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Year in Review: Domonic Brown

Posted by Paul Boye, Fri, November 05, 2010 10:30 AM | Comments: 38
2010 Player Reviews, Posts

On a team composed of veterans quickly approaching or comfortably nestled into their 30s, Domonic Brown provided a jolt of youth after his call-up in late July. Unfortunately, due to inconsistent playing time and sparse use off the bench, Dom didn’t contribute much at the Major League level.

But, seeing as this is a Year in Review for a player who will still be considered a rookie in 2011, it’s only fair that we take his whole season into account, and boy, what a season it was!

Entering spring training as one of the best prospects in baseball – in a field that still included the likes of Jason Heyward, Buster Posey, Mike Stanton, Logan Morrison and Stephen Strasburg, among others – was an excellent start. Buoyed by a strong .318/.391/.602 line at Double-A Reading and the promotions of those ranked above him, Brown quickly found his way to the peak of some midseason prospect lists. All he did for an encore, then, was hit .346/.390/.561 in 28 games for the IronPigs in Triple-A, making him an easy choice for promotion when Shane Victorino hit the DL back on July 28.

Dom’s .210/.257/.355 line in his 70 Major League PAs seems out character, considering his minor league success. He struck out frequently – 24 times in those 70 PA – and is still considered a “work in progress” for 2011. Hey, that’s fine. He’s just 22, has tools and talent that are lauded across the scouting spectrum and, in all likelihood, a seat in right field and the starting lineup that’s being kept warm for him. Those 70 PA aren’t nearly enough to be discouraging, as Brown still has loads of potential. Oh, and did I mention that he’s got a hose? Or, that while his defense is still a bit rough overall, he’s got some legitimate athleticism? I have now, anyway.

Someday, Domonic Brown will be a star for the Phillies. It could be as soon as 2011 or 2012, but there’s little denying the man’s future is bright enough to require Ray-Bans (waiting on the check). So what if 2010 wasn’t a rousing success in very limited time at the Major League level? Dom’s destruction of the Eastern and International Leagues, vaulting to the top tier of prospects and softening the blow of Jayson Werth‘s potential (and likely) departure are plenty enough to merit high marks.

PAUL’S GRADE: 8.9/10

PAT’S GRADE: 7.6/10 – It’s hard to say what his true grade should be. On one hand, he vaulted from Double-A to the majors quickly after tearing up minor league pitching. On the other hand, he didn’t do much once he got here, although he wasn’t given much of a chance because of the outfield logjam. The future is still bright.

NICK’S GRADE: 8/10 This is a year in review piece, and Brown destroyed minor league baseball. While his time with the Phillies was more or less a learning experience, you can’t not grade his season without including his time in the minors this year.

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Paul Boye has written 58 articles on Phillies Nation.

 
 
  • Posts: 0 bfo_33

    Dom Brown has had excellent splits in his minor league career, pretty much neutral on lefties vs righties. There is no reason to believe that will be different in the big leagues. Give him a shot to be the every day right fielder, Ibanez and Ben Fran as a platoon in left. For all the talk about losing the righty bat in Werth, he was better against right handed pitching in 2010 (0.931 OPS against righties, 0.881 against lefties).

    The Phils already overpaid for Howard (at least in terms of duration), don’t make the same mistake for Werth (unless somehow Ibanez can be traded, move Brown to right). Brown should be the everyday starter out of spring training.

     
  • Posts: 0 Manny

    Wow. 8.9?? He barely did anything noticeable. Not to say he was bad or unimpressive… just that there really isn’t a whole lot to say about him. So if he has a good year in 2011 he’d get something more than an 8.9? That’s superstar territory.

     
  • Posts: 0 Publius

    This is grading based more on potential than actual numbers created during MLB at bats, which is how Dom SHOULD be graded. I’m sure Chase, Ryan and Jayson all had stretches of 70 ABs where they approached their numbers. Plus, (injuries aside) they were playing every day, while Dom wasn’t given a chance to find a groove with consistent ABs.

    I agree with Paul’s ranking. Gotta still think that Dom can be an excellent talent that just hasn’t been allowed to shine yet.

