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Leave the Pen Alone!

Posted by Pat Gallen, Sun, May 09, 2010 10:05 PM | Comments: 72
Analysis, Posts

It’s a fickle, volatile club to be a part of.  One day, you’re a hero closing it down after a fine effort by the starter, or shutting down an opponent for an important middle inning.  The next, you’re the bane of the fans existence, a thorn in their side after blowing a four-run lead, or even by just allowing a lone runner to cross home plate.

The life of a relief pitcher is one that most people couldn’t handle.  Pressure-packed moments are what they often deal with, and if success isn’t the end result, then it’s nothing but a failure.  Relievers will never get the benefit of the doubt (unless you’re Brad Lidge, and you got yourself a free year after the perfection of 2008) and that’s evident now more than ever.

Take for instance Danys Baez, who is no doubt struggling.  Many are calling for his head just a few appearances into the season, an unfair assessment when you look at how all bullpens are constituted. Baez is getting paid a relatively large sum money for the position he’s in; one which he hasn’t succeeded as of yet.  But find me a bullpen where there isn’t a struggling relief pitcher.

Ryan Madson and David Herndon are also part of the struggling bunch, but luckily enough, there are others out in the pen picking up the slack.  Chad Durbin has been a stalwart. Antonio Bastardo was an adequate situational lefty in his short stay.  Jose Contreras has been the brightest of the bunch.

Many right here on our own commenting boards ripped the move, wondering why the Phils would go after a 38-year old that had struggled for many seasons as a starter. Ruben Amaro saw steady relief pitcher written all over him.  His rocket fastball is perfect for a 7th-or-8th inning situation.  His off-speed stuff has been found. Contreras is proving the doubters wrong, sporting a sub-one earned run average.

But, that’s exactly the point here.  Bullpen arms are often times feeble, many times fragile, other times exceptional.  Luck plays a huge role in a lot of what goes on beyond the centerfield fence.  There have been questions surfacing from readers asking if the Phils will look to make a deal for bullpen help or scour the wire for an arm. There’s no need.  It’s really no help, anyway.

If you want to be happy with your bullpen, come to terms with it’s unpredictability and temperamental makeup.  Baez, on occasion, will find his rhythm. Other times, he won’t. Contreras will likely hit an icy patch.  Madson is surely going through his darkest hour. David Herndon hasn’t quite perfected the sinker.

All will struggle, all will succeed.  As a fan, give this cast of characters the benefit of the doubt.  It’s a high-pressure situation that breeds failure. Yes, this bullpen can be better.  Give them the chance to be.

 
 
  • Posts: 0 Manny

    (unless you can get a good 4-year deal)

     
  • Posts: 0 Evan

    Bullpens are rarely a sure thing. Charlie hasn’t been doing the best job managing the bullpen this year. I would also like Lidge to pitch in non-save situations, but he’s making too much $$$ for that to happen without blowing even more saves to go on top of his struggles from ’09.

     
  • Posts: 0 Chuck

    Jayson Werth IS NOT GOING TO SIGN A 4 YEAR DEAL!! There are more than just one or 2 teams out there that will go 5 and maybe even one would go 6.

    So why would he agree to 4?

    The Phils…if they really want to keep him…need to strike when the time is right…..and not embarrass themselves.

     
  • Posts: 0 Phan in the outfield

    Ok, jeeze. Yes Werth wants to cash in – this is his yr (his ONLY yr) to do that & he’s keenly aware of it (anyone would be). He’s said as much. But nothing Werth he’s said has led me to believe he’s just outright going for money alone. He said he’s not Holliday or Bay, that he doesn’t have the multi-yrs of full play under him that they do. He gets it. He has also talked a lot about this being the perfect team for him & exactly what “perfect” means to him (the mngmt, the players, the attitude, the city & fans). I think in his head the fact that he doesn’t have the yrs under him & the ‘happiness’ factor are some kind of discount. How much? I don’t know. Nobody does. But they do factor in in some way. The 6/105 number is over the top. I think Howard got too much and 6/105 for Werth is too much too. Come on. Don’t even put the idea in Jeff Borris’ already wacked-out, agent-twisted head.

     
  • Posts: 0 Matt Kwasiborski

    The one thing that Werth says leads me to believe he won’t be signing a contract before he can become a UFA. He says he has worked hard to get to this point because of all of the inuries he has suffered. With that being said, if the Phillies made a serious offer to him, I do think he will sign it. Now, what will that offer be? Also, Carlos Crawford was recently quoted as saying that he and Pena will be the ones leaving the Rays. Crawford will set the market for Werth.

