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Gameday: Phillies (15-7) at Diamondbacks (9-12)

Posted by Michael Baumann, Tue, April 26, 2011 08:00 PM | Comments: 58
2011 Gameday, Posts

Philadelphia Phillies (15-7) at Arizona Diamondbacks (9-12)

Roy Oswalt, RHP (3-0, 1.87 ERA) vs. Daniel Hudson, RHP (0-4, 5.92 ERA)

Time: 9:40 pm., Chase Field
Weather: Clear, 82
TV: TCN
Twitter: Phillies Nation

So Michael Stutes turned out to be pretty decent, huh? I mean, it’s only one inning, but it’s nice to see a young pitcher come up and pitch well in his debut. Plus there wasn’t a whole lot else that was positive from last night’s 4-0 whimper. So let’s move on.

With any luck, the Flyers will have Game 7 wrapped up early so no one with divided baseball/hockey loyalties needs to miss the first pitch. Or, if the Sabres eke out yet another heartbreaking victory, at least there’s Phillies baseball on immediately after to lift your wounded spirits. Or something like that.

Anyway, let’s take a look at tonight’s starting pitching matchup. Many people, including me, were predicting that this year would mark the beginning of Roy Oswalt’s slide from a top-tier starter to an aging rotation arm. So far, that has been emphatically not the case. In 17 appearances (16 starts) in the regular season since being traded to Philly, Oswalt has gone 10-1 with a 1.77 ERA, a 0.891 WHIP, and 94 strikeouts against only 27 walks in 106 2/3 innings. Not too shabby. This portends a strong outing for the Phillies’ only remaining undefeated starting pitcher, one would hope.

His opposite number, Daniel Hudson, has not been so great. Hudson was acquired from Chicago for Edwin Jackson (who himself was acquired the winter before in a three-team trade along with Ian Kennedy, who shut down the Phillies last night) in July of last year, and after the trade was just as good as Oswalt: 7-1, 1.69 ERA, 0.841 WHIP, and a 4.38 K/BB ratio. Perhaps on the strength of that performance, the Marcel projection system predicted that he’d be quite good this year. I discovered this when I was researching this post in February, and my own crude ranking system (projected ERA below replacement multiplied by projected innings pitched) put him as the 51st-best starting pitcher in all of baseball for 2011, in the neighborhood of Mark Buehrle, Jeremy Guthrie, and Phil Hughes, and only then because the impact of his projected 3.20 ERA was weighed down by his only being projected to throw a shade over 100 innings.

The name stuck out in my mind, and so I took a flyer on him in my fantasy draft and since then, he’s been comically bad, with a 5.92 ERA to show for it. His peripherals and advanced stats predict that he’ll bounce back, but xFIP isn’t a category in my league, so screw this guy. I hope the Phillies score 50 runs off him in the first inning.

Will that happen? Probably not, but there is some hope: Hudson is a righty, which is good news for Ryan Howard and Raul Ibanez, two hitters who could use some good news, and he’s walked 12 hitters in 24 1/3 innings this season, so a patient approach could pay off. However, with Jayson Werth gone, Chase Utley injured, and Howard and Ruiz slumping, patience has not been the hallmark of the 2011 Phillies. That and Hudson has struck out 26 batters this season, though the Phillies, unbelievably, have the second-fewest batter strikeouts in the National League. This ought to be fun.


Your gameday beer: Labatt Blue

Been on a Canadian beer kick recently. Might be because the NHL playoffs are on, but I don’t know for sure. Anyway, if you’ve been drinking a lot of Yuengling recently (and by the way the Phillies have hit the past few days, you’ve probably been drinking a lot of Yuengling) and want something a little lighter but not as gag-inducing as your garden variety mainstream American lagers (and I’m looking at you, Bud Light and Coors Light). Try one–it’s pretty good, eh?– By Michael

GO PHILLIES!

Avatar of Michael Baumann

About Michael Baumann

Michael Baumann has written 229 articles on Phillies Nation.

Michael is a graduate student at Temple University who lost his childlike innocence when, at the age of 6, his dad let him stay up for the end of Game 6 of the 1993 World Series. Unsettled by the Phillies' recent success, he has threatened over the years to leave the team he loves if they don't start losing again, but has so far been unable to follow through. Michael spent 4 years as an undercover agent in Braves territory at the University of South Carolina, where he covered football and soccer for The Daily Gamecock before moving back up north. He began writing for The Phrontiersman in June 2009 before moving to Phillies Nation in January 2010.

