rotation you want?
A: Had to write that preceding part. Always.
B: Keep in mind salaries — both expected and projected. And keep in mind the other holes the Phils will likely fill.
C: Obviously Cole Hamels is your opening day starter, and Brett Myers is in there. So is Joe Blanton. The question is “who fills the final two spots?” Don’t give me any “Kendrick/Carrasco/Happ” business. Pick one. And don’t give me any “Lowe/Burnett/Moyer” business. Give me five names, and how the Phils will get those new names on the roster, if that’s the case.
My pick, just to start the fun, is:
Cole Hamels / Brett Myers / Jon Garland / Joe Blanton / JA Happ
It seems Moyer wants more than the $5.5M guaranteed, and $7M earned in 2008. I don’t want to bring Moyer back for more than $7M. Exactly $7M? Sure. We’ll talk. Meanwhile, Jon Garland? He might be good for a 4.00 ERA in the National League, and he can come in for less than the $14M or so (per year) he’s expected to land. I don’t know why, but I’m wary about Derek Lowe, and I don’t want any part of AJ Burnett, especially for four years. Garland is as durable as Lowe (made all his starts since 2002) and while not as effective, has the stuff necessary to succeed in Philly.
Happ, meanwhile, would beat Carrasco and Kendrick for the final starter spot, with Carrasco waiting in the wings once Myers departs in 2010.
Now, you go.

















Posts: 0 CXL72
Hamels / Myers / Zito / Blanton / Kendrick
How about we get Zito from the Giants and get them to pay 1/2 his salary? His road numbers the last two years were comparable to Derek Lowe. The world is down on Zito and he is signed for the next 5 years and is only 30. I am concerned about a Steve Amery like flame out but I’d take that chance. It would work for the Giants so they can sign Sabathia.
I’m willing to give KK a few starts to get himself back on track. He made 30 starts last year and is building his stamina as a pitcher. I like that he only makes $400k and Happ has his service time limited. Carrasco is the wild card in all this. If he can pitch well in spring training I’d give him a shot at the #5 job. I want no part of a long-term commitment to Lowe or Burnett. I’d take a chance on Zito. He has 5 years and $100mil left. If we could give him $10mil a year I’d take it.
Posted: 12:40 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 RichieAllen
Who, in your opinion,is the one player we cant do without?and why..
Posted: 12:41 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Justin
Ok so let’s say we get Zito, exactly what are we giving the Giants to get him? The only thing i’d even consider giving them is a swap of pitchers who need a change of scenery. Zito for Eaton and each team picks up the other players full salary because both are bad contracts that neither team needs but I’m not giving any prospects for a guy that hasn’t had a decent year since 2005.
Posted: 12:46 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 psujoe
I’ll buy into some of the rumors.
Hamels/Lowe/Moyer/Blantan/Happ
We pick up a LF for Myers in this rotation.
Posted: 12:54 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 NJ
Zito… That’s just silly! The Giants would take any offer to be rid of him but even at 50% your still on the hook for near the $50m mark. Any deal for him going anywhere would be salary relief for some form of prospects but he’s not pitching like Hampton was at that stage of his deal so he’s deadwood in SF for the forseeable future.
Hamels/Myers/Blanton/Moyer/Happ.
I don’t see where Moyer gets a mcuh better offer without uprooting his family, I just don’t see the logical fits in Seattle or the Bucs making it worth it for him to not return. Don’t see Garland having much appeal unless it’s a Lohse to Cards type deal late and Lowe’s still pretty unrealistic.
Posted: 01:01 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Russ
I think Zito would be a solid pick up if we could get off the hook for at least half the salary. The Giants would be happy to rid themselves of him, and it would free up some cash for a potential CC bid. I think all Zito needs is a change of scenery.
As for the rotation: Hamels/Myers/Blanton/Zito/Happ.
Posted: 01:11 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Manny
Hamels / Lowe / Myers / Blanton / Happ
3 righties, 2 lefties…sounds about right. The need for a second lefty (assuming Moyer leaves) would give Happ an edge over Kendrick.
I don’t think it’s even remotely possible to have both Moyer and another new, good pitcher… Plus, Amaro has made pretty clear that starting pitching is his top priority. Therefore I expect a clear upgrade… and that upgrade is Derek Lowe, our No. 2 for 2009. We let Jamie walk since he is asking for way too much (both money and years).