     
  • Posts: 0 Phan in the outfield

    I can’t really say much about Domonic Brown. He didn’t do much, and when he had a chance, what he did do wasn’t very good. I get it, I get it, he’s young & he didn’t have enough time on the field. But for crying out loud — he just didn’t live up to the hype. It would be hard to. So an 8.9, even a 7.6 seems over the top to me.

    bfo: Seriously, as if the amount of money the FO might possibly pay Werth would even visit the same country as what they gave Howard. Any “mistakes” made there wouldn’t be on the same level. I also can’t believe you’d even try to use – 0.931 OPS against righties, 0.881 against lefties – those numbers as a comparison against what Werth has done for several yrs in Phila. That’s crazy. I mean be reasonable.

     
  • Posts: 0 Phan in the outfield

    How can you “grade based on potential”? Because you WANT him to succeed? As long as he’s on the Phillies I want him to suceed too, but that’s some pretty wild grading. Wish you guys had been my algebra teachers in high school.

     
  • Posts: 0 Manny

    “Grading based on potential” LOL. Priceless.

     
  • Posts: 0 Publius

    Ok, so Manny, what should we grade Dom based on? Just 70 PAs? That’s even more ridiculous.

    By “potential” I simply meant that his AA and AAA stats show him to be a better player than what his small sample size in the majors says. He has the potential to put up great numbers, and Brown cruised through the minors. Therefore, this ranking makes sense.

    If you can somehow logically argue that we should judge Brown based solely on his 70 MLB ABs I’m all ears, though I’m not holding out much hope.

     
  • Posts: 0 Kate

    If they graded based on potential in high school, I wouldn’t be paying off my college loans right now.

    This grading system is garbage.

     
  • Posts: 0 Manny

    Yes, you grade him on his 70 PAs.. if you think that’s not sufficient you give him a “N/A” grade –which I personally think it’s the way to go in this specific case.

    I’m not arguing that he doesn’t have the potential, cause he does. He will be really good in the near future, but his first pop quizzes didn’t go too well.

     
  • Posts: 0 Manny

    Not that I really care about the grading system cause in the end it’s very subjective… and I usually don’t comment on this type of posts… but the minute I saw a 8.9 for Dom Brown I felt compelled to do so.

     
  • I HAVE TO AGREE,THIS IS MORE OF A POTENTIAL GRADE THEN ANY THING ELSE…………….

     
  • Posts: 0 Bart Shart

    His grading is WAY TOO HIGH — WAY TO HIGH !!!!. Although I hope he deserves this type of grade next year and I will be rooting for him every game. Do not grade on potential, as it sometimes jinxes a player and many players NEVER lived up to potential.

     
  • Posts: 0 Bob in Bucks

    I have expressed my disappointment in having an undefined scoring system. However, this really takes the cake! 7,8,9 because of potential? But it that is the way you want to go, then let’s rate everyone on potential. This is just silly.

     
  • Posts: 0 bfo_33

    I like the year in review summaries, but the grading system isn’t worth much.

    Phan, being reasonable is not my strong point. I do agree that one season’s stats are subject to a lot of variation – Werth in 2007-2009 had over 1.000 OPS against lefties. Just like his RISP in 2010, probably an anomaly (although his ops against righties has gone up every year since 2007 – probably due to seeing more righties).

    I disagree that Werth’s contract will be in another country, though – from what I’ve read, he’s looking for 4 yr/$75M with a 5th year option/buyout. While most of the people on this site are more concerned about on the field performance, for the Phils, it’s total return on investment. Between his monster home runs and gentle giant personality, Howard is very marketable to casual fans. Werth probably could be if he wanted to, but chose not to be. In merchandise,…, Howard’s contract will pay off for the Phils.

    In my perfect world, Ibanez is traded (maybe packaged with one of the 1st baseman prospects so we get something in return and don’t have to eat any salary), Werth is resigned, Brown goes to left as an everyday player, and Ben Fran is the 4th outfielder. I don’t think that will happen, though.

    By the end of the season, I think Brown’s offensive numbers will be close to Werth’s. The biggest issue I see with losing Werth is the lack of a back-up centerfielder. With the way he plays, Vic is going to at least need some down time, and will likely hit the 15 day dl at least once. As the roster stands now, it would probably be Ben Fran in center, which would make for an ugly defense.

