Opinion: 2 Of 3 Starters Have To Go
Posted by Tim Malcolm, Mon, May 18, 2009 11:47 AM | Comments: 69
Opinion, Posts
Here’s your regular pitching staff update. Now it’s May 18:
Jamie Moyer is 169th out of 172 in the majors in ERA (8.15). After yesterday’s debacle, Chan Ho Park is 158th (7.08) and Joe Blanton is 152nd (6.86). Cole Hamels and Brett Myers are both in the middle of the pack – in 88th and 115th places respectively – but their numbers are getting better each start.
Which raises the point: Two of the three in the bottom need to go. After watching the Phils gut through a four-game sweep of the Nationals, we’ve seen this one completely obvious marquee flash above our heads. Park has been wildly inconsistent. Moyer has been invisible. Blanton has been mediocre at best. We’ve called for these moves before, but now it seems clear that, likely, it’s Moyer and Park that should – and probably will – be shoved out of the rotation before June.
Who takes their place? Happ is easy. The second position will be a dogfight between Kyle Kendrick, Carlos Carrasco, Andrew Carpenter and a host of clear underdogs. I’d give the favorite to Kendrick, considering Carrasco still is having problems in triple-A, and at least Kendrick has had previous success in the majors.
But the bottom line is two have to go. No longer can the Phils carry – at best – three fifth starters.
















Posts: 0 CT
Are there any pitchers that they could/should trade for? Who’s available? I’d be willing to see a few prospects go for a serviceable #3-#4 starter.
Posted: 11:51 AM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Mike wish
If healthy maybe the Phils will join the Ben Sheets sweepstakes?
Posted: 11:56 AM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Manny
I agree, Tim. However, I still think Moyer has 2 more shots that could keep in him the rotation for longer than expected (against the Reds and then against the Marlins). If he can at least do pretty well against the Fish, he could hang in there till mid-late June or even July. But eventually, it looks like he’ll lose his spot sooner rather than later.
As for Park, he should go to the pen NOW. Put Happ in the rotation. The fact that they brought up Escalona (a lefty) shows that they’re very close to make this move… compensating for the eventual loss of a lefty (Happ) in the pen until JC Romero comes back.
Posted: 11:56 AM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 CT
Sheets is kind of a gamble right now. No telling how well he’ll do after rehabbing. But he would be an interesting option. How much was he looking for from Texas?
Posted: 11:58 AM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Kevin
I don’t see how you can bring Kendrick back in the rotation. Maybe he’ll give you a small level of success but he hasn’t exactly turned off the lights on batters at Lehigh. I still view him as a wild card at best.
I think Amaro should be thinking about replacing Park and/or Moyer, but perhaps the best bet would be to find someone on the market. Start scouting some teams that will be looking to sell at the deadline.
Posted: 12:01 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Albert
If you replace Park and Moyer with Happ and Kendrick you will be subtracting two back end of the rotation guys with the addition of two back end of the rotation guys. I think Park needs to go right now, with Moyer hot on his tail.
Posted: 12:06 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Ben from NJ
I agree that this kind of action needs to take place, but you know they aren’t going to do anything with Blanton or Moyer anytime soon. I’ll never understand for the life of me why they stick with guys that are completely underperforming. At least skip them in the rotation or something.
I also am curious if Dubee has any reasons why these guys are performing so poorly and pitch location without any reason behind it is not acceptable answer. There has to be a reason these guys are pitching this badly. I mean its the whole damn team, not just one or two guys. Dubee is a bum anyways and does nothing for these guys.
Posted: 12:10 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Geoff
Sheets will be signing with Texas. Hes from there, goes to all their games, and has been hanging out extensively with their pitching coach…forget about signing him.
Posted: 12:12 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Geoff
I agree, what leads you to beleive that Kendrick will be anything different this time when he HASNT developed his secondary pitches enough to dominate. It looks like Park might have one more shot left, but I do think theyre ready to make the move for Happ.