Posted: 01:11 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 psujoe
I don’t think Lowe is far feteched if they deal Myers. The Phils could go as high as 15 per and get a LF for 11 or 12 and call it a wash(not counting the arbitration salary increases which is a given).
Myers(12)+Burell(14)=26, Lowe(15)+LF(11/12)
Posted: 01:15 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 psujoe
Heck, If the Phillies want to go all in they sign Lowe and keep Myers, but that would cost about an extra 8 Million so they’d have to go cheap in LF.
Posted: 01:18 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 mike
Hamels, Myers, Blanton, cheap low level pitcher that is signed after all other teams have got there guy, like a jenkins felix type, happ. And why in the world would any team want Zito how in the world can you bring up him, its like someone wanting eaton.
Posted: 01:23 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 T Marty
Just want to comment on how upset i am with the Phils, we’ve been getting the 17 game plan for years, and that always locked us in for Opening Day tickets, now that’s not the case, as we have to enter into a lottery. My thoughts are that ESPN already procured a few thousand tickets, therefore sticking it to the loyal.
Posted: 01:36 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Greg V.
Hamels/Lowe/Moyer/Blanton/Happ
That’s right folks. I loved what Myers did this second half of the season. Unfortunately, I think his second half made him trade bait. We need a LF and I’m not convinced we can land a good one in the open market. Especially if we sign Lowe and Moyer.
Hamels is obvious for number 1. Lowe is a quality number 2 or 3. I know some are wary and CB isn’t exactly the pitchers park that Dodger’s Stadium is. But I highly doubt Lowe is going to go Adam Eaton on us. I still like Moyer at number 3 but I definately see the case for starting him in the 4 spot as well. Blanton turned it on at the right time this season, when he came to the Phillies. He eats those innings and that’s a plus for a number 4. Yes, I want Happ in the number 5 slot. I think it’s very likely Kendrick and Carrasco will make starts for the major leauge club next season, but Happ has been there, he’s worked for it, and I believe he has the confidence. Having said that, I’m willing to see what Kendrick and Carrasco got for us in spring training.
Posted: 01:42 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Griffin
Hamels/Myers/Moyer/Blanton/Happ
We’ll re-sign Moyer after pretending to go after Lowe. I hope we don’t go after jon Garland, he stinks. I’d rather have Braden Looper than Garland.
Posted: 01:47 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 NJ
3/45 isn’t going to get it done for Lowe unless the market collapses on him. I think Burrell is a feasible target considering teams view him as a short term budget guy with the market really hitting the 2nd tier guys, we surely will be able to match an offer but I wonder if he feels to betrayed.
Where do we deal Myers? I don’t see anyone willing to meet a Freddy Garcia level deal which is what we’d want considering his issues and contract situation. I don’t see any teams desperate enough right now to pony up that kind of a deal for him in this economy.
Posted: 01:53 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 MadSon
Hamels/Myers/Lowe/Blanton/Moyer
We sign Lowe for 15 per and resign Moyer for 7 per, go with a platoon of Dobbs/Stairs/Jenkins in left. If the LF platoon isn’t working we still have Kendrick/Happ/Carrasco they can move into the rotation (with Kendrick having a slight edge over Happ/Carrasco) if they decide to try and move Myers for a LF upgrade. I still think that if the can’t lock Madson up to a long term deal this offseason that they should shop him for a LFer.
A starting rotation of Hamels/Myers/Lowe/Blanton/Moyer with Kendrick/Happ/Carrasco as insurance against injuries is pretty strong.
Posted: 01:58 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Evrybuddy Hits woohoo
Hamels / Myers / Blanton / Moyers / Happ
It was good enough to win the World Series in ’08 and should be good enough to give us a good shot again in ’09.
Posted: 02:09 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Amanda
Hamels/Myers/Lowe/Blanton/Moyer
Posted: 02:28 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Geoff
Not so enthused about garland…seems like a number 4 starter on a bad national league team, but the phillies are a good national league team, so:
hamels/lowe/myers/blanton/happ
if they want to move myers (to DET for armando gallaraga & matt joyce):
hamels/lowe/blanton/happ/gallaraga
or if myers stays and they cant sign lowe:
hamels/myers//blanton/happ/penny
Posted: 02:37 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike
Myers (not that he’s our #1, but he is my opening-day starter. He’s been it the last two years. And we have two division titles to show for it. He’s good luck as far as I care.)
