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June Might Be Victorino’s Month

Posted by Tim Malcolm, Fri, May 22, 2009 11:20 AM | Comments: 3
Analysis, Posts

Milwaukee BrewersLost in the Phillies latest surge is the scuffling play of Shane Victorino. The usually reliable hole hitter is mired in a .231 May. It doesn’t seem as bad as Jimmy Rollins (who hasn’t even hit over .231 for the season yet), so we haven’t paid much attention to the Flyin’ Hawaiian. Still, his slump is starting to rear its head.

There is hope, however, just by looking at Victorino’s past.

Last season Victorino alternated his play by month. April was bad (.239), May was good (.322), June was bad (.235), July was good (.333), August was bad (.262), September was good (.344). Moreover, he improved as the season progressed. More reps meant better results. In April 2009 Victorino hit .286.

The precedent for his alternating play isn’t strong. 2007 showed he worked in longer stretches (he played his best in July and August). 2006 is too spotty since he platooned most of the season. Nevertheless, there’s an indicator Vic’s turnaround is right around the corner.

 
 
  • Posts: 0 Rob

    I’m sorry… what is the indicator if he just so happened to trade good and bad months last year. You just said that his history paints a different picture. Obviously I hope your right… but I could just as easily say Jamie Moyer will win his next 5 starts and base it on nothing.

     
  • Posts: 0 Dan

    I haven’t had a Hawaiian pizza in a real long time, that shit is damn good, I think I might have one soon.

     
  • Posts: 0 Georgie

    That up and down in his BA from month to month is a bit odd, how do you explain that?

     
 
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