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Gameday: Phillies (40-34) at Reds (43-34)

Posted by Corey Seidman, Tue, June 29, 2010 06:09 PM | Comments: 196
2010 Gameday, Gameday 2010, Posts

Philadelphia Phillies (40-34) at Cincinnati Reds (43-34)

Joe Blanton, RHP (3-5, 6.53 ERA) vs. Mike Leake, RHP (5-1, 2.92 ERA)

Time: 7:10, Great American Ballpark
Weather: Sunny, 77
TV: Comcast SportsNet
Twitter: @philliesnation

Well, the Phillies did not anticipate beginning their final first half road trip like this.

In Monday night’s series opener, an uninspiring 7-3 loss to the Reds was coupled with a thumb injury damaging enough to force Chase Utley out of the game. Utley, attempting to stretch a single into a double, sprained his thumb sliding into second base in the fourth inning but remained in the game until the top of the ninth.

Chase later had trouble gripping the bat, and made an atypical fielding error that most certainly was a result of the injury.

Trips to the DL for Utley and Placido Polanco (elbow) leave the Phillies in a precarious position. The team was forced to call up Greg Dobbs (2-for-17 in Triple-A) and middle infielder Brian Bocock (.179/.239/.231 in 237 awful plate appearances at Lehigh Valley.)

Now that the depressing news is out of the way, let’s focus on tonight’s game. As I stated yesterday, the Phillies should hit Mike Leake. The rookie righthander has been very effective this season, but his success is over-exaggerated by an extremely high left on-base rate.

For the season, Leake has a middling 1.41 WHIP and has stranded 80% of his baserunners, almost 10% better than the rest of the league. While a glance at this number may lead you to believe that Leake has simply beared down with men on, it should be noted that even the best pitchers lack some sort of “skill” to consistently maintain such lofty strand rates.

Leake, who has been considerably worse at Great American Ballpark than on the road, has allowed more than three runs only three times in fourteen starts, but two of those outings took place in his last three times out (five runs apiece at home to the Dodgers and Giants.)

Leake throws the following five pitches, with the percentage of how often he throws each following in parentheses:

  • High-80s fastball (51% of the time),
  • Low-80s slider (20%),
  • High-80s cutter (11%),
  • Low-80s changeup (10%),
  • Mid-70s curveball (8%).

Look for Leake’s changeup to be used more frequently tonight, because the Phillies first four hitters, and six of nine overall, are lefties.

As for the Phils, Joe Blanton will look to build upon two solid outings. Things haven’t been easy for Kentucky Fried Starter in 2010, as he started the season on the DL, came back and pitched well but had nothing to show for it, then went through a horrific stretch of four poor starts in a row.

Blanton is 2-0 with a 4.15 ERA in thirteen lifetime innings against the Reds, and, despite allowing five runs in five innings, got a win in his only career start at Great American Ballpark.

Tonight’s home plate umpire will be the universally despised CB Bucknor. In his career, Blanton has struggled in the three starts in which Bucknor stood behind home plate – allowing ten runs in 16 innings of work.

Obviously, this could mean nothing – Blanton could have simply faced good competition or failed to make pitches in those games, but it seems worthy of a note.

LINEUP: Victorino CF, Dobbs 3B, Rollins SS, Howard 1B, Werth RF, Ibanez LF, Schneider C, Valdez 3B, Blanton P

Konigshoeven Blond Trappist Ale
Your Gameday Beer- Konigshoeven Blond Trappist Ale
Tonight’s beer kicks off our European tour and comes from the De Koningshoeven Brewery, a Dutch Trappist brewery. It is the only producer of Trappist beer outside of Belgium. Run inside an abbey, the monks get the water for the beer from five 200-metre deep wells on the grounds. La Trappe Blond is one of their many offerings. This Pale Ale is bitter and sweet like fruit candy, but less sweet by comparison to the more popular Leffe Blonde. – By Brian

GO PHILLIES!

Avatar of Corey Seidman

About Corey Seidman

Corey Seidman has written 210 articles on Phillies Nation.

Corey is Analysis Editor for Phillies Nation and also writes for CSNPhilly.com.

 
 
  • [...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by Phillies Buzz and iPhillySports, Corey Seidman. Corey Seidman said: Just posted to @PhilliesNation: a preview of tonight's game, complete with a scouting report on Mike Leake – http://tinyurl.com/22olnjh [...]

     
  • Posts: 0 Bobby D

    Ricky Bo says they’ll be patient tonight and come away with the win. I like the way he thinks. Let’s do this thing, Phils!!!

     
  • Posts: 0 Tracey

    Ya gotta believe!

     
  • Posts: 0 phillyboy

    LETS GO PHILLIES!!

     
  • Posts: 0 phils

    lol im done believing already (negative much) :(

     
  • Posts: 0 Tracey

    Seriously, this is pathetic.

     
  • Posts: 0 Jacob

    Looks like Blanton doesn’t have it. Hopefully he’ll settle down, otherwise it will be a long night. Phils didn’t need this, not with Utley, Polanco and Ruiz all out. They need some solid pitching to give what bats we have left a chance. Already behind by 1 after the first, no bueno.

     
  • Posts: 0 Tracey

    WOO HOO!!! GO PHILS!!!

