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Current Slump Is Like Deja Vu

Posted by Amanda Orr, Mon, June 22, 2009 11:35 AM | Comments: 58
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The Phillies finished their homestand 1-8, their worst homestand since August of 2004 when they went 1-9. The Phillies have been struggling on all cylinders; pitching, hitting, and even defensively. Last season, the Phillies were having similar struggles at the same time.

The Phillies crushed the St. Louis Cardinals 20-2 on June 13, 2008. They had a record of 41-28, 13 games over .500, and a four game lead over the Florida Marlins.  This year, before the Boston Red Sox came to town, the Phillies were 35-23, 12 games over .500, and had a 4 game lead over the New York Mets.

The Phillies ended up losing the series to the Cardinals before it was time for interleague play. They went 4-11 against American League teams, including a sweep by the Los Angeles Angels. The Phillies finished the month of June 44-39, reducing their lead to just one game. 

After the 20 run game, the Phillies offense struggled for the rest of the month. Runs were scarce to come by. The Phillies are in a similar boat, especially without Raul Ibanez. The difference is the bullpen. Brad Lidge was perfect in saves, this year the Phillies have blown a total of 12 saves.

It is better timing than in September, but in the end every game counts.  The Phillies rebounded last July and were back to ten games over .500 by the end of the month. They beat the American League when it mattered most; in the World Series.

The slump is concerning but this team is too strong to stay in it for a long time.  Brad Lidge will be back soon and Ibanez isn’t too far behind.  Until then, different players are going to need to step up, something they have not done to this point.  The Phillies have proved they are a second half team for the last four years, and hope that this year is no different.

 
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  • Posts: 0 jeff

    Here is what I am having a problem with. I am a huge Phillies fan. I love this team. Last year everything came together. When you look at our pitching from last season you are shocked we won it all. Moyer had a nice season but there were plenty of games were he got rocked. We should of shook his hand and let him go. He might be good from time to time but you cant rely on him. Happ and Bastardo are our future but you are not winning it all with them. The bullpen is been so over used this year. I dont know if they will make it to the end. Last year Lidge was perfect and we just barley won the division…I have many issues with Manuel. First Rollins who I never have loved on this team. Yes he is a great defense of player. I hope steroids were not involved because his power went away. He has a big mouth. I understand when he scores we win. Charlie moved him to the 6th hole and guess what he started hitting the ball. Then he moves him back. WHY? He is just slumpping in the number one hole. Howard is a very very streaky player. I would of never given him that big contract. Go year to year and then trade him at the end. He makes alot of big outs and swings at almost every bad slider. Drives us nuts. Utley is struggling but he is so good you cant yell. Werth is streaky as well. To up and down and that hurts this team. Ruiz and Feliz are finally coming back down to earth. They are not .300 hitters. Ibanez will also come back down. He is solid and will be for the rest of the season. Our bench is pathetic. Stairs is good but Bako, Bruntlett, Coste, and Dobbs. Please. We play yo you with our AAA guys. Leave Mayberry alone. I understand why Stairs was in there but Mayberry is a better ball player. Charlie out thinks himself. We need to make a couple trades. Fast. Not at the deadline. Soon. We all can thank the Mets for allowing us to stay in first. Just think we would be 6 up if not for this bad slump but they could say the same thing. You cant get swept by these bad teams. Finally I think we can all put Madson as a closer to rest. Lidge is the man and I hope he returns to form. We have a tough series coming up and Moyer leads off. We need to hold our breathe because you dont know which Moyer will show…

     
  • Posts: 0 notafanofphilly

    I eagerly await first place and a 2009 World Championship. Let’s go Mets

     
  • Posts: 0 Georgie

    This is ABSOLUTELY deja vu. I keep reminding myself of how I happened upon PN late last July. I was so frustrated with the way the Phils were playing, I think I googled “Phillies sucking” or something to that effect, and lo and behold, I found this site. There was a guy named Geoff who was saying all the stuff I had been feeling for the past month, so of course I chimed in, and we determined that about half the team should be traded, benched, or sent to the minors. it was so awesome to have other Phils fans to commiserate with, and by August I was 100% certain that they could never make it to the WS. Then there was the ever-upbeat and glass overflowing Don M. He NEVER gave up, which I just couldn’t believe, and I may have accused him of being a Phils employee at one time, sorry Don.