Hamels
Lowe
Blanton
Happ
Lowe for 3/$48. If he doesn’t go for it, how about Odalis Perez? We could get him for cheap, and he was really solid last year. And, obviously, the fifth spot will go to a shootout between Carrasco, Happ and Kendrick.
Posted: 02:45 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 psujoe
Geoff, I assume if the Phillies made that trade with the tigers would the Phillies try to move Jenkins? I don’t see a need for two left handed LFs that cant hit lefties. or would you keep Jenkins as insurance for Werth against righties?
Posted: 02:50 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Derek
Geoff, why would the tigers trade armando gallaraga and matt joyce for brett myers? I’m not trying to be a d**k when i ask that, i’m just wondering what your reasoning is
Posted: 03:03 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 NJ
Love that trade Geoff, I’ll top it and say we let Moyer leave and don’t sign Lowe and trade Jenkins to Tampa for Scott Shields, Evan Longoria and Willy Aybar and Jason Donald to the Dodgers for Bronxton and Kemp. Lastly I’ll also send Eric Bruntlett and Pat Overholt to the Yankees for A-Rod and swap the Phanatic for Buggs Bunny, Tweety Bird and Bill Murray… I suggest we also put all umpires on the payroll for home games and solve the global economic crisis with one big hug.
Posted: 03:20 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Geoff
no reason at all..just a random thought…there had been talk of moving myers to clear payroll IF lowe is signed, i i came up with that on the spot…yes, theyd have to move jenkins…if someone wants that contract that is…i do not expect that trade to happen..like ever…just throwing out a few possible scenarios as to their rotation makeup
Posted: 03:22 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Derek
well alright then
Posted: 03:24 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 NJ
Geoff the Tigers GM would get dismissed and investigated if he made that deal.
Posted: 03:25 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Phillies Phan SC
I want to address the Eaton for Zito talk. I know it is fictitious, but I’ll bite. I am for the trade. Why? HOW could it be worse? One for one, see if the change of scenery helps either of them… I mean, does it even matter? One team may be lucky – hopefully it is us. I would like to see Eaton start a game in 2009 to see where he is – a game that may not matter, of course…
Ok a few other things in response to what I have read. My starting rotation: Hamels/Myers or Lowe/Lowe or Moyer/Blanton/Kendrick or Happ (we shall have to see). I have to leave some flexibility because I would set it differently depending on whom we keep or acquire. If we keep Moyer and Myers and get Lowe, then it would be: Hamels/Myers/Lowe/Moyer/Blanton, with Happ or Kendrick as my DL starters.
I still fail to see why we need starters though. I would rather sink my money into the talent we have. Lock up Werth, Vic, Howard (yes), Madsen (I know about Boras), RUIZ, etc. for a while and pay THEM. I know Ruiz had a slow bat year, but who cares, he can catch! We do not need big names right now; we need to retain these guys for 5 years. Burrell will get other offers and unless he wants to give us his discount then I cannot see him here.
Therefore, in 2009, platoon Jenkins and Stairs in LF (Bruntlett later), Vic in CF and Werth in RF. Platoon Dobbs and Feliz at 3B, Rollins at SS, Bruntlett at 2B for the first two months and then Utley (duh) Howard at 1B. These 25 got us to the World Series.
I agree with Mike – this may be Myers last season here, start him opening day. If for nothing else just a respect to him. Hamels is our ace though and we all know that. I still think w should keep Myers if he has a good year though. I am not for shopping him.
Posted: 03:26 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 mike
Just looked at the free agents pitchers out there. My guess is the phillies wait and go after byrd or garland two pitchers who will sign low figure deals. for two or three years tops. They have no chance for lowe or burnett or sheets. I still believe left field will be a trade . or jason michaels.
Posted: 03:26 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Griffin
Eaton is owed $8.5 million (plus a $500,000 buyout)
Zito is owed $94.5 million (plus a $7 million dollar buyout)
Let us never discuss Barry Zito ever again.
Posted: 03:42 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 mike
Griffin you have said the truth. Why in the world would someone want that contract for that pitcher. Why would anyone bring him up unless he is related to them. Maybe its Zito cousin who said that, and live in the area and thinks he might get free tickets. That is my guess
Posted: 03:46 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Griffin
well, in Zito’s contract, he gets a free suite for all road games, so maybe someone just wanted some free tickets!
