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Dr. Strangeglove: 25 Bullet Points

Posted by Michael Baumann, Fri, August 26, 2011 09:47 AM | Comments: 42
Dr. Strangeglove, Posts

This week, we’re dispensing information. I mean, that’s what we try to do with every post, but with analysis involved. This time, no analysis, no context, just information. Here are some things you might not know about this year’s Phillies, presented on their own merits, and I make no claims about their significance or even entertainment value. I submit the following without comment or criticism.

The Playoff Chase

  • Coolstandings.com has the Phillies, as of Friday morning, at 99.9% odds to make the playoffs. If they fail, it would tie the 1995 California Angels for the worst collapse in history.
  • The same website has the second-place Braves at 99.2% to make the playoffs. If they fail, it would be tied for the fourth-worst collapse in history, beating both the 1962 Dodgers and 1964 Phillies (but not the 2007 Mets).
  • No team in position to make the playoffs has less than a 72% chance of doing so, and no chasing team has better than a 28.5% chance of overtaking a division or wild card leader. Four of the eight playoff teams have a 99% chance or better of holding on to their spots. This could be a boring stretch run.

The 2011 Phillies: Good Seasons and Bad

  • I know I’ve used this one before. Ross Gload doubled on Wednesday. It was the first time he’d been on base since July 28.
  • With 34 games left on the schedule, Shane Victorino has already broken his own record for most valuable season for a player born in Hawaii.
  • Speaking of players born outside the Lower 48, Curt Schilling is by far the most valuable pitcher ever born in Alaska.
  • Fangraphs has Victorino rated as the fourth-most valuable position player in the National League this season, losing out to Joey Votto, Troy Tulowitzki, and Justin Upton by fractions of a win.
  • Fangraphs has Raul Ibanez rated as the least-valuable player in the National League this season, beating out Lyle Overbay by more half a win, twice the margin by which Victorino trails Votto.
  • Raul Ibanez still looks like Voldemort.
  • I’ve seen Lyle Overbay deliver big hits, in person, in two Phillies losses for two different teams this season. If he were as bad against the Phillies as he is against the rest of the NL, the Phillies would probably be 85-43.
  • Domonic Brown, first two partial major league seasons: .237/.315/.384, 279 PA
  • Mike Schmidt, first two partial major league seasons: .179/.324/.367, 483 PA
  • Roy Halladay, second and third partial major league seasons: 12-14, 6.01 ERA, 1.77 WHIP, K/BB ratio of 1.04, 217 IP. Don’t boo just yet.

Halladay, Hamels, Lee, Worley, and Tony No-Dad

Worried About Revenge?

  • Top 5 run differentials in the majors: 1) Yankees 2) Red Sox 3) Phillies 4) Rangers 5) Braves
  • Top 5 records in the majors: 1) Phillies 2) Red Sox 3) Braves 4) Yankees 5) Brewers
  • San Francisco Giants’ run differential: -18, 5th (out of 5) in the NL West.
  • The Giants have scored fewer runs this season than the Seattle Mariners.
  • Tim Lincecum still looks like Mitch Kramer from Dazed and Confused.

Have a pleasant weekend, everyone. If you’re on the East Coast, stay dry and keep your head down.

    Avatar of Michael Baumann

    About Michael Baumann

    Michael Baumann has written 229 articles on Phillies Nation.

    Michael is a graduate student at Temple University who lost his childlike innocence when, at the age of 6, his dad let him stay up for the end of Game 6 of the 1993 World Series. Unsettled by the Phillies' recent success, he has threatened over the years to leave the team he loves if they don't start losing again, but has so far been unable to follow through. Michael spent 4 years as an undercover agent in Braves territory at the University of South Carolina, where he covered football and soccer for The Daily Gamecock before moving back up north. He began writing for The Phrontiersman in June 2009 before moving to Phillies Nation in January 2010.

     
     
    • Posts: 0 Team to Beat

      I don’t know who Raul looks more like: Voldemort or Jimminy Cricket

       
    • Posts: 0 Frank Riccard

      Lincecum also resembles Joseph Gordon-Levitt circa “Third Rock from the Sun.”

      That Bastardo stat is pretty badass too. One could argue that Venters has those comparable stats despite having pitched 24 more innings (which is a lot for a reliever), but I imagine Tony would have more IP if he were on a team that didn’t have such a god-like rotation.

       
    • Avatar of The Original Chuck P

      It is definitely shaping up to be a boring stretch run. The Giants know that they’re in trouble – hence, their move to obtain Heath Bell. The NL West could produce a surprise but it seems like it’s going to be the Phillies, Brewers, Braves and one of the D’Backs, Giants or Rockies (still not counting them out – their pitching is atrocious but Tulo, Car-Go and Helton are capable of carrying them to a miraculous one month). With that being said, if everything holds up, we’ll end up with whoever emerges victorious in the NL West… the Brewers and Braves will do battle in round one. If I had to pick a team, it would be the D’Backs and thankfully, they’re in the lead, as of now.