    This year the slump looks even worse, but I’m going to try and remain positive. It’s basically the same group of guys, I know they can hit, so I’m not too worried about the offense yet. The pitching is another story, however, since last year was a magical season for the pitching staff, no major injuries, Lidge perfect, I knew this season was going to be different for them, so that’s my main concern right now. But Ruben can’t just wave a magic wand and bring in a starter, and now they are dropping like flies, so it is a big problem.

    If they can address their pitching needs, I think there’s a good chance they can repeat, as difficult as that may be, I’m not throwing in the towel too early this year, afterall, they are the WFC!

     
  • Posts: 0 jeff

    I love these Mets fans. They have so many issues on that team. You are not winning a title with that team. That line up scares no one except steve sommers on wfan..LOL

     
  • Posts: 0 Matt

    I hate to say it, but the best thing as a long term (that’s the key word) Phillies fan would be to stand pat this year and take whatever this year gives us.

    We don’t want to trade Michael Taylor, Dom Brown, Kyle Drabeck, etc for losers like Peavy, Bedard, Marquis, etc.

    We might not make the playoffs, but we’re going to be in much better position with some of the young guys who are knocking on the doorstep next year.

     
  • Posts: 0 Eli

    We can and will win it all. We have much les problems than you. Does SWEEP SWEEP sound familar? Worst of all you got swept by two HORRIBLE teams. I mean, the Os and Jays SUCK. What does that say for your Phillies?

     
  • Posts: 0 OZ

    time to get bitter………Outman pitching better than Blaton……Wolf better career ERA than Myers…….

     
  • Posts: 0 William of Schuylkill County

    Howard has Acute sinusitis..should return tuesday.

     
  • Posts: 0 jeff

    Eli shut up you biatch…..We are a much better team then the Mets. Why dont you stop coming here and worry about your own team. You dont look very good. Except for Santana who looks bad right now, and Beltran who is hurt, you are horrible. Wright is to up and down to worry about. You have not won anything since 86. So stop ahole.

     
  • Posts: 0 The Dispy

    Ouch. Sinusitis is a bitch. Three problems as I see it:

    1) If you take the mean average of the last three seasons of each pitcher in our rotation you will find that Hamels is a 1 (short season in ’07), Blanton is 1 4 and Moyer is a 5. Ummmmmm….errrrrrr. Past perforamce is the best indicator of future returns. Meyers is gone and Moyer hads reverted to form after last year’s dream season.

    2) In the piost season last year our lineup took pitches. They worked their at bats. Teams like the Red Sox know that the quicker you can get into a team’s bullpen, which is filled with a lotta shitty pitchers, the better of you are. We don’t do this.

    3. Our bench is abysmal. The lack of a right handed bat forces us to have Bako on the roster. This is unacceptable.

    The Dipsy

     
  • Posts: 0 The Dispy

    Sorry about all the typos.

    The Dipsy

     
  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    Potential trade target alert! The Reds are said to be dangling “a veteran starter, either Aaron Harang or Bronson Arroyo.” – From MLBTR

    Boom, Ruben, pick up the phone and ask what they want for Harang. Im shocked to hear that he could be made available. Gotta be all over that.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    Blue Jays have a better record than the Mets .. and if the Blue Jays “SUCK” I don’t know what that says about the Mets.

    Honestly.. I can’t believe that any Phillies fans, or Mets fans are actually talking smack right now … we’re both banged-up.. and we’re both losing to “bad” teams … really all the teams in AL EAST can hit.. if Baltimore gets any pitching, they are a good team (they’ve won series vs. us.. the Yankees, etc..)

    Its still early in the season.. we miss Lidge more than we thought we would.. and we need Howard and Ibanez back ASAP

     
  • Posts: 0 The Dispy

    Love to have Harang. Luke Donald and Travis D’Arnaud for him

    The Dipsy

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    Harang will be on their radar.. a STRIKEOUT pitcher.. a RHP…

    my guess is they ask for Carrasco and Michael Taylor

    now it gets interesting

     
  • Posts: 0 Eli

    Mets will outbid the Phillies on Hurang. He will help seal our destiny. You could offer your whole infield, and we will get him. Look how great Omar is, he got K-Rod, Santana, beltran and took Wagner from you all. he will get us what we need over you all.

    Oh, and the Jays are playing horrible. Much worse than us. In fact, we are playing much better than any NL team except Dodgers. We are ascending. Let’s Go mets

     
  • Posts: 0 Steve-o

    Oh yeah, Eli thanks for taking Wagner from us, believe me, we all appreciate it.

    I’d pay for Harang, as long as Drabek, Happ and Taylor aren’t involved. Anyone else, fine.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    Is this dude even serious?