     
  • Posts: 0 therookie300

    There’s some offense!!!!!!!!

     
  • Posts: 0 Tracey

    OK, this is less pathetic. :D

     
  • Posts: 0 Jeff

    Jacob shut up. Blanton doesnt have it by giving up one run in the first. Moron

     
  • Posts: 0 Jacob

    I was about to post that at least Ibanez had a productive out, then that happens. Alright Phightins!

     
  • Posts: 0 phillyboy

    BOOM

     
  • Posts: 0 phils

    woooo go auto out

     
  • Posts: 0 Jacob

    Jeff, he was getting hit, his pitches looked flat in the first after the triple. I said I hoped he did settle down. What’s your damage?

     
  • Posts: 0 Tracey

    OK: Can somebody please explain to me what programming genius thought Pretty Little Liars would appeal to baseball fans that they have to aggressively advertise it?

     
  • Posts: 0 phillyboy

    PPL stop being so dam negative plz!!!!

     
  • Posts: 0 ChuckS

    Is Jayson Werth a type A free agent?

     
  • Posts: 0 Ed R.

    ChuckS:

    In Major League Baseball, free agents are classified as either Type A, Type B, or unclassified. Type A free agents are those determined by the Elias Sports Bureau to be in the top 20% of all players based on the previous two seasons. Type B free agents are those in the next twentieth percentile. Unclassified free agents are those remaining in the bottom sixtieth percentile.

    Teams that lose a Type A free agent, to whom they have offered arbitration, receive the top draft pick from the team that signs the free agent, plus a supplemental draft pick in the upcoming draft as compensation. Teams losing Type B free agents, or Type A’s not offered arbitration, receive only a supplemental pick as compensation. Teams that lose unclassified free agents do not receive any compensation.[2]

    I would say based on that criteria that he has a chance to be.

     
  • Posts: 0 ChuckS

    thanks Ed, not sure that we will resign Werth, but I think he could be a type A and I don’t think a trade will bring anything better then 2 draft picks.

     
  • Posts: 0 Tracey

    Whee! Schneider’s having a good night!

     
  • Posts: 0 MysteryMet

    Gotta love that Mets starting pitching…Takahashi is getting hammered!

     
  • Posts: 0 Tracey

    BAM!!!

     
  • Posts: 0 therookie300

    That’s what I’m talkin about!!!!!!!!!

     
  • Posts: 0 Brooks

    Ricky B also said that its time for Raul and Vic to step up.
    Uh.. where is that switch Ricky?

     
  • Posts: 0 ChuckS

    Wow

     
  • Posts: 0 phillyboy

    boom!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

     
  • Posts: 0 phils

    go wilson :)

     
  • Posts: 0 Tracey

    SHANE!

     
  • Posts: 0 Ed R.

    Exxon is slugging .700 in the last 21 plate appearance.

     
  • Posts: 0 ChuckS

    Dobbs still looks awful,

     
  • Posts: 0 MikeB.

    Schneider and Valdez…talk about two clutch hits and home runs in this game and at this particular time with Utley and Polanco out.

     
  • Posts: 0 teejvee

    They have nobody down in AA better than Dobbs? I find that hard to fathom.

     
  • Posts: 0 Brooks

    If I’m not mistaken, Valdez is kind of a runt (not much girth) too.
    Sweet!

     
  • Posts: 0 Ed R.

    They have Ransom but he has been hurt. He had been DHing since coming back from injury. Tonight he is in the field…if he does well I think he might replace Dobbs. Unless Dobbs starts hitting…so yeah, he will replace Dobbs.

     
  • Posts: 0 phillyboy

    1-2-3

     
  • Posts: 0 ChuckS

    the only thing Dobbs is going to hit is the road

     
  • Posts: 0 Ed R.

    Two more Phillies on the DL and that ass hat Baez is still chugging along.

     
  • Posts: 0 phillyboy

    this ump sucks

     
  • Posts: 0 ChuckS

    UMP=CB Bucknor=the umpire equivalent to Greg Dobbs

     
  • Posts: 0 MikeB.

    This home plate umpire, C.B. Bucknor, was rated worst umpire in the league by the players. Washington just scored 3 to take the lead on Atlanta 3-1 in the 5th inning.

     
  • Posts: 0 Ed R.

    Chuck…with all due respect…Joe West is the equivalent of Dobbs….Bucknor is more like Gload, or Castro.

     
  • Posts: 0 phillyboy

    yea his strike zone is at the shoelaces

     
  • Posts: 0 phillyboy

    3-hits for auto out

     
  • Posts: 0 ChuckS

    i beg to differ, Joe West put out an album with Merle Haggard, that has to count for something

     
  • Posts: 0 Brooks

    this inning and next crucial for Big Joe (or cheeseburger – I like that one)

     
  • Posts: 0 Ed R.

    hahaha, can’t argue with that Chuck.

     
  • Posts: 0 MikeB.

    Has to be Schneider’s best game at the bat so far this year. Wonder if Ibanez will ever get it going consistently at the bat this year. Never seen a player consistently hit into so many ground ball outs

     
  • Posts: 0 ChuckS

    sweet

     
  • Posts: 0 phillyboy

    ok guys wtf was dusty thinkin there???

     
 
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