I think Moyer has one, maybe two shots left. The Reds are a good team this year, but theyre young though and I dont think hes going to fare well. Its all abotu what he can do against the Marlins (the ONLY team hes had a good showing against).
Posted: 12:16 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Don M
Kendrick in 41 innings at AAA, has a 4.17 ERA.. has given up 43 HITS, 18 Walks, 28 Ks … his WHIP is a 1.49 so one and a half baserunners per inning, against AAA ballplayers..
I dont think that translates well to the Majors..
You can’t get much worse than what we’ve got right now.. but Blanton should be alright.. (it would be nice to add a #2 or #3 to the rotation, but Carrasco isn’t it right now)
Park should go to the pen.. .Happ should take his place
And we should all say prayers that Moyer can get out of this funk
Posted: 12:18 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Griffin
Geoff is right about Sheets. The Rangers are all over him.
Happ in, Park out. That’s the obvious one.
As far as replacing Moyer or Blanton, I think the only in-house candidate should be Carrasco. He’s obviously not ready at this moment, but he has solid peripherals at AAA (44K in 41.1 innings) despite having a bad ERA (6.31).
Kendrick and Carpenter are not the answers. They are fringy control pitchers who don’t strike out hitters.
Posted: 12:18 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Don M
holler
Posted: 12:20 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Geoff
But I dont see anyone other than Happ ready to step in right now. So if Moyer cant hold his place he has to be removed and theyd need to make a trade. Kendrick wont do any better than Moyer. Carrasco is getting hit. Drabek is too good to risk ruining because unlike Carrasco Drabek projects as a 1 or a 2. Carrasco projects as a 3 (despite his stuff hes had control and efficiency problems). and Worley/Stutes are a little farther away (but not much). Knapp projects high too but its way too early to bring him up.
If Moyer cant IMPROVE then theyd have to use some young arms in a trade.
Posted: 12:22 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Geoff
But this year they have that ammo to bring in that type of starter if they really need to.
Posted: 12:27 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Don M
The problem is that Peavy or Halladay would cost you the entire farm to obtain.. so they aren’t coming here. .
Oswalt MAYBE.. but I doubt the Astros want to deal with us again.. AND.. Oswalt is definitely not the pitcher that he was 2-3 years ago
Im not sure what other guys are out there.. Cliff Lee (cy young winner in 2008.. but in 2007 was so bad he had to go to AAA .. like Myers did)
Their best bet is Carrasco figuring things out.. that may or may not happen
Whoever is the better of Moyer and Carrsco at the All-Star break will be in the rotation.. joining Hamels, Myers, Blanton, and Happ
Posted: 12:27 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Mark
Kendrick is a horrible option right now. I liked the way Carpenter handled himself in his last big league outing, and first big league W.
Our once minor league studs (pitching wise) are duds for the time being.
Posted: 12:32 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Geoff
I dont want Peavy (some things about him scare me off), and Halladay is not available ebcause the Jays are in First Place. The Diamondbacks, Rockies, Mariners, A’s, perhaps White Sox, Indians, Pirates, Nationals, Padres & Orioles are going to be the teams that project to be potential sellers (because Houston refuses to be sellers). SO youve gotta find a starter from one of those teams who is a realistic get, who is under contract/control beyond this season, and who will be a solid 2-3 on this team (a rotation with 3 5′s right now).
Posted: 12:38 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Pat Gallen
There’s no way they get rid of Blanton or Moyer, not yet anyway. Moyer is locked up for another year, so they go the distance with him this year. If he still sucks going into next season, he could be gone and the Phils would eat his contract, a la Eaton.
Blanton, they cant give up on. They gave up 3 decent prospects in the trade with Oakland, so they either have to try and trade him and get something in return, or just deal with him until he shows up.
Park can go as far as I’m concerned. I thought he was better anyway out of the pen. Happ makes sense, but i’d like to see what Carpenter can do. They gave Kendrick the chance, so it couldnt hurt.
Posted: 12:44 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 John Russo
Park must go, Moyer will get better, Blanton will be lucky to stay on as the fifth.