     
  • Posts: 0 Paul Boye

    My grade wasn’t solely based on potential. My final two sentences:

    “So what if 2010 wasn’t a rousing success in very limited time at the Major League level? Dom’s destruction of the Eastern and International Leagues, vaulting to the top tier of prospects and softening the blow of Jayson Werth’s potential (and likely) departure are plenty enough to merit high marks.”

     
  • Posts: 0 Chuck

    I really can’t even really properly comment because this is such a joke.

     
  • Posts: 0 Ryan H.

    I think you have got to grade dom brown extremely high because while he may not have had a huge impact on the big league team he made a huge progression from highly rated but unknown quantity prospect to a legitimate #1 prospect in all of baseball. went from low level minor leagues to tearing up triple a to leaving the phils with absolutely no choice other than to call him up to the bigs.

    and o yea, he also made Jayson Werth expendable.

     
  • Posts: 0 mike

    8.9?

    hahaha that is a joke

     
  • Posts: 0 mike

    this kid has an incredible amount of holes in his swing.

    it’s TOO LONG.
    as pitchers quickly figured out….throw him inside and you win.

    not to mention it took him what? 30 something ABs before he DREW A SINGLE WALK?

    he looked shaky in the field at times…

    8.9?

    so you’re saying that if he plays 100 games…he should just have like a 15 out of 10?

    did you guys ever stop to think the reason he was ranked #1 in the minors was because…

    Heyward
    Strasburg
    Stanton
    Davis
    Posey

    WERE ALL IN THE MAJORS

     
  • Posts: 0 Greg

    Mike Stanton was in the minors when Dom Brown was proclaimed #1 in the Minors. The reason Stanton’s numbers were better than Dom’s were solely due to the fact that Stanton played every day, as opposed to Dom’s Bench role. The grading’s seem fair to me. They aren’t based on his MAJOR League Contribution, but how well he did as a Double-A player to get to the Major’s in fewer than four months.

     
  • Posts: 0 Jack

    if only he were Right handed! Wtf

     
  • Posts: 0 mike

    who cares what he did in double-a….
    why don’t we throw in spring training numbers then too?
    he doesn’t deserve a, 8.9
    that’s insane

     
  • Posts: 0 betasigmashag

    To complain about the rating you did not read the post, he was graded on his year mostly in the minors. I think you could go with Vic, Raul, Dom, and Ben Fran as your outfielders until June to see if it works if it doesnt you make a move. With the rotation pretty much set you can live with a less prolific offense and still win. Is it spring training yet

     
  • Posts: 0 mike

    nooo way.
    they had a prolific offense this year (lineup wise) and you saw what happened….how many games did Cole lose 1-0? and Doc shoulda had 25-28 wins.

    They need a righty with pop…and that righty is Jayson Werth.

    The Yanks have been said NOT to go hard at him..they are throwing all their eggs in the Cliff Lee basket (and they’ll get him)….even though I’m sure RAJ will at least talk to Cliff.

    They have the money…and I think Crawford goes to the Angels…and I think JW comes down to the Sox and Phils…

    and Jayson sees that green monster and says..oh boy, my homerun totals might go down…

    right no, I’d say its 70/30 Jayson comes back…

    I think they dangle Raul out there, see if he has any takers…

    but a platoon of Dom (who is still a pup) and Ben in right field would not be good…

    who protects Ryan? Jimmy? Shane? Ben?

    not to mention Dom is lefty…
    so at times your order would go
    chase ryan dom raul? all lefties??

    they need jayson back and they know it

     
  • Posts: 0 Pat Gallen

    You guys didnt read any of it. His year in the minors was outstanding. And, if you read the title, it’s called “Year in Review’ meaning we reviewed his play this year. Not for a month, not for a week, not for a day…for the year. He blew through the minors and probably deserved a 10 there, alone.

     
  • Posts: 0 Kate

    So grade him separately for the minors and majors.

    I did see a lot of potential for greatness in Domonic Brown. I still do.