       
    • Posts: 0 Don M

      Speaking of how Timmy is a definite twin of Mitch … which is the Better Dazed & Confused freshman paddle name?

      FAH-Q …or… THE SOUL POLE

       
    • Posts: 5398 Lefty

      Avatar of Lefty

      Bullet point #26- Shane Victorino has the third highest OPS in the NL amongst players still involved in playoff contention (Fielder and Braun are 1 and 2)

      Shout it from the rooftops, write it in the blogs, and tweet it. Shane is the offensive MVP on the best team in baseball, and he deserves serious consideration for NL MVP.

      But more importantly, chant it every time he comes to the plate at CBP to make sure the National Media is paying attention. MVP, MVP, MVP!

      http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=ycn-9008451

       
    • Posts: 0 Don M

      We start chanting MVP … and Shane starts swinging for the fences ……

      I officially don’t care if any of our guys win individual awards, because the one year we didn’t – our TEAM won the World Series – and that’s all that matters

       
    • Posts: 1376 Pat Gallen

      Avatar of Pat Gallen

      Here here Don M! If Victorino were to be included in that award, I would fear for everyone’s life. Because he’d be swinging for the fences every time. What he’s doing now is just fine. Stay under the radar Shane.

       
    • Posts: 0 Andrew from Waldorf

      Do you guys make this up as you go? Or just pull it out of your ass?

      DON TROLL is particularily amusing

       
    • Posts: 0 Don M

      Does who make what up?

       
    • Posts: 5398 Lefty

      Avatar of Lefty

      The campaign is happening anyway whether you like it or not.

      http://espn.go.com/blog/sweetspot/post/_/id/15198/shane-victorinos-case-for-mvp

      Now let’s be real fans and join in!

      MVP, MVP, MVP
      MVP, MVP, MVP

       
    • Posts: 206 The Dipsy

      Avatar of The Dipsy

      We are for sure playing the Giants or D’Backs. How can a team craft such ugly freakin uniforms? The D’Backs unis are horrible. The worst. What team just changes colors? Thats a violation right there.

      The Dipsy

       
    • Posts: 5398 Lefty

      Avatar of Lefty

      Oh Did I mention his 1,000 fielding % ?

      Oh wait, I forgot, according to the experts here, he takes poor routes. ( while catching every ball within a half mile of him)

       
    • Posts: 0 Don M

      I’ve always thought he was a hell of a fielder . . . . I just also think he’s F’d in the head, and I want to see him keep doing what he’s doing, and not trying to press to boost his stats to win awards …

      Especially now in the leadoff spot, we need him to get on base, swipe bags, start rallies, etc..

       
    • Posts: 0 Andrew from Waldorf

      The last MVP with 51 RBI in september was…

      ….

      Oh wait TBC and Rollins have MVPs.

      Hand it out.

      Hold on a second. There is a firstbaseman in Milwaukee. With a .961 OPS
      Oh MY!

      First baseman with .961 and they wont make 25 million next year?
      Adrian Gonzalez only makes 21 million.

      first base? over .815 OPS?
      Cancel that
      I dont believe it. My vote goes to the big contract.

       
    • Posts: 5398 Lefty

      Avatar of Lefty

      If you cheer MVP for Vic, he will definitely forego his assault on a quadruple 20 for home runs. When Chase was down, he hit 3rd, When it became clear we had no one capable of the 5 hole he did that. When Polly went down he batted 2nd, and now he’s back to the leadoff man (his worst batting position at .276, oddly) .

      Because he’s not a guy that you can ask to do a multitude of things, right? if you cheer him, he’s going to try to jack it and nothing else- give me a break. So far I’ve shown you two independent links. That doesn’t include the one Corey’s brother wrote, I didn’t think of this myself. But since there already is a groundswell, we should promote it.

       
    • Posts: 206 The Dipsy

      Avatar of The Dipsy

      Please stop.

      The Dipsy

       
    • Posts: 0 Don M

      Who is TBC ?

      Wait until you see how much Prince and Pujols both get!!!

       
    • Posts: 0 Andrew from Waldorf

      I was going to say perennial all star but he isnt even.
      And MVP candidate.

      Everyones hero who had 59 walks last year.

      59

      59 walks in an entire year as a clean up hitter for a supposed to be great team.
      Then 0 RBI and you all said why?
      Its horrific
      Ted Williams had 2021 walks in 7706 at bats.

      I mourn for you that wait for him to carry you.