The way I see it, Park has made it very clear to everyone with a brain that he is not a good starter. Now putting him in the bull pen would not be a bad idea at all.
Moyer is a veteran. He won’t be pitching like crap much longer. He feasts on young offenses. He also feeds off of the frustration he can bring in the earlier innings.
Now Blanton is lucky that Park is that much worse than him in my opinion. I think Blanton will continue to struggle but show glimpses of good starts, like a 5th starter usually does.
I can’t wait to see Happ pitch in Park’s place.
Posted: 12:44 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Luke
IN: Haap, its his turn now to show us what he deserves.
OUT: Park – release him, cut our ties or trade him. Yes he has had 2 QS, and averages just over 5Ks a game, but still, he can’t keep a lead (esp to the nationals) and at 2.5 million, that’s nothing to worry about for the Phillies.
KEEP: Blanton – he’s a slow starter but should be alright.
SPOT STARTS or KEEP: Moyer – sentimental favorite, but he has the experience to help out. Just see last season and his guidance with Hamels and the rest of the young staff.
Posted: 12:47 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Craig
Mistake giving Moyer a multi year contract in the off season?
Was this Gillick or Amaros decision?
Was the club swept along in the euphoria of the world series win?
I’d like to see Happ get a shot. He can’t be any worse than Moyer or Park.
Posted: 12:48 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Don M
Nobody on the Pirates or Nats will help.. Padres need pitching more than anything..
I heard Buerhle from the White Sox..
Maybe Bedard from the Mariners? … is he in a walk year soon? (I think he once had a 5-year deal with Baltimore.. did he sign anything new with Seattle?)
Diamondbacks are in trouble.. I dont know that they want more prospects on an already young team though..
Rockies have no pitching to offer, neither do the Orioles..
THIS is exactly why teams DON’T trade their young arms, because its next to impossible to acquire it in a trade.. and you pay way too much money to Free Agent pitchers.. guys get paid just as much for being “Innings Eaters” as they do for winning ballgames, and low ERA’s now..
I’m a big believer in keeping our young guys in the system if at all possible.. maybe they won’t all be ready this year.. but maybe they are ALL ready next year..
you can’t trade these guys for anything less than a stud in return.. and it would take probably 3-4 of our best prospects to get the kind of arm that would make a difference..
Posted: 12:48 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Griffin
Don M, you found the guy-Bedard. He’s a free agent after this season, so he’d only be a rental. The problem is that the AL West is so bad, that the Mariners might feel they still have a shot in that division.
Posted: 12:53 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Don M
There is no way they would release Park.. he would go to the bullpen to be a “long-reliever”
They signed him thinking he would pitch out of the bullpen.. but the way the got him to sign here instead of somewhere else was by telling him he could try to win the 5th starter job in spring training..
And since he pitched better than Happ, Kendrick, and Carrasco.. he won the job and they had to give it to him (If they didn’t.. future free agents wouldn’t be able to believe the Phillies Front Office..)
Posted: 12:54 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Mike59
Park and Moyer have to go. Blanton shows signs of getting it together. Get Happ in the rotation. They’ve had success trading for a 3/4 guy like Lohse/Blanton over the last two years. Try to go back to that well again. As far as who’s available, I think more names will come out as teams fade from contention.
Posted: 12:54 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Griffin
Another issue with Oswalt is that the Astros’ delusional owner, Drayton McLane, always thinks his team is in contention and refuses to rebuild. When the Astros traded Lidge, they went out and traded prospects for Jose Valverde, so trading Lidge wasn’t a case of waving the white flag. The bottom line is, I doubt Oswalt will be available.
Posted: 12:55 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 phil
if i were amaro id be trying to find out the dbacks asking price for webb is since he is coming off of injury
Posted: 12:57 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Don M
Mariners are now two under .500 at 18-20 (they’re 3-7 in their last 10 games)
I think they will SELL at the deadline…
Bedard was a guy the Phillies had lots of talks about before, so I’d expect his name comes up again..
