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Domonic Brown Sits Atop BaseballAmerica's Top Phillies Prospects

Posted by Paul Boye, Mon, December 13, 2010 02:32 PM | Comments: 52
Posts, Prospecting

Surprising no one, Phillies right field super prospect Domonic Brown topped BaseballAmerica’s list of the best players the Philly farm has to offer.

For the second straight year, Brown was named the organization’s best, topping a list of prospects that has seen its share of turnover in recent years. Brown, who hit .327/.391/.589 in the minor leagues in 2010, is the favorite to inherit the starting right fielder’s spot for the big league club out of spring training.

Second on the list was teenaged rising star Jonathan Singleton, who turned heads with a white-hot start to his 2010 season. In fact, spots two through seven on the list are all guys who played on the Lakewood BlueClaws in 2010, further cementing that team’s stacked legacy.

Jesse Biddle, the team’s first-round draft pick this past June, debuted at number eight. None of the prospects from the Cliff Lee trade made the list.

The entire list can be found after the jump, as well as BA’s “Best Tools” picks and 2014 projected lineup.

Top Ten Prospects

1. Domonic Brown, OF
2. Jonathan Singleton, 1B/OF
3. Brody Colvin, RHP
4. Jarred Cosart, RHP
5. Trevor May, RHP
6. Sebastian Valle, C
7. Jiwan James, OF
8. Jesse Biddle, LHP
9. Domingo Santana, OF
10. Aaron Altherr, OF

Best Tools

Best Hitter for Average: Domonic Brown
Best Power Hitter: Jonathan Singleton
Best Strike-Zone Discipline: Jonathan Singleton
Fastest Baserunner: Jiwan James
Best Athlete: Jiwan James
Best Fastball: Jarred Cosart
Best Curveball: Phillippe Aumont
Best Slider: Josh Zeid
Best Changeup: Austin Hyatt
Best Control: Justin DeFratus
Best Defensive Catcher: Tuffy Gosewich
Best Defensive Infielder: Freddy Galvis
Best Infield Arm: Freddy Galvis
Best Defensive Outfielder: Jiwan James
Best Outfield Arm: Domonic Brown

Projected 2014 Lineup

Catcher: Sebastian Valle
First Base: Ryan Howard
Second Base: Chase Utley
Third Base: Placido Polanco
Shortstop: Jimmy Rollins
Left Field: Jonathan Singleton
Center Field: Shane Victorino
Right Field: Domonic Brown

No. 1 Starter: Roy Halladay
No. 2 Starter: Cole Hamels
No. 3 Starter: Roy Oswalt
No. 4 Starter: Brody Colvin
No. 5 Starter: Jarred Cosart

Closer: Ryan Madson

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About Paul Boye

Paul Boye has written 58 articles on Phillies Nation.

 
 
  • Posts: 0 Publius

    As Ben Badler kindly points out, there is no one from the Cliff Lee trade in this top 10, which is pretty terrible, and a good barometer for how bad Ruben is at judging talent

     
  • Posts: 0 Aaron

    Never too early to predict the opening day starters for 2014 =)

     
  • Posts: 0 The Dipsy

    Sometimes, I just don’t understand these ratings. I’m not saying I know better but I know what IO see when I read a guys’ stats. This is NJ’s area I think. Where is Austin Hyatt? Where is Harold Garcia…you know, the guy with the 123- game hitting streak from last year? Plays 2B. Roy Oswalt here in 2014? Dream on. Rollins? Gone. Polanco? Gone. Victorino? Gone.

    RF- Dominic Brown
    CF- Jiwan James
    LF – Chase Utley
    2B – Harold Garcia
    SS – Hanley Ramirez
    3B – Ryan Zimmerman
    1B – Ryan Howard
    C – Carlos Ruiz

    SP – Halladay, Hamels, Greinke, Cosary, Colvin

    The Dipsy

     
  • Posts: 0 mike

    i want to think half the stuff you say is a joke, dipsy…..but you actually mean it.

    if that’s what you think the 2014 roster will look like, you are delusional

     
  • Posts: 0 The Dipsy

    Yeah, I know. But its as good a guess as any.

    The Dipsy

     
  • Posts: 0 Josh

    Hanley, Zimmerman, and Greinke in 2014 hu Dispy? Why didnt you just throw in Posey at Catcher and Mickey Mouse in CF?

     
  • Posts: 0 The Dipsy

    Hey look, Oswalt, Rollins, Victorino will be gone. We’ll have a LOT more salary. Why not? C’mon. Remember, its 2014.