    Phils need to trade Victorino who has the most value and if most affordable to other teams. Then they need to see if they can move Ibanez or Madson. With Ibanez they will need to take on his salary for the rest of the year. Madson should be traded just for being a knucklehead. Plus Contreras to me is a much better option in true pressure situations. Madson can only pitch the 8th inning and that is all. If we bring him in the 7th, he feels insulted, and when he comes in for the 9th he crumbles. To me Durbin is a much better pitcher too.

    I don’t think it is impossible to sign Werth but they need to move these guys. Bullpen guys are always valued and someone needs Madson out there.

     
  • Posts: 0 Phan in the outfield

    I’m with ya Chuck. Now – before another (more egregious) team does it. It would be an embarrassment if they couldn’t work it out. They struck when they thought the time was right for Howard. Why can’t they do it for Werth? They should prove they play well with the players who earn it. There IS a way to do this financially. Both sides just have to want it enough. My sense from Werth (his own statements) is that he does want it. If they treat him poorly then he walks. What else is he going to say? He has to be prepared for it, esp from the things RAJ & Montgomery have been saying. He has to make himself cool with going someplace else.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    4/$60 …and 6/$120 are both nuts..

    Werth will be looking for, and will most like get something around a 5 year deal (maybe its 4 with an option, etc) and the value will be somewhere around $15-16-17 M per seaon

    so a 5 year, $75 M offer is probably his low point right now.. but he’s got as much chance of getting $100 Million contract as Kyle Kendrick does of throwing the next Perfect Game

     
  • Posts: 0 Phan in the outfield

    I think the reason he talked about his wrist injury was in comparison to Holliday & Bay. Because of the injury he doesn’t have the same number of yrs of full play time under him that they do. In a sense he was giving the team an OUT. He literally said, “I’m not them.” He can’t be compared to them or even Crawford. They need to go on Werth’s stats. And I also kind of agree that I don’t think Werth or anyone could continue at Werth’s current level of play. So his play may go down slightly (and this is admittedly not so nice of me) soon & this could help the cause of the club.

     
  • Posts: 0 Chuck

    That’s what I was saying….5/80-85. If the Phils offered that now he would be CRAZY not to jump on it.

     
  • Posts: 0 Georgie

    One of these days, there’s going to be a player who says, “ya know what? I LOVE playing right where I am, love my teammates, love my managers, love the fans. I’m already making more money than I know what to do with…so it’s not worth (Werth) a few more million to me to leave everything I love and go to some team I might not feel comfortable on”.

    I know, it sounds crazy, but look at the face of Roy Halladay the next time one of our fielders makes a freakin’ awesome play to turn a hit into an out, or Polly’s almost constant sh!t-eaten grin on his face. It’s a privelege to play on this Phillies team, and everyone knows that.

     
  • Posts: 0 Chuck

    Good point….but the Phillies aren’t the ONLY team like that. I think players on other teams….like the Red Sox….might feel that way too.

    And even though we all HATE the Yankees….and what they stand for in OUR eyes…..it IS a “privelege” to play with that uniform on. The same uniform of Ruth, Mantle, Gehrig, etc.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    just yesterday, Werth said something like ‘I’ve played my whole career to get to this point, so Im going to let it play out” (regarding Free Agency)

    The Phillies would have to offer him the world to get him to stay right now.. that wouldn’t be smart..

    He started out great so far this year, but lets see where he is at the end of the year.. maybe he ends the year with a .260 average, 25 HRs, and 85 RBI …. or maybe he ends the year with a .290 average, 45 HRs, and 125 RBI

    we don’t know.. and we dont know if Ibanez rebounds all the way.. or if Domomic Brown will be ready to play at the MLB level

    too many uncertainties right now to justify a crazy expensive extension to Werth, especially because you would have to “overpay” right now to keep him from testing the Free Agent market

     
  • Posts: 0 Georgie

    Chuck, it’s also about the way these guys have bonded over the years…the core guys are really close friends, imo, and that’s something you can’t necessarily find in another city, on another team. I’m just saying, one of these days, money won’t be the ultimate bargaining chip for someone in professional sports.

    eeww…*privilege….I don’t mind if someone else misspells, but I don’t like to do it myself.

     
  • Posts: 0 Chuck

    I can’t believe I mispelled it too. Usually, I’m pretty picky about that kind of stuff.

    Unfortunately, money IS the ultimate bargaining chip. Always has been. Always will be. “Money talks”

    That said, I would hope that some guys would consider other factors, along with money, when deciding on contracts.