    That doesn’t negate the fact that he made mistakes on defense that no one else (not named Chase Utley playing in the NLCS) would have made and that he hasn’t yet learned how to work against a Major League pitcher. How many ABs did he go deep into this year? I’d like to see those numbers. At least Howard (for all his potential, he didn’t have a great year by his own standards) and Ibanez managed full counts a good deal of the time before striking out.

    Anyone notice how many times Ibanez went 0-2 and then more often than not worked it up to a full count? That’s a guy who knows what he’s doing from experience.

    Domonic Brown (2010 minor league): I’d give him at least a 9.8.
    Domonic Brown (2010 major league): A 6, at best.

    He’ll get better with more experience.

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    Id take Brown over all the rookies mentioned. Including the now banged up Strasburg. Except maybe Posey.

    Everybody needs to welcome our new rightfielder.
    To me he is the most exciting thing so far going into 2011.
    I am excited and feel he will do well.
    Sadly the loss of Lopes probably hurts him more than any player in the organizattion.

     
  • Posts: 0 Manny

    Pat: If that’s the case, then please give Antonio Bastardo an 8 or higher…

     
  • Posts: 0 bacardipr05

    The Potential is there he still needs work. We arent going to know for another year. I hope he is in the same class as Posey, Heyward and company time will tell.

     
  • Posts: 0 brooks

    The grade has to be based on his performance in 2010. What he did in 2010 was tear up double A.

    He gets a gold star from me.

    Anyone else receive their 2011 invoice? $2 increase accross the board… Oh well. Probably a good post would be “What to look forward to in 2011″.

    1) Starting pitching has the entire season
    can we really expect more of the same from Halladay?
    Has Cole found consistency??
    What will Oswalt do on the Phils for an entire season?
    2) Does Ryan Howard know what he’s doing at the plate yet?
    3) Do we try to temper our expectations with D Brown???
    4) What will Rube do to replenish -
    RH Power hitter
    BP middle relief
    BP closer
    5) Will Cholly be able to do something in LF??

    These are my burning questions. Without Jayson Werth, without some stability in the BP – there are too many ifs. The entire team (except for Werth and Choochie) played on a different level offensively this year than we’ve seen in the last 4, frankly, they sucked.. They were so middle of the road, not a team that looked capable of going into the post season let alone taking the grail again. I have more thoughts on Ryan Howard but I will reserve them till a later post.

     
  • Posts: 0 Lefty

    Brooks,
    Cholly hasn’t played Left Field since 1975, he’s slowed down quite a bit since then, I wouldn’t expect much. :)

     
  • Posts: 0 Lefty

    RAJ will surprise us this winter. I’m not saying we will all like what he does, but it’s sure to catch us off guard. It’s what he does.

     
  • Posts: 0 Lefty

    I like Dominic Brown a lot. If he stays healthy he may be a very good ballplayer. Speed, Power, lots to like. But IMO -Major league potential is not gradable, it has to play out.

    Pat, I understand where you’re coming from but respectfully, you can’t grade performance in the minors. Greg Dobbs tore up Double and Triple A at one time too.

    My Grade – Incomplete, but looking forward to next year.

     
  • Posts: 0 biz

    He was damn near a 10 in the minors, this grade is accurate.

    His sample size from MLB is very small. And he had some big RBI’s, if you’ll recall. Remember his first AB? An off the wall, RBI double.

    Do I think he may be overhyped? Yeah, but there is reason for that hype. He looks an awful lot like Darryl Strawberry.

     
  • Posts: 0 Paul Boye

    I probably shouldn’t have said anything, because watching you all flip out is never not funny.

     
  • Posts: 0 Lefty

    You entertain us, we entertain you, it’s only fair.

     
  • Posts: 0 The Original Chuck P

    You’re grading based on the YEAR that Dom Brown had… 85% of his year was spent in AA demoralizing minor league pitching. You would give him a 9.5 for that part of his year. You would give him a 5 for the remaining 15%… he did some nice things (had a string of consecutive games with an RBI and mashed a monster bomb)… I’d say he did ok in his role as a bench bat and 5 might be low. Regardless… a weighted average gives him an 8.9… take it for what it’s worth, Dom Brown had a great YEAR of baseball at the levels he was playing.

     
  • Posts: 0 Poker gry

    thanks for it

     
 
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