      Carry on

       
    • Posts: 0 Don M

      I”m not knocking Phillies fans for wanting Vic to win the MVP ….. he’s playing great this season. i just don’t want him to change his game to try to win the award … and I don’t think its a crazy comment on my part to suggest that he’d try to swing for the fences a little bit more the more his name gets into the MVP discussion..

      I dont think he’ll win it though, there are too many players with superior stats this season.. his “STAT RATES” are good . . . . but that doesn’t win awards against guys like Kemp, Braun, Fielder, etc this year

       
    • Posts: 0 Andrew from Waldorf

      Don TROLL or Dontelle?
      You pick

      If Prince averages 25 million per for 2012-2016 Ill quit the whole internet.
      Not just this site.

      But you know who is getting 25 million per till 2016?

      Yea he is going to have an OPS under .800

      But he will hit 25 balls really far.

      And you and beta and the chucks will be happy.

       
      • Posts: 0 Don M

        you’re going to miss the internet …. Prince is DEFINITELY getting a monster contract… I think the Cubs are already writing his contract offer as we speak

        I don’t understand what gives you the impression that everyone’s likes Howard’s contract – to the point that you argue about it everyday??

        I don’t love the contract… but I like the player, he’s homegrown and helped us win a World Series…

         
    • Posts: 5398 Lefty

      Avatar of Lefty

      I don’t think he’ll win either, but I think he’s the offensive MVP on the best team in baseball and we should sing it from the mountaintops.

      You think it will make him play worse, Don M? Are you some kind of Psychologist?

      I think it will make him play better, I think it would put a charge into the whole team just like back when we did it the year Jimmy won.

      Back to work for me, Go Phils!

       
    • Posts: 206 The Dipsy

      Avatar of The Dipsy

      Respectfully friends, Victorino doesn’t get a whiff of that trophy.

      The Dipsy

       
    • Posts: 0 Andrew from Waldorf

      If Prince puts up an .810 OPs any year from now till 2016.

      Ill quit the interent.

      Im not too worried.

       
    • Posts: 0 Andrew from Waldorf

      Schmidt and Carlton helped the Phillies win a title in 1980

      So did Luzinski.
      And Boone and Bowa.

      The 2008 stuff is nauseating.

      its 2011 when he tanks again it will be 2012.

      How much is Pedro Feliz worth?
      He could actually play defense.

       
    • Posts: 0 Don M

      Again, i’m having some difficulty trying to understand what you’re talking about here . . . . . but I think you’re saying that Ryan Howard was not a main reason that the Phillies won the World Series in 2008 …

      and/or …. you don’t care about 2008, because its 2011 ???

       
    • Posts: 0 agam22

      While I agree that Vic deserves consideration, but probably not the award, I’ll bring up the following, barring a position of the MVP is only for position players, is there a single reason Roy Halladay shouldn’t at least be in the top five?

       
    • Posts: 0 Andrew from Waldorf

      If Prince gets $25,000,000.00 per year from 2012 till 2016 Ill quit.
      I was going to throw in the Yankees clause.
      But its moot.

      If prince ever has 450 at bats in late august and has an OPS under .825 ill quit.

      Again moot.

      The 2008 main reason makes 16% more from 2012-2016 than Adrian Gonzalez.

      Its kind of embarrassing to see you guys living in 2008.
      Again what Feliz worth now? He could field at least.

       
    • Posts: 0 Andrew from Waldorf

      Halladay and Ruiz are the 2011 Phillies MVPs.

      next?

       
    • Posts: 0 Don M

      Does the per-year matter that much ??? Like if a guy gets $20 M for 10 years ….. or $25 for 5 years …. you’d rather have the $20 M contract?

      I just never grasp the point you’re trying to make …. Pedro Feliz is so good all-around that he was playing for the freakin Camden Riversharks

      if you think he was as important as Ryan Howard in 2008… you’d be crazy

      ….
      you act as though 2008 didn’t happen … and I get it, you probably weren’t much of a Phillies fan before that point and you don’t quite understand just how amazing that season was … I’m 28, so I never in my lifetime got to witness one of my teams win a Championship … until the 2008 Phillies, led in large part by Ryan Howard, ended that draught …. if that’s “Living in 2008″ i’m not sure … I consider that more “content and sane, because of 2008″ . Nobody has ever argued that Ryan Howard is the greatest player of all-time, or the great Phillie of all-time …but you act like the dude sucks at baseball

       
    • Posts: 0 Andrew from Waldorf

      Yes the per year matters.
      In both the Halladay and Pence trades the other teams had to include money to not go into the luxory tax.

      Can we grasp that? If the per year didnt matter you wouldnt need that.

       
    • Posts: 0 Andrew from Waldorf

      LOL

      Playing the fan card like a good troll.

      In 1981 when they traded Bob Walk for Gary Mathews I cried.
      My grandfather told me that Mathews was pretty good.