    The Dipsy

     
  • Posts: 0 NJ

    I think others here have more info than me on the prospects. Doesn’t seem like most researched assessment of development vs talent for Phillies prospects. 3 of those guys are barely wet behind the ear and the Phils have a lot more pitching further along who have displayed skill sets or numbers that should see them make the majors.

    You can’t drop Aumont out of top prospects status, the Phils are very openly working with him in a way that won’t translate to good numbers immediately and he has monstrous talent. Also I thought Trevor May was our best pitching prospect…

    Maybe I’ve got it wrong but it looks like the hitters in there aren’t the ones with great numbers (except Singleton) but the pitchers without great numbers but better talent have been ignored.

    Thoughts?

     
  • Posts: 0 Josh

    I hear ya NJ. As far as I understand it though, younger (18-21) players get ranked more on raw tools (or potential) than stats. Older (21-23 yo) players get ranked with a combo of both raw tools and output. So in the case of Aumont, he has the tools but it hasnt translated so he falls as a prospect.

     
  • Posts: 0 NJ

    I totally get that ‘cept most of these guys are the same age. If Cosart and Colvin are higher than May and Biddle higher than Aumont you’d think those guys would all but top the list as a pack ahead or behind of Singleton.

    Oh Anthony Hewitt where have you gone…?

     
  • Posts: 0 Brooks

    Projecting a lineup for 2014?? You have to be joking!

     
  • Posts: 0 Chuck

    Yeah, Ruben SUCKS as a GM, doesn’t he, Publius? That’s why he landed Cliff Lee, Roy Halladay, Roy Oswalt, Placido Polanco, Raul Ibanez, Jose Contreras, Ross Gload, Wilson Valdez and others…..all who have helped this team advance deep into the playoffs the last two years. The fact that Aumont hasn’t turned into the next Cy Young yet has nothing to do with RAJ’s abilities.

    ———

    Dipsy….Dude, Hanley Ramirez?? And you think this will actually happen??

     
  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    Browns swing has a giant hole in it.

     
  • Posts: 0 Jay Floyd

    Here’s the deal….these rankings will get a lot of buzz and references until another list from them comes out because this is source has grown to be a well respected one on a national scale.

    PhilliesNation will be releasing their own prospect rankings beginning in January, leading into the preseason. The author of those rankings (me) has seen and interacted with at least 90% of the Phillies’ best regarded prospects, on a regular basis. I doubt the national writers, or even the “prospect experts” who write specifically about the Phillies from afar have seen 20% of the Phils’ prospects in action with enough frequency to judge them properly.

    These rankings, while great for some evaluation, should not be considered the bible when it comes to Phillies prospects.

    In August, the Reading Eagle surveyed 12 media members (myself included), who are close to the Phillies organization. The dozen experts listed their top 20 in the system and the results were averaged out. For now, I would still consider that list from the Reading Eagle a better source to go by than these BA rankings.

    Check out this address to review the Reading Eagle rankings…

    http://is.gd/iqo0u

    Yes, not listing Trevor May among the Phils’ top 10 is a travesty, same for De Fratus, who is close. Santana was 17-yrs-old for much of the season…so anyone critiquing his stats should consider that. I expect “the Seattle 3″ to prove their value in 2011. Two of those guys could be on that BA list next year. And Valle may be under-regarded at the #6 spot on that list…at the time of my Reading Eagle submission, I would have put money on Valle to reach the Majors over anyone else on that Lakewood team this year and I am not fully backing off that opinion.

     
  • Posts: 0 Manny

    The biggest 2010 disappointment has to be Gillies… with Aumont a close second. Meanwhile, Singleton established himself as a legit prospect.

     
  • Posts: 0 Manny

    @Jay Floyd: thanks for that link. Very useful information on our prospects! Everyone should check it out. –However, Baseball America’s rankings DO have Trevor May in the Top 10 (5th).

     
  • Posts: 0 NJ

    I don’t think Aumont has been a massive disappointment considering the Phils pretty much wrote his performance off this year to work on his mechanics. Gillies certainly disappointed especially with the off-the-field stuff.

    Biggest disappointment has to be Hewitt though, still young but you wonder with all those tools if we checked out whether he can see the ball out of the pitchers hand.

     
  • Posts: 0 NJ

    I’ve got to say I usually think Baseball America are great but I think this years excerpt has fallen short. Just doesn’t seem to be as thought through as previous ones.