    Wagner ?? They guy that is hurt and you are paying $10+ Million… which prevents you from adding the Outfielder you need … is that the Wagner you’re talking about?

    3-7 in your last 10 games … better than our 2-8 record in that span.. not so much better that i’d make claims about how good my team is though.

    Talk actual baseball… not lazy, unknowledgable trash-talk

     
  • Posts: 0 jeff

    Like Mike Franscesa said on Wfan, the Phillies have to much talent to be this bad. They will wake up. He said the Mets are just BAD. He said this team will not go anywhere this year. He is so right. We have hope with Utley, Howard, Ibanez, Rollins.

     
  • Posts: 0 Chuck P

    We’re still in first.

    Sorry guys, but the NLE has become a trainwreck and there is simply NO need to panic… we’re going to get a top tier starter. I’m convinced that is going to happen but as long as we’re still leading the pack Amaro is going to take his time… as he should. Players on the DL need to be 100% healthy before they come back… Ibanez and Lidge should be taking their time… as long as that happens, and as long as we get that top-tier starter, we’ll be fine.

     
  • Posts: 0 jeff

    Hey Yea Eli, you have a great GM. Look at your team. What a mess. How is Perez working out for you. Oh and Putz, what a great signing. Church…LOL…Your such a dweeb

     
  • Posts: 0 Bruce

    Dipsy says~ “..Past performance is the best indicator of future returns.” Sorry, if you did a thorough research of decades past, you would find that statement is not applicable for a substantial number of players that have had a checkered career and won respectability by achieving success in their twilight years.

    What better example than Jamie Moyer and his 23 year career? At age 33 (1995), he had just had 59 wins. In the next 13 years he went on to win 187 games! Age didn’t slowed him down. He just got better as he won 30 games including two division clinchers in 2007and 2008 for the Phillies. He averaged at least 200 innings pitched in the last three seasons.

    It’s irony you mentioned that last year’s lineup “took pitches”. Charlie Manuel complained in post game interview yesterday, that his line up was being too passive in taking pitches when having a hitter’s count. ;-)

     
  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    With that prospects? The Mets have NO prospects worth a a darn. Fernando Martinez was ruined by getting called up too early – at least until they send him back down to regain confidence. Parnell is nothing to brag about – hes ok.

    The Mets have a terrible farm system now.

    Fo Harang – who has become a Sinker/slider groundball pitcher THIS season – Id offer Carlos Carrasco, Michael Taylor and some sort of filler like Kendrick or D’Arnaud.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    Dominic Brown is a higher rated OF prospect than Michael Taylor … but he’s in single-A … Taylor is AA.. which one will teams want more? which one do we need to keep more?

    The Reds are 34-34 right now … only 3.0 games back in the WILD CARD… and only 4.0 games back in the NL CENTRAL

    I don’t think they’ll be selling until the deadline, if they sell at all

     
  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    Id keep Brown. Shane Victorino might walk for Free Agency…Werth has one year left after this year. I figure the Phillies will keep one of Werth/Victorino and replace them with whichever of Taylor/Brown isnt moved.

    Id lean towards keeping Brown because of his ability to play all three OF positions well and leadoff the order.

     
  • Posts: 0 Chuck P

    I like Harang but he’s a weird dude…

    He’ll strike a ton of people out… he attacks the zone but he also gives up a lot of runs. I’m not sure how he translates at CBP…

     
  • Posts: 0 Mark B

    Eli – you can have Hurang. We’ll take Harang.

     
  • Posts: 0 The Dispy

    Bruce, I don’t mean to be contentious but if you look over Moyer’s last 5 years, not the last 13, he’s not a good pitcher. He’s a nice man but you can’t count on him to have the year he did last year or even close. Regarding taking pitches, too many guys swing at first pitches. Rollins, Howard, Shane. Howard swings at absolutely everything and he’s got to stop. I guess I’m not talking about “hitter’s counts” but the at bat as a whole.

    Geoff: I don’t think Taylor is going anywhere except in a trade for Halladay or MAYBE Lee.

    The Dipsy

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    I don’t think you would need to give up EXTRA players in a trade for Harang..

    I think Carrasco and Taylor would be fair to both sides..

    and I think if you can add a #2 pitcher.. for a pitcher with #2-status as his ceiling.. and an OF prospect..

    .. I kinda think you pull the trigger..

    I dont know what they have at Catcher?? maybe Marson instead of Taylor.. but they would still want one of the OF prospects for any deal where a “better than average pitcher” is involved.