Yankees and RedSox don’t need a ton of pitching help (Yankees just need better performance from who they have)
Mets might be in the mix for pitching.. Dodgers shouldn’t be.. Cubs, Cards ? Cardinals MIGHT be looking for more pitching..
anyway.. we can probably get an arm since the contending teams won’t be willing to give up much for what they can get in return
Posted: 01:01 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Don M
Brandon Webb has the best sinker (arguably) in baseball.. he’d be great on this team.. but he’s the face of the Diamondbacks .. even though they are horrible this year, I can’t imagine they would trade him
Posted: 01:04 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 mikemike
Oswalt isn’t the guy. why he won’t cost a lot in prospect, and he is better than moyer blanton and park. we are looking for a guy who keeps you in the game not cy young. If oswalt gives us 6 or 7 quality innings in most starts why not. People talk like he is terrible, remember he plays for the astros, not the world champs, the only thing so far that is a poitive is we arent’ getting any pitching and still. Half game back of the hottest team in basebasll. that bolds well for us. but must make a move.
Posted: 01:05 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Griffin
I have a feeling that something is not right with Webb. He’s not this awful and his injuries could be worse than we think.
Posted: 01:05 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Mike
I broke it first Timmy boy. Jamie Moyer is yanked out of the rotation. Car. coming up….boyyyyyyyyyy
Posted: 01:09 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Keith
just replace Park with Happ and that’s it.
Posted: 01:10 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Geoff
Webb would have to prove health, and has cheap options years left but probably wants a new deal. Bedard is in the walk year. I agree that this is why you dont trade your young arms. I think that if youre giving up a few good prospects you have to get a guy whos under contract beyond this year AND who is a number 2 or a very good 3. Theres no way that its worth trading away probably 2 pf these good young arms (thats starters or relievers) unless youre getting studly talent in return taht isnt going to just waltz on out the door in december (and you better at least offer them arbitration if they do – to get the two draft picks).
Otherwise – I agree. Theres no reason to trade for another 4 or 5 type guy – that really wont do anything at all. I mean, Drew Carpenter can step in right now and be a 5 but he probably wont do much better than park or moyer and Happ is first in line anyway. I though Carpenter looked ok but needed to go back down and brush up on a few things. Still, he projects as a 5th starter who might get called back up if this problem doesnt go away once Happ steps in.
Posted: 01:11 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Havoc
It hasn’t seemed to me that any of the three have really turned the corner. I’m fine with Happ and I think that would give us 3 acceptable starters, I’m not sure exactly what Kendrick has been doing in the minors but I’d be willing to gamble with him.
I think we might end up having to package a few guys and possibly Lou Marson. I just don’t want to see us gut the farm for anybody especially since we have a ton of talented guys working their way up.
I’ll keep my fingers crossed that one of the three works out or that Carrassco figures out what his problems have been and starts shutting teams down.
Posted: 01:12 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 ryan
i disagree with the opinion. only one needs to go. Moyer and Blanton have a proven track record. give them a chance to right themselves. they can still be above average major league pitchers.
Chan Ho on the other hand has a ten year track record of awful pitching to go along with a bad mentality he brings to the clubhouse and the field. I wouldn’t even put him in the pen at this point, I’d rather designate him for assignment.
Posted: 01:12 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Geoff
What I read about Webb is that they cant get an affordable insurance policy for WEbb because his injury is worse than is being let on. This is why they arent giving him a new contract. Thats why they traded for Dan Haren and locked him up to be their ace. Thats what I was reading at least. (MLBTR).
Posted: 01:16 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Dan
Happ must take over for Park. Moyer on the other hand has earned a chance to figure it out, at least for a little longer. If he doesn’t, then there needs to be a Major League 2 situation, where we bring in a new guy, and Charlie tells Jamie “Sorry, we aren’t carrying six starters. We’d like you to stay on as a coach.”