     
  • Posts: 0 Jay Floyd

    Oh, my bad Manny. I though I read someone say he wasn’t in the list, in the comments…but I misread it.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    NJ, the disappointment with Hewitt . . . is the risk of taking a 17-18 year old with lots of “raw talent” and trying to project him to be a major league star…. and shows why something like 70% of 1st round draft picks never reach the Major Leagues

    and why teams would almost always rather have players than draft picks

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    Did they post an OVERALL prospect ranking.. or just for each team???

     
  • Posts: 0 The Dipsy

    Yeah, that Hewitt pick was seriously stupid. Something I never understood was why don’t teams take more college players higher? College players are farther along in their “development arc” and should, mathematically speaking, yield a higher % of major leaguers. Shouldn’t they? Lets say you want a really good bird dog for hunting…this is just an example….do you take the puppy that can run fast and jump high but hasn’t been “coached up”, or the year old dog that has already shown that he can take some quail out of the brush but needs to get better? Thats the best analogy I got. Lets say they’re both black Labs.

    The Dipsy

     
  • Posts: 0 Land Shark

    Has anyone been paying attention to the Lee rumors? Theres a new rumor on MLBTRADERUMORS that just popped up talking about a mystery third team. They say the 3rd team in the mix for Lee is much lower than the Yanks and Rangers, but it said in quote ”Its from a place that Lee loves”. It HAS to be the Phillies…Who the hell else would they be referring to? Def not Clevland thats for sure.

     
  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tSSu2Qy8G9pTSsguHAbeu-A&output=html

    Thats the obligation list to 2016.

    Chase Utley – FA after 2013.
    Rollins – FA after 2011 season
    Victorino – FA after 2012
    Madson, Ibanez – FA after 2011
    Lidge – FA after 2012
    Blanton – FA after 2012

    The rest are either longer or bench/lesser players.

    So you see, in the next few years a lot of that salary will be freed up. Except Ryan Howard’s Contract. The other painful contract to see out will be Chase Utley

    So…the phillies better find their shortstop of the future and soon because I don’t know they will pay Rollins all that money in Free Agency.

     
  • Posts: 0 Ted Bell

    BA is predicting that the Phillies will have a 38 year old thirdbaseman and two 35 year old middle infielders in 2014? I just can’t see that happening…

    I’m Ted Bell.

     
  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    Saw that, its obviously the Phillies. Probably a 4-5 year offer at less money. But hey, why not take a chance?

    Hes not worth 6 years or 7 years. Hes not worth Yankee money. So why not make a 4 year offer at like 17-20 a pop? Thats “fair” by any sense of sanity. However, todays FA market is not sane or logical.

    But yeah, where’s the harm in making an offer?

     
  • Posts: 0 Ted Bell

    “All the talk of the mystery team in the Cliff Lee Sweepstakes has some believing there might not be one, but ESPN.com’s Jayson Stark writes Monday that the Philadelphia Phillies could be that secret suitor.

    “So there I was,” Stark wrote, “running through all the possibilities with one executive — Angels, Nationals, White Sox, Cardinals, Cubs — when the Phillies came up.” The executive replied to Stark’s idea, “To be honest, they’re my No. 1 suspect.”

    Stark makes it clear that the thought has not been confirmed by the Phillies, nor by anyone familiar with the club’s thinking, but Lee was open to an extension with the team last winter before being traded to Seattle, and despite having Roy Halladay, Cole Hamels and Roy Oswalt in its rotation, there is always room for a pitcher like Lee.

    The Phillies will have contracts falling off the books after 2011, including those of Raul Ibanez, Oswalt and Jimmy Rollins, and that could aid them in their attempts to pay Lee market value.

    We have to wonder, however, whether the Phillies won’t look to move some of that payroll sooner than free agency will do the job. Ibanez may be tough to trade, however, since his bat is declining and his defense has been considered below-average for years.”

    I’m Ted Bell.

     
  • Posts: 0 Chuck

    I would be SHOCKED if Lee even considered such an offer.

     
  • Posts: 0 George

    Some thoughts as to why teams will sometimes take “toolsy” high schoolers before drafting college talent:
    1. How many college guys actually become stars?
    2. How many college guys have developed bad habits which can lead to physical breakdowns? (Strasburg comes to mind.)

    Many times, a team likes to find those with basic tools who can be developed more to that team’s standards. Aumont has had his share of difficulties because Seattle changed his delivery and now the Phils are changing it back. Had he started as a Phil, he’d likely be farther along.

    Concerning Lee and any offers from the Phillies:
    4 years at $17-20 million wouldn’t cut it no matter if Lee absolutely loves Philadelphia. It would take at least $24-25 million.