    Taylor-or-Brown are gone in any deal for Lee, Bedard, Harang, etc..

    If we opt for a Marquis or something, we probably get to keep our OF prospects

     
  • Posts: 0 ryan

    good post Tim. i was worried ya might come out and go a little kooky and lose perspective here. I know alot of people who have eagles fans type of mindset where you lost two games and therefore the season is over and it is the apocalypse etc etc… this is baseball. and there isn’t a team in the NL or the AL that won’t experience a stretch like the Phils are in right now at some point during the season

     
  • Posts: 0 Chuck P

    Geoff…. Carrasco, Taylor and Kendrick/D’Arnaud.

    Are you nuts?

    Carrasco has been the highest prospect in our system for two years (if you want to give up on him, that’s fine but in combination with these players, it sounds absurd), Taylor is an up and comer and D’arnaud is probably our highest rating catching prospect (Marson on DL). Harang’s contract (signed following his 2006 season) is pretty heavy, too…

     
  • Posts: 0 Bruce

    I’m wondering why would the Reds trade one of their better pitchers (Harang) when they are still in contention in their division? Ahh..h those pervasive rumors. ;-)

    By the way, I found Harang’s injury record:

    Aug 20, 2008: Neck injury, day-to-day.
    Aug 10, 2008: Missed 26 games (forearm injury).
    Jul 13, 2008: Forearm injury, 15-day DL (retroactive to July 9).
    Jul 10, 2008: Forearm injury, day-to-day.
    Jul 8, 2008: Missed 3 games (forearm injury).
    Jul 4, 2008: Forearm injury, day-to-day.
    Aug 8, 2007: Missed 3 games (back injury).
    Aug 1, 2007: Back injury, day-to-day.
    Jul 23, 2007: Missed 4 games (bereavement list).
    Jul 19, 2007: Placed on the bereavement list by the Cincinnati Reds.
    May 17, 2007: Placed on bereavement list by the Cincinnati Reds.
    Feb 6, 2007: Re-signed by the Cincinnati Reds to a four-year contract.
    Jan 17, 2006: Re-signed by the Cincinnati Reds to a one-year contract.
    May 30, 2005: Missed 5 games (illness).
    May 25, 2005: Illness, day-to-day.
    Jun 26, 2004: Missed 20 games (right elbow injury).
    Jun 4, 2004: Right elbow injury, 15-day DL (retroactive to June 2).
    Feb 27, 2004: Re-signed by the Cincinnati Reds to a one-year contract.
    Aug 9, 2003: Recalled from Lousiville (AAA).
    Jul 30, 2003: Acquired from the Oakland Athletics.
    Jul 16, 2003: Optioned to Sacramento (AAA).
    May 24, 2003: Recalled from Sacramento (AAA).
    Mar 20, 2003: Optioned to Sacramento (AAA).
    Oct 1, 2002: Did not make the 25-man playoff roster.
    Sep 4, 2002: Recalled from Sacramento (AAA).
    Aug 26, 2002: Optioned to Sacramento (AAA).
    Jul 24, 2002: Recalled from Sacramento (AAA).
    Jul 23, 2002: Optioned to Sacramento (AAA).
    May 25, 2002: Recalled from Sacramento (AAA).

     
  • Posts: 0 Chuck P

    Wish list… in this order

    Halladay
    Lee/Oswalt
    Harang/Bedard
    Peavy

    Sheets?

     
  • Posts: 0 Bruce

    Talk about a checkered career; Would someone give a good explanation on Harang’s record for last season (6-17 and a 4.78 ERA).

    I wonder if Dipsy would use his previous statement..”Past performance is the best indicator of future returns”..for Harang? ;-)

     
  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    I cant see Roy Halladay as really being available. I think the Astros owner is a delusional idiot and therefore wont make Oswalt available.

    Soo the best guy who will liekly be available is Cliff Lee unless the Indians surge. The Rockies will still sell just not yet.

    Carrasco is very expendable if youre getting a good guy in return. Im jjust saying ithats what theyd want for Harang. I still cant see the Reds even making him available though. I mean, the Reds are close to being a WC team in the next few years. Why trade your most experienced quality starting pitcher?

    I think Bronson Arroyo would suck here, btw.

     
  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    WC = Wild Card

     
  • Posts: 0 Bruce

    In rereading my post on Harang’s past injuries, I do notice his injury problems for last season. That may explain in part for his poor 2008 record.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    Yea Harang was hurt and tried to come back like 2 or 3 times last year before he was actually healthy..