    As for Werth, when the time is right for the team to make a move, they can’t mess around with it. Make a good offer. Don’t insult the man. And go from there.

     
  • Posts: 0 The Dipsy

    Whether Werth signs with the Phillies or not hinges on really one thing: Germany. If Germany can’t keep that Eurozone pumped with liquidity and serve as a backstop for all those banks that are gonna fail in Greece, Portugal, and Spain, by the time Werth hits free agency, the euro won’t be worth crap. Europe won’t be able to import meaning we won’t export meaning our GDP will be way down thus leading to a bad stock markey situation and a double dip in unemployement. In short, a horrible economy. If it gets bad enough perhaps we can keep Jason for 3y24m….and he’ll be glad to get it.

    The Dipsy

     
  • Posts: 0 Evan

    How did the comments go from the pen to Jayson Werth?

    I really don’t think the Phils can afford him, anyone who thinks so is just wishful thinking. Then again I also think Amaro is crazy so who knows.

     
  • Posts: 0 psujoe

    Sorry Evan, my fault. Nice article I read on Werth prompted me to post about it on this site.

    5/80. Werth would be gambling if he didn’t take it. If he gets injured before the end of the year he may have pissed away $80 million. $5 million is a lot of money, but I’d sacrafice $5 million to get $80 million gaurenteed. He has been injury prone.

     
  • Posts: 0 Mossybrown

    Werth is good but not a franchise player worth 100M. Only a AL team can give that since he is 32. Would rather watch D Brown learn the ropes, struggle and show flashes of greatness than tie up money on Werth.
    I think the Howard deal was unneeded. They will have him for his peak years at that money, why pay for his non peak as well. Who is going to give him 25M plus in two years on a long contract?
    As far as the pen, Herndon has been ok but needs to pitch in AAA but the restrictions on him make him hard to keep, so roll the dice and see if he clears or is taken back. Madson will be fine and rested, tough start but he is a proven setup guy, not a closer. Saw Mathieson at LV twice and he sets himself apart from all pitchers. Works fast, goes right at you with a fastball that jumps out of his hand. His slider was sharp and had great late movement and seemed to throw it where he wanted but his changeup impressed me the most and made hitters look foolish. No idea why he doesnt get at least look. Would be pretty fun to have a high 90s -100mph guy come out of the pen. Also saw Savery pitch and the only thing to say is fire that scout who drafted him in the first round!

     
  • Posts: 0 Chuck

    5/80??? Offered now???

    He’d be crazy not to sign it.

    But…as has been said….nothing will probably happen now anyway. We all just need to hunker down for the season and enjoy it.

     
  • Posts: 0 The Second John

    As far as Jayson Werth is concerned, I don’t think he will resign becuase he will be asking for about 4 or 5 years with at least $15 million. And if Werth does leave, the Phills have no one to replace him in the system.

    As for Lidge, I have no confidence in him whatsoever. He was lucky the wind was blowing in, or the Phills would have gone into extra innings. The sliders he threw hung, and the fastballs tailed towards the middle of the plate.

     
  • Posts: 0 shag beta sigma delta

    first I have to agree to leave the pen alone for now. As for Lidge, he has had 3 or 4 straight good outings, two coming in back to back nights. His fastball the last time I saw him pitch, Missed Sunday game TiVo screwed me. was 93 -95, so I think he is coming back just fine. Contreaus seems like he can handle the set up or close on Lidge’s nights off. He did not give up a hit or a walk and you are still not satisfied with his outing, seems a little strange to me.
    As for Wreth what in his make up and comments leads you all to believe he would not give some type of home town discount. I am saying he would sign for 10 million a year, but he wants to stay here I can defitaly see him signing a back loaded deal of 11 or 12 million for the first year 17-18 for the fourth and/or fifth year. Say 5 years 77-80 million, 12-14-16-18-18, that is a pretty good deal and only 78 million, so if you want to go up to 80 million you can make it 15-17 for years 2 and 3. Then when he starts making the big bucks Raul, Lidge, Madson, would be off the books. Also PP would be gone by year 3.
    That is a lot of money and the home town discount he may like to sign. Why do you all assume it is always about the money. 80 million in 5 years is enough to set his familly up for life, this generation and the next. He has made some money already and this would not be his last contract, he would be what 36 when it was done, and if he stays healthy some AL team would sign him for 2 or 3 more years as DH spot outfielder.

     
  • [...] desire to keep the weight off the bullpen and the pitch count being on its way up had collided and ended in a weirdly-arranged silence.  But [...]

     
 
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