This week, we’re dispensing information. I mean, that’s what we try to do with every post, but with analysis involved. This time, no analysis, no context, just information. Here are some things you might not know about this year’s Phillies, presented on their own merits, and I make no claims about their significance or even entertainment value. I submit the following without comment or criticism.
The Playoff Chase
- Coolstandings.com has the Phillies, as of Friday morning, at 99.9% odds to make the playoffs. If they fail, it would tie the 1995 California Angels for the worst collapse in history.
- The same website has the second-place Braves at 99.2% to make the playoffs. If they fail, it would be tied for the fourth-worst collapse in history, beating both the 1962 Dodgers and 1964 Phillies (but not the 2007 Mets).
- No team in position to make the playoffs has less than a 72% chance of doing so, and no chasing team has better than a 28.5% chance of overtaking a division or wild card leader. Four of the eight playoff teams have a 99% chance or better of holding on to their spots. This could be a boring stretch run.
The 2011 Phillies: Good Seasons and Bad
- I know I’ve used this one before. Ross Gload doubled on Wednesday. It was the first time he’d been on base since July 28.
- With 34 games left on the schedule, Shane Victorino has already broken his own record for most valuable season for a player born in Hawaii.
- Speaking of players born outside the Lower 48, Curt Schilling is by far the most valuable pitcher ever born in Alaska.
- Fangraphs has Victorino rated as the fourth-most valuable position player in the National League this season, losing out to Joey Votto, Troy Tulowitzki, and Justin Upton by fractions of a win.
- Fangraphs has Raul Ibanez rated as the least-valuable player in the National League this season, beating out Lyle Overbay by more half a win, twice the margin by which Victorino trails Votto.
- Raul Ibanez still looks like Voldemort.
- I’ve seen Lyle Overbay deliver big hits, in person, in two Phillies losses for two different teams this season. If he were as bad against the Phillies as he is against the rest of the NL, the Phillies would probably be 85-43.
- Domonic Brown, first two partial major league seasons: .237/.315/.384, 279 PA
- Mike Schmidt, first two partial major league seasons: .179/.324/.367, 483 PA
- Roy Halladay, second and third partial major league seasons: 12-14, 6.01 ERA, 1.77 WHIP, K/BB ratio of 1.04, 217 IP. Don’t boo just yet.
Halladay, Hamels, Lee, Worley, and Tony No-Dad
- Three of the four most valuable pitchers in the NL this year are Phillies: Halladay (1), Cliff Lee (3) and Cole Hamels (4).
- Roy Halladay’s K/BB ratio this season is 7.91, the eighth-best mark since integration.
- Cliff Lee has a higher slugging percentage this year than the following players: Dane Sardinha, Michael Martinez, Ross Gload, Brian Schneider, and Wilson Valdez.
- Cole Hamels is leading the NL in WHIP.
- Vance Worley has the third-lowest ERA of any rookie Phillies starting pitcher since integration (min. 80 IP).
- Jonny Venters: 9.9 K/9, 3.9 BB/9, 0.950 WHIP, 73 2/3 IP.
- Antonio Bastardo: 10.7 K/9, 3.5 BB/9, 0.745 WHIP, 49.2 IP.
Worried About Revenge?
- Top 5 run differentials in the majors: 1) Yankees 2) Red Sox 3) Phillies 4) Rangers 5) Braves
- Top 5 records in the majors: 1) Phillies 2) Red Sox 3) Braves 4) Yankees 5) Brewers
- San Francisco Giants’ run differential: -18, 5th (out of 5) in the NL West.
- The Giants have scored fewer runs this season than the Seattle Mariners.
- Tim Lincecum still looks like Mitch Kramer from Dazed and Confused.
Have a pleasant weekend, everyone. If you’re on the East Coast, stay dry and keep your head down.