Posted: 03:48 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 PhillyFriar
Hamels/Myers/Moyer/Blanton/Happ
I have a feeling that with the Yankees, Mets, and possibly even the Red Sox involved, we’ll end up being outbid for Lowe. And I’d rather overpay slightly for Moyer than to give any kind of long-term deal to Garland, who has been outpitching his peripherals for a few years now.
Posted: 03:56 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 mike
Garland and Byrd will not be high contract and you will be pitted against the likes of pittsburg or kc and they are not places pitcher want to go to, this is the phillies way to wait and sign easier players who command less.
Posted: 04:06 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 mike
But in this case I agree with the phillies. to give the money throwed out there for lowe and burnett is crazy. If C.C. wants to ,he could command closer to 30 million a year. If the numbers for the other pitchers is correct.I as a fan I don’t like this trend. Baseball must go to a salary cap. and as I have said before if you go over pay 2 to 1 in tax. make it hard for teams to get crazy and drive up the prices.This will insure good competition for the league .
Posted: 04:13 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Mike
I don’t think baseball needs a salary cap.
I mean, in the same time span that NBA’s had their cap, baseball has had twice as many different teams win.
Posted: 04:31 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 psujoe
Signing Lowe is the key to a whole bunch of moves the Phillies could make. It would give us a solid 5 man rotation with some chips to play. Myers would be a pretty good chip at the deadline if the Phils think Carasco could be ready by July. With all the relievers out there how about Madson as a starter(I’d hate to do it, just thinking out loud).
Posted: 04:34 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 william
lets just say the bay area miracle happens and CC gets home sick and goes home to san fran trade madson/jenkins for cain and have Hamels/myers/cain/blaton/happ let burrell and moyer go and spend the money on left field and locking up some players
Posted: 04:53 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 SirAlden
Hamels / Peavey / Myers / Blanton / Happ
Carrassco + goes to San Diego.
Posted: 04:59 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 griffin
It would take a lot more than an arbitration eligible Ryan Madson (one year before becoming a free agent) and washed up Geoff Jenkins to get Cain.
They would ask for Howard for Cain.
Posted: 05:09 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 william
O.K. then doi it we all know it’s gonna happen sooner or later get them to throw in lewis for kendrick on go after texiera
Posted: 05:44 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Geoff
it will take so much more than carrasco + to get peavy….
it would take like: carrasco, madson, carson, and werth or victorino
seriuosly, forget about it….plus watch out for san diegos pitchers because of petco park…im not sure peavy is really all-world, his road numbers arent the greatest…this season…he was 5-6 on the road with an era over 4….thats really not special…im not so sure hes really even better than cole. actually, hes not better than cole. ill pass on jake peavy..too costly and potentially, key word, overrated.
if the giants sign sabathia you might be able to pry matt cain or jonathan sanchez from them. but it will still be very expensive to get cain..i threw the myers tigers thing otu there just to instigate argument..,..anyways, ill stick with wanting to see them get lowe.
to the guy who said they dont need starters…really? i mean, theres almost no way they go through the season again with their top starters healthy ALL YEAR like they did last season. thats so rare…tahts why you need to trade for or sign at least one additional guy to add depth…depth and avoiding injury are the keys to a great starting rotation
Posted: 05:54 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Dan S
Hamels/Myers/Moyer/Blanton/Carrasco
Posted: 06:14 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Jason
Hamels, Myers, Blanton, Happ, Carrasco
And that is what I WANT to see.
I am tired of waiting. We got the World Series. Let’s see what Carrasco’s got next year.
I want to see the money spent in the bullpen actually. I am not a Clay Conrey believer. Chard Durbin makes me nervous, and I do not want a Rudy Seanez type. Give me a legit long arm.
Sign me a Beimel and an Odalis Perez/Brad Penny risk reward and start them long in the pen, and moved into the rotation of Happ or Carrasco falters.
With the left over cash, give me Mark Loretta or Tadahito Iguchi.
And make a surprise run at Adam Dunn.
That’s what I want.
I would be happy with Raul Ibanez too.
I’d also like to see extensions for Cole, Madson, Werth, and Shane.
Not Ryan though, not considering he’d prolly wants a 8 year, 160 million dollar deal.