 
 
  • Posts: 103 Bart Shart

    Avatar of Bart Shart

    PREDICTION: Ryan Howard is going to go YARD twice tonight. My bunyans are telling me so. He will have five RBIs. Oswalt will be dominant. Polanco will get two hits and a walk.
    Francisco will go yard, as well. Victorino will drag bunt for a single and J Roll will get two hits, as well. That is all my bunyans said.

     
  • Posts: 4360 Lefty

    Avatar of Lefty

    I’m joining a new fan club- Bart’s Bunions, they are the sayers of sooth. Go Bart’s bunions!

     
  • Posts: 2950 Chuck A.

    Avatar of Chuck A.

    So said Lefty Paul Bunyan…

     
  • Posts: 1435 Pat Gallen

    Avatar of Pat Gallen

    If Howard goes yard twice, Bart Shart gets a free t-shirt.

     
  • Posts: 4360 Lefty

    Avatar of Lefty

    Del Unser is one of my all-time favorites.

     
  • Posts: 4360 Lefty

    Avatar of Lefty

    Just read that Flyers scored 22 goals in last 7 Phils- nnnot so much.

     
  • Posts: 4360 Lefty

    Avatar of Lefty

    Nice jimmy

     
  • Posts: 1435 Pat Gallen

    Avatar of Pat Gallen

    Another light night on the boards…hope everyone is just getting excited over the Flyers.

     
  • Posts: 0 matt from ct

    wow

     
  • Posts: 4360 Lefty

    Avatar of Lefty

    Is Oswalt okay? Just three innings. He didn’t look good, but very rare for charlie to go to the pen this early.

     
  • Posts: 0 Jeff

    this phillies team is a waste of lefty space. im done for the year. not watching this garbage. even if they win it all who cares. we still wake up every morning and go to work. hey utley get your a s s in the game you nancy boy. peace out boys. have fun on here…bye

     
    • Posts: 1435 Pat Gallen

      Avatar of Pat Gallen

      Later Jeff. Enjoy whatever it is you enjoy.

       
      • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

        Pat when jeff is rolling he leaves weekly or a few times a week.
        Ill miss you jeff.
        Nobody else understands Ryan Howard like me and you do

         
  • Posts: 2 matt from ct

    Avatar of matt from ct

    What’s going on, I mean this hitting is killing.mw

     
  • Posts: 4360 Lefty

    Avatar of Lefty

    One swing of the bat and we’re back in this thing.

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    Back from watching the Flyers.
    The Old man is playing Orr. As he should be because he can hit.
    But the old man wont bench any of “his” guys
    and Valdez as good as hes been isnt one of his guys

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    10 hits is a good thing.

     
  • Posts: 4360 Lefty

    Avatar of Lefty

    Swung at ball four

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    Arizona feed tonight.
    Grace and sutton bar none the best broadcasting team in baseball.
    San frans is second.

    I miss you and your hair Wheels

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    Bronco the turdski and Herndon.

    Really shouldnt be on major league rosters.

    None of the 4 aces is going to leave a game down and get a combeack. To not get a loss.

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    Polanco walks.
    Lets hope the others took notice

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    Its funny to me the reverence these out of town announcers talk abotu players like Rollins.
    Its like hes still MVP
    No guys he is Jimmy pop up

    Now up is Ryan swing at a ball in the dirt

     
  • Posts: 222 tavian

    Avatar of tavian

    Andrew, you are right that Grace and Sutton are excellent at broadcasting games. So are the Padres announcers.

    Anyway, I bid farewell to Jeff. It is obvious that the game and the Phils work this poor fellow to a frenzy. He is a very passionate cat. His health may be in danger if he continues to emote in such a frenzied manner. God bless the chap.

    The Phils can win this. It may take extra innings. It can be done.

    F

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    Yes they can.
    Putz in the 9th though.
    Ben Fran needs to step up

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    I heard he left runners on earlier too on the radio feed driving home
    I didnt see it was watching the flyers

    The issues run deeper here than Lefty wants to own up too.