    Harang and Bedard are both the #2 on this staff… the same way Lee and Oswalt would both be the #2 on this staff..

    The biggest difference is that Harang and Bedard would probably cost less

    Halladay isn’t going anywhere

     
  • Posts: 0 The Dispy

    Bruce, can you check out the three seasons before that on Harang? Thanks. And, respectfully, are you really disputing the “past performance” barometer? I didn’t make it up. Put it this way: If Jamie Moyer were a stock would you buy it? I don’t hate the guy. I’m just saying he’s probably more the pitcher he was in in 2004-2007 and this part of 2009 than the guy who pitched in 2008. I wouldn’t mind so much if he gave up six runs a game if he would just wait until the 8th inning to do it.

    The Dipsy

     
  • Posts: 0 Mike Francesa

    Yeah, listen to what I say, it’s gospel. I said Joba is the best pitcher in baseball and the Yanks are going to run and hide from the rest of the league this year. I must be right about the Phils and Mets. I’m right about EVERYTHING.

    The Pope

     
  • Posts: 0 Manny

    I think that even though Bedard and Harang would both be No.2s in our staff, Bedard is more talented. If it takes the same prospects to get either, I think I’d prefer Bedard. 4 lefties all the way!

     
  • Posts: 0 Chuck P

    I actually kind of agree with you, Geoff… if you feel like you’re getting the right guy, he is expendable. I’m not sure if Harang is the right guy. I like him but does he have the stuff that it takes to be a good starter in Philadelphia.

    They need to dump salary and we need a decent pitcher. Remember, we traded for Blanton last year, who was the A’s opening day starter. We traded him for Cardenas, Outman and Matt Spencer. Cardenas was the headliner but Outman and Spencer were afterthoughts (although Outman was solid as a starter this year before developing elbow issues). Carrasco > Outman. Throw in D’Arnaud and a draft pick or a low rated prospect. Take it or leave it.

     
  • Posts: 0 Mazinman

    Last week was the worse week I can remember in a long time. We lost all the games, we lost Raul, Ryan got sick, Madson can’t get a save, offence not clicking. A million and one problems. The one difference between this year and the last is that the Mets were charging hard while this year they are also struggling. There is no way we should still be in first yet we are.

    I thought we could wait until the deadline for moves but now I am not so sure. We need a bench bat and SP badly. Whoever makes the first big move might very well win the division.

     
  • Posts: 0 The Dispy

    Hey Chuck. I said Donald and D’Arnaud. Did Outman hurt his elbow?

    The Dipsy

     
  • Posts: 0 Chuck P

    I would go for that, Dipsy… Donald/D’Arnaud… we would probably have to send them a pitcher, too. Savery or Carpenter or Worley… not Drabek and not Carrasco.

     
  • Posts: 0 Chuck P

    Outman was yanked in the second inning last week… he has a weird pitching style so this was anticipated, to some extent.

     
  • Posts: 0 LH

    Love the heat of the summer and I’m sure the Phils bats will warm to the tunes and the flow of beer as fans watch their boys win again at home. I hope Ruben gets Baez from the Orioles to fill in the relief. Is Madson tired? His fastball looked slow yesterday. Can’t imagine what decent starter the Phillies will get yet with most teams buying instead of selling.

     
  • Posts: 0 The Dipsy

    I think thats a little too much. Harang is just ok. Kinda like another Blanton almost. Savery is 9-1 in Reading right now. Now you and I both know that he’s doing it with mirrors, but maybe some other team will buy into him as a real good prospect.

    The Dispy

     
  • Posts: 0 Eli

    I am serious, we have Putz, K-Rod, Wagner, all because of our GM. This man should be in the HOF with Beltran, Reyes, AND Delgado. We will win. All of them will be back by AUgust and we will have taken first. Let’s go Mets.

     
  • Posts: 0 Steve-o

    I think Outman’s long term role is still as a glorified LOOGY, so I’m not too worried about the loss of him. Joe made it worth while last year. Everyone really needs to stop wishing for Halladay. The Jays are still right in the race, so he’s simply not available. I think Lee could be the best available, but as one writer put it, either Heyman or Olney, the Indians will need him next year, and he’s very cheap at 8m for 2010, so why deal him?
    Bedard is now hurt, and that’s a few years in a row that he’s been out of commission. I just can’t see Amaro throwing away valuable pieces for someone who’s such an injury risk.
    Harang would be the best bet, but I still wouldn’t deal Taylor. I have to think Carrasco and Marson/Donald would get it done however.

     
 
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