Thanks but no thanks.
So to re-answer the question:
Cole, Myers, Blanton, Happ, Carrasco.
and if it works out like most people thinks it will.
It will be Cole, Carrasco, Myers, Blanton, Happ in reality.
I want to see Carrasco– and I think he can be a Johnny Cueto. At least. And we’d take that name in a second.
Posted: 06:43 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Geoff
Carrasco is better than Johnny Cueto…he got figured out and came back to earth..I think Carrasco has better stuff than that
Posted: 07:06 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Malcolm
Hamels-Myers-Blanton-Happ-Carrasco
I’d like to see the Phillies save their money rather than put it into a contract for a top-tier FA SP like Derek Lowe or A.J. Burnett. If we had more salary room, I would love to see Lowe in Citizen’s Bank Park. But, I’d rather secure Rocco Baldelli, Nick Punto, Juan Cruz and Chad Cordero. Kendrick can compete with Carrasco for the 5th spot. In my heart, I would like Moyer to come back, but there is a definite time to think about the future.
Posted: 07:53 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 CXL72
Amaro should wear a bracelet WWPD. What would Pat Gillick do?? Amaro is new to the job and will make mistakes. No need to be outmaneuvered by Scott Boras and get stuck with Lowe for 4 years. Derek Lowe’s road nuners are just okay. I agree with the comment on Peavy, a SD pitcher stats are like a Coors field hitter. Im sure Moyer wants a raise (probably in the $9M range) and more than 1 year. 2 years $18mil for Moyer is better that 4 years $60mil for Lowe. I do now want Eaton in a Phils jersey under any scenario. 50+ starts and an ERA over 5.50 for us. Ive seen enough.
Posted: 07:53 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Geoff
The more I read about Lowe the more I doubt hell come here. Boras is simply too good to allowe Ruben Amaro to rush a 3-4 year team-friendly contract on Lowe. Boras is the master of waiting and bringing new teams into the mix and driving up the price. Boras is bluffing when he asked for 5 years 90mm for Lowe, but knowing boras i could see him get 4 years 75-80mm. that means forget about it…too much of a committment for a 34 year old who has never broken down, which means he does for an injury-plagued season or two. if he could be solid and make every start then yeah, but there is some sort of lingering doubt i have about lowe…dunno why…the longer this goes on the less i want them to get lowe..especially as the price goes up.
id be wary of garland too, ill bet he gets overpaid as well. he seems tailor made for the national league though.
Posted: 08:09 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 mike mike
Why would anyone who likes to see competition not want a system which levels the playing field. Unless there is a cap teams like KC Pittsburg, and others will only be able to compete every so many years. that is if they draft well.
Posted: 09:00 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 Matt Kwasiborski
If we are able to sign Lowe that gives us two pitchers who have started WS clinching games in the past 4 years. Lowe knows how to win in the post season. Honestly, I don’t see him signing with the Yanks unless they sign CC. Point being the Yankees are too far away from winning the division and Lowe is 35.
Now, we sign Lowe and we can then flip Myers to the Tigers. Remember that the Tigers need a closer and Myers would relish in that role. Who do we get back is key. I like the Galaragga/Joyce scenario because I would feel better plugging Galaragga in at the #4 spot with Blanton moving up to 3.
Or, flip Myers for Ordonez straight up. We take on more salay but Ordonez is signed through next year with 2010 being a mutual option. The Tigers would jump on it because it saves them about 10M in salary. Yes, we take on more, but we are poised to win now, not later. So, we plug in Lowe at #2 and Ordonez between Chase and Howard.
The Phils and ownership CAN do it, it is just a matter IF they will do it. But GET it done!
Posted: 09:31 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 tom
I like a Hamels/ Lowe/Myers/Blanton/Happ rotation because it would be most likely consistant.I liked moyer but without our offense he is at best 13-14 or around there. I think lowe is a better pickup then keeping moyer. I dont think trading myers is a good idea, we need a soild 3rd guy and he can be that.
Posted: 10:10 PM on December 6, 2008
Posts: 0 mike mike
the yankees are too far from winning the division. Put C.C. and Burnett and add one outfielder then how far are they. They have the money to add a lot of salary. they will replace abbreu with bradley or ibanez type plus two good starters.
Posted: 10:45 PM on December 6, 2008