Posted: 01:19 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 mikemike
In his last nine starts oswalt pitched 6 innings in 8 of them and only once gave up more than 4 runs once, so as a four or five I’d take that. My offer for him is Donald and worley and a lower a prospect like galvis
Posted: 01:26 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Richie Allen
All this speculation is great except for one thing…Its Charlie who has to pull the trigger on replacing these guys.And Charlie is slow to give up on anyone.
How long will it be until he actually replaces a guy in the rotation?
I think he will give Moyer and Blanton a lot more time.Park will be replaced by Happ.
He’ll probably skip them in the rotation for a temporary guy rather than can them altogether.Thats just Charlie’s way.
Posted: 01:29 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Don M
I think Galvis is also a SS.. which is bad for them.. and also bad for us to not have anyone in the farm to play SS in a few years
Oswalt isn’t a “4-or- 5″ in anyone’s mind though.. you would have to give up prospects to obtain him as though he were an ACE, or a #2… and so you would need him to perform to that level..
They’ve got Wandy Rodriguez who is pitching NASTY this season, so maybe they would be willing to part ways with Oswalt-for-prospects.. but they would want Pitching in return..
Posted: 01:32 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Don M
Charlie doesn’t control if they call up an extra pitcher, or tell him to put Happ in the rotation..
The General Manager tells him who goes where.. Charlie gets to use the day to day stuff.. but if they say they want Happ in the rotation.. or if they call up Carrasco .. Charlie isn’t going to go against them, he’d get fired
we NEED a solid outing from Moyer… sucks that Cinncy is a hitters park too though, but you need to go out and Win #250 tomrw
Posted: 01:35 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Keith
Hamels is pitching tomorrow
Posted: 01:40 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Don M
Wednesday* my bad… it sucks when they’re off
Posted: 01:42 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 ll
well you know they’re probably not going to get rid of moyer….as far as park, he should def. go to the bullpen..
Happ should be put in!! i dont know why they haven’t yet..but im hoping it will be sometime soon..i say if they pull moyer/blanton, then kendrick should start..i dont feel like carpenter would be that effective
Posted: 01:52 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Pat Gallen
Oswalt is on downside of his career, may not have a ton left in the tank beyond maybe next year.
I am not so sold that Moyer will “get better.” “Get better” likely wont mean anything close to last years numbers, but I guess it couldnt get much worse.
Posted: 01:58 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Jeff of NoVa.
I think Park is pen material, put Happ there.
Then you give Moyer 1 maybe 2 more starts, then you go with Kendrick or Worley. Carpenter showed he is not major league ready and Carrasco has been a mess in AAA with a 6.00 ERA. They could also maybe throw Stutes a shot too.
Moyer as earned the right for 1 or 2 more. If he was the only one having issues then I would be all for him being pulled, but I feel Park has not helped the rotation physically or mentally.
Posted: 02:01 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 mikemike
I can’t imagine that the Astros would think that, unless they are blind. If they want young arms we have some in Stutes, Worley, bastardo, swimmer, a reliver, Savery [who I hate], De Fraus who shows a lot of promise so we have arms, no Drabek in any trade, but if we offer a pitcher or two plus donald or marson why not, The problem is most teams will wait for the deadline to try to get as much as possible.
Posted: 02:01 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Jeff of NoVa.
Carrasco has been erratic as of lat but he pitched 5 or 6 the other day gave up 3 lost of course cause the Ironpigs couldn’t support him. He is 0-5 cause most of his starts have had no run support. In the bigs he will get run support and that will help with his confidence. That is why our AAA sucks we have guys pitching well and they get no support. Very demoralizing. Thats why Reading is a better place and why Worley looks like a viable option
Posted: 02:07 PM on May 18, 2009
Posts: 0 Jeff of NoVa.
I don’t want Oswalt, sorry no interest in a hired gun for 3 months. I like our minor prospects better. Mike not sure why you don’t like Savery. He is pitching well at AAA, he is just overlooked by Worley and Stutes dominanting performances. Savery will be a 4 or 5 starter maybe a long reliever. He is getting better.
Posted: 02:09 PM on May 18, 2009