     
  • Posts: 0 Chuck

    Thinking about it for a minute…

    Maybe Cliff Lee just can’t bring himself to go to the Yankees. MAYBE his wife is so turned off…so upset by her bad experience at Yankee Stadium that it’s enough to disqualify the Yanks altogether.

    And….

    if the Rangers are offering 6 years….and lets’ say the Phillies are in it at 5…

    Maybe Cliff looks at that and says to himself that it’s only a one year difference and he decides on the Phillies.

    I’m just conjecturing. This may not make any sense at all.

    I don’t know. I stand by my original statement. I would be absolutely SHOCKED if Cliff even considered it.

    But who knows…

     
  • Posts: 0 The Dipsy

    George – I thought about that and if a players comes from a good program he shouldn’t have bad habits. Should he? I’m gonna take 60 seconds and name all the college guys that are/ were stars: Clemens, Utley, Viola, Darling, Will Clark, Cole Hamels, Jackie Robinson, John Franco, Frank Thomas, and thats it in 60 seconds.

    The Dipsy

     
  • Posts: 0 George

    Lineup projections are completely worthless in this age of free agency. There are some players who definitely will be with the same teams, but many of them will sign somewhere else by 2014. Trade will be made. Players will be released, retire, or go out with surgeries. I can’t believe anyone would even try to predict a lineup for the Phils, who by 2014 will have to re-sign many that BA says will be starters. There’s really almost no chance that the team starts 3 potential fossils in their infield, Oswalt has talked retirement, and I also don’t think Madson will be the closer. There’s also the likelihood that Singleton will be playing 1B somewhere else.

    I think BA failed to do its homework on this one, and that makes me question their judgement on the Top Ten.

     
  • Posts: 0 Chuck

    Mike Mussina.

     
  • Posts: 0 George

    Dipsy: You are certainly quick. However, I could point out all the latino stars like Johan Santana, Manny Ramirez, Magglio Ordonez, etc who were never college stars. My list is shorter, maybe, but that’s probably because I don’t think quite as fast.

    I think if one were to really research this, one would find a number of hall-of-famers like Ruth who also didn’t attend institutes of higher learning.

    And yes, you would hope that colleges have drilled the bad habits out of a player, but unfortunately, that isn’t always the case. Even in “good programs” some players are overused, play the wrong positions, etc. (You yourself mentioned Chase Utley starting as a third baseman.) He was in a “good program.” Even good programs don’t always develop a player the way ML teams would like him to be developed.

    It’s certainly true that a high schooler is a usually a higher risk. But that doesn’t mean signing one is “seriously stupid.”

     
  • Posts: 0 Bruce

    Nice to read a confirmation that Dom Brown continues to be the Phillies most prized 5-tool prospect. I hope he gets that chance to play in RF for the team next season. I do think as he gradually gets more playing time he will adjust and gain confidence. After all, the media see him as a contender for Rookie of The Year honors.

    And please, no more fake rumors..the latest being the Phillies as “mystery team” interested in Cliff Lee. LOL

     
  • Posts: 0 Chuck

    I see kids in our local Little League that have bad habits….and the coaches don’t do anything about it. If anything…they ENCOURAGE some of these kids to try to throw 150 mph…because they think they then have an “edge” over their competition.

     
  • Posts: 0 George

    Note, too, Dipsy, that a high schooler, Singleton, was listed second on BAs list, and a couple of others have those Latin-American roots, so probably weren’t from college either.

    Hewitt, I’ll grant, didn’t work out, and does appear in retrospect to have been a boneheaded choice. But a lot of other “sure things” look dumb in retrospect, too.

     
  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    Watching MLB Tonight, they were talking about the Phillies have been aggressively shopping Joe Blanton with the Nationals and Twins interested – that it is tied to where Pavano signs.

    I think it was Heyman, and he said he believes the Phillies are shopping Blanton because they are the mystery team in for Cliff Lee.

    I think they are the mystery team, and that their offer is for 4, maybe 5 years at about 20 M a pop. But that they will NOT break down and go beyond that. I also think that if they dont land Lee they WILL go after Greinke. Otherwise why shop Blanton?

    Because Worley or KK can handle the 5th slot, but filling out 4 AND 5 with those guys or another similar pitcher is risky. So the 4th starter will have to be good.

    Anyways, interesting stuff.

     
  • Posts: 0 loupossehl

    Two out of Syracuse U.: Jim Konstanty and Dave Guisti

     
  • Posts: 0 Dan

    That Singleton’s struggles in the second half should not be a concern. I think it’s always hard for guys to stretch themselves for the long season in pro ball. Ryan Howard said that after his first year in the minor leagues he summed it up in one word to his dad: “endurance”. Singleton will know next year what it takes to go through a whole season and his numbers will not drop off like they did last year.