    Polanco Ruiz and Howard cant be your only 3 hitters

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    Ibanez vs a lefty

     
  • Posts: 2068 Brooks

    Avatar of Brooks

    Hey PN – been outta town for a bit. Looks like the Phils might get to 17 wins afterall in April? I’ll take it!
    Now, why is Raul still playing? Good Lord Cholly!

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    3 walks.
    come on not the left on base soap opera too

     
  • Posts: 2068 Brooks

    Avatar of Brooks

    This guy throws slow enough, maybe Raul can catch up to one of these pitches

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    Mayberry hit it well at least.

     
  • Posts: 1435 Pat Gallen

    Avatar of Pat Gallen

    Man, they just have nothing on offense.

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    Cy Herndon

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    Until he didnt cover first

     
  • Posts: 2068 Brooks

    Avatar of Brooks

    Herndon wont let us down

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    Not only is herndon the worst reliever on a roster
    he cant do fundamentals

    Phils came into today with the best record in baseball. Just saying

     
  • Posts: 2068 Brooks

    Avatar of Brooks

    Larry Larry Larry!!

     
  • Posts: 2068 Brooks

    Avatar of Brooks

    Doesnt the rest of the league come to AZ in order to get their offense going?

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    The Phillies goto AZ to hand Lee and Oswalt a loss.

     
  • Posts: 0 bacardipr05

    Wow what a mental block for Herndon. I really feel for Zagurski i dont know why but i keep pulling for him. That was almost a foul ball an if the pitch before that would of been an inch higher he might of struck him out. Like in life sometimes its luck of the draw. Some guys for some reason have lady luck on their sides an then there are guys like me…

     
    • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

      I pull for them all.
      I especially pull for the underdogs. But like you say some arent meant to be.

       
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    I actually alot of times watch Dbacks games after the Phillies to just enjoy Grace and Sutton. Like I used to watch Harry Carey do cubs games in the 80s when I got home from school

     
    • Posts: 81 PhP54

      Avatar of PhP54

      I do as well. I think these two are the best in the business. Even tonight, they’re being much fairer to the Phighins’ than many of us LOL. These are good people. I am not hating on the D-Backs, we’re giving them the games by leaving people on base, making mental mistakes, etc.

       
  • Posts: 81 PhP54

    Avatar of PhP54

    Maybe we should just bring up the Iron Pigs one day and see if they can hit better. Holy cow. This is only slightly better as the three consecutive shutouts at Citi Field.

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    And the phils again wont give Putz a save oppourtunity?
    I have Putz in fantasy.
    Lose by 3 or less please

     
    • Posts: 81 PhP54

      Avatar of PhP54

      How about we win?

       
  • Posts: 2068 Brooks

    Avatar of Brooks

    Here comes the money!

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    Tomorrow Hamels vs Cy Saunders

    And his 0 wins on the year.

    Shuout? 3 hitter? 14 left on base?

     
    • Posts: 81 PhP54

      Avatar of PhP54

      I say Cole loses 1-0. I’ll say lower than 9 LOB, but more than 7.

       
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    Marlins won.
    Phils in second.

    OK panic now boys
    Ill throw some logs on the fire tomorrow

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    Fitting Ibanez will make the last out.

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

    The Phillies join the reds as the only teams to lose a series to the D-backs this year.

     
  • Posts: 2068 Brooks

    Avatar of Brooks

    Question – when Ibanez gets hot, and the assumption is he will, will he hit his weight?

     
    • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

      I am 39 myself. I assume I will never get hot again and I will never hit my weight either.

       
  • Posts: 2068 Brooks

    Avatar of Brooks

    On the “plus” side – the 5 runs the Phils scored tonight are the most in one game in the last 14 – since March 9th and yet since that date they are 9-5

     
  • Posts: 2068 Brooks

    Avatar of Brooks

    Andrew, at 39 there had better be a few “hot” times left for you my friend

     
    • Posts: 0 Andrew from waldorf

      My wife hopes so too. But I will settle for some hits/runs vs Cy Saunders.
      As ive said many times before the line up and the pen really scares me.

       
  • Posts: 0 bacardipr05

    Well the Phils hit today so that’s a good sign. Unfortunately the Dback where feasting on Phils pitching.

     
  • Posts: 0 Dave

    Pat can you please let Charlie know that Ibanez hasn’t had a hit since the royal wedding invitations were sent out, and to take him out of the lineup. Goodness sakes!

     
 
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