     
  • Posts: 0 Ted Bell

    The players association will strongly discourage Lee from taking less years or dollars, so even if the Phillies are the “mystery team”, they’ll stand little chance of actually signing him.

    I’m Ted Bell.

     
  • Posts: 0 Lefty

    After the public statement made by Cashman today that the Yankees will not increase their offer to Mr Lee, I believe there is definitely a third/mystery team.

    But I really don’t think it’s the Phils, I just don’t see a reason why we would be in it. RAJ felt he couldn’t lock him up last year, so what has changed since? We gave Howard the big extension, and traded a good young pitcher and more prospects for Oswalt. It just doesn’t make sense to go after him now.

    And as strongly as I feel about that, I wouldn’t mind at all if I’m dead wrong.

     
  • Posts: 0 Land Shark

    Its posted all over the blogs that the Phillies are indeed the ”mystery” team. If Amaro pulls this off, not only would we have the best Rotation in baseball history, Amaro would be elected into the HOF by the end of the week lol (jk). This is good sh*t

     
  • Posts: 0 Lefty

    It doesn’t make sense.

    Again I ask, What has changed?

    Another answer- Since trading Cliff Lee, our overall starting pitching is now better, and our offense was worse. So why on earth would RAJ do this?

    It doesn’t make sense.

    I don’t believe Rosenthal knows anything.

     
  • Posts: 0 Ted Bell

    Twitter is jumping:

    Ken_Rosenthal: Confirmed: #Phillies involved in pursuit of Lee. http://bit.ly/hJdYim

    SI_JonHeyman: hearing #phillies looking for takers for blanton. looks like theyre trying to come up with loot. @ken_rosenthal ID’d them as #mysteryteam

    JSalisburyCSN: Well placed source says Lee deciision is close and Philsi are finalist w Yanks and Rangers.

    SI_JonHeyman: source confirms #phillies as a #mystery team. hard to see them beating the #yankees bid. but they are alive in lee derby

    SI_JonHeyman: heard lee LOVED philly. but even if they dump blanton and scratch 100 mil together, they are still 50 mil behind #yankees.

    SI_JonHeyman: maddux left $5 mil-plus on table taking braves over yankees. might lee have to leave $50 mil if he takes phils over yanks?

    BobKlap: #Yankees are especially worried about #Phillies’ pursuit of Lee. They’re worried, period: Lee still hasn’t said yes to most $ and years

    I’m Ted Bell.

     
  • Posts: 0 Ted Bell

    BobKlap: Highly unlikely #Yankees increase offer to Lee. Execs starting to think if Lee wanted to be in NY he would’ve accepted today.

    I’m Ted Still Bell.

     
  • Posts: 0 Land Shark

    Ted I agree…I don’t blame Lee though. Who wants to play in NY? It feels good to have a organization like the Phils where players finally want to come play for

     
  • Posts: 0 Bebin

    Th Yankees at one point were the team that everyone wanted to play for when they had a core of jeter, rivera, brocious, O’Neil, bernie williams, tino martinez, pettite, etc.

    Then they turned into this ugly team filled with overpaid “superstars” they forgot their roots which helped them win…Their core for those teams consisted of players they brought up from the farm…they then complimented these players with good FA signings/trades (these weren’t the aroids of the world but really good players in their own right ex. David Justice)

    I just hope the Phillies don’t turn out the same way…b/c our core was basically built through the farm and through complimentary players when we went to the WS…I just hope the FO keeps that in mind

     
  • Posts: 0 Chuck

    If this were to happen, it would remind me of the ’71 Orioles or the early-mid 90′s Braves. Those were some ridiculous pitching staffs.

     
  • Posts: 0 Geoff

    I think its either the Rangers or Phillies. If Lee wanted to be a Yankee he would have signed by now. It all makes sense if you think about it. This would have been done at the meetings if he wanted to go to New York. So while I would still be shocked if Lee chooses us over a presumably larger offer from the Rangers, it will be hilarious to see how the Yankees FREAK OUT in the coming weeks. All accounts say that Greinke doesnt want to go to NY either, so who will the Yankees target if they lose those two? They will definitely freak out.

    The next name to sign on the totum poll after Lee is, mwahahaha, Carl Pavano! Maybe Brandon Webb would be worth a gamble for the Yankees too. But they will get desperate…

    I would LOVE to see the Yankees come CRAWLING back to Carl Pavano begging and pleading…

     
 
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