      I just cried cause Bob won the World series
      Was a bit of a phenom. the kind you could never part with. But I learned.

      And just so you know TBC sucks now.
      He sucks at baseball and he made a great team lose in 2010 and hes gonna do his best in 2011. The Giants won a world series sitting Zito and Rowand. They get about 25 million per too. But you wont sit TBC.

       
    • Posts: 0 Andrew from Waldorf

      Billy Butler is now 38th in the MLB in OPS
      The Big Contract is 51st

      That you feed into some these idiots and twits is what it is.
      I suppose hes better?

      Only a sane person could see how much better he is for 33% of the money.

       
    • Posts: 0 Andrew from Waldorf

      TBC couldnt carry Billy Butlers jock strap from one end of the locker room to the other.

      Butler gets 3 million this year then 8 million in 2012 2013 2014

      People like you who feed into the dummies ( Chucks Betas) and thier misconceptions are an issue.
      But you are a troll. More fun when you invent a name to argue about.

       
    • Posts: 0 Don M

      So you’re at least in your 30′s … and carry on like this on a blog?

      My guess when people were trying to figure out your age was 17 …


      I guess we both don’t understand contracts.. because the length, and total amount of a contract is just as important as the “per year amount” …

      I’m still pretty sure you’re not actually a Phillies fan… you’d rather have Billy Butler than Ryan Howard ??

       
    • Posts: 0 Andrew from Waldorf

      DonTROLL

      You grasp that the Phillies had to get money from the Blue Jays for Halladay and the Astros for Pence?

      What part of the per year amount dont you grasp?

      And yea every single GM in the world would take Butler next year over Howard.

      Only here in fantasy island do you lead the Chucks and beta into stupidity.

      At least like TBC you are the hero of the stupid. Here at least. So thats something.

      You cant fix stupid but you dont have to feed into it.

       
    • Posts: 0 Don M

      You’re 40 years old?

       
    • Posts: 0 Andrew from Waldorf

      Ive been on line since the mid 90s.

      Many a forum and blog.
      Theres a very few trolls that will talk about a persons family or dog etc etc.

      They are the lowest of the low who always get personel or go after grammar or whatever.

      Of all of them. I mean horse racing people that are almost illiterate.

      You are the supreme troll.
      The nastiest. The most decietful. The one Id trust the least.
      Thats saying alot.

      So you have that going for you.
      One of a kind.

       
      • Posts: 0 Don M

        Did I ever attack anyone’s family
        Or dog
        Or did i.
        Say that once when.

        You were writing. Paragraphs.

        Like THIS. That I couldn’t really.
        Follow that well

        …….That “this reads like a 3rd grade book report”

        For some reason you took serious offense to that, and have commented/cried about it non-stop since that day.

        It’s odd that I’ve been on Phillies Nation for like 4-5 years and have never seen one person draw so much fire as yourself…. Constantly bringing up the same jaded arguments day after day, after day, after day …. You don’t think its odd that you constantly bicker with most of the people on here? You obviously get your kicks from stirring the pot daily, so I’m glad you find so much joy here

         
    • Posts: 206 The Dipsy

      Avatar of The Dipsy

      The truth, as I see it, is that there are many players, based on different numbers and different situations, and how they perform in certain scenarios, (i.e. “compartmentalizing their numbers”), that do not deserve to hold a certain place in a lineup, or pitch in a certain situation. But they do because they are stars. And there is no better reason as to why they play than “thats just the way its always been and always will be”.

      Jesse Orosco should have never, ever, ever, been permitted to pitch to a right handed batter. But he did until the disadvantage became so profound and Orosco’s star dimmed so much that he bacame nothing more than a loogy. Example 1.

      Greg Luzinski was permitted to play leftfield een though he was just an awful fielder. And I mean awful. He shouldn’t have played in the NL. Ever. But he did. He became a player that always came out as soon as the Phils got a decent lead, be it the seventh inning or the third inning. He could rake, though. So he played. But what he did to your defense was unforgivable. Ex. 2.

      Now, if you were just a sheer numbers guy, and baseball is a game based on numbers, there is no reason on God’s green earth why Ryan Howard should be allowed to play against LH pitching. He sucks that bad. But what are you gonna do? Me? I would sit him against lefties and tell if he wants to play against them than learn how to hit them……just a little. But he totally annihilates righties. So much so that his numbers are huge. So he just keeps playing against lefties. Why? Lets put it this way: If you knew that you would get better production out of a Howard/Mayberry platoon than just Howard all the time, why wouldn’t you do it? Exactly, there is no reason. Its just because, thats the way its done. The part of baseball that is like that, the strategies and/or traditions that don’t make sense make me nuts.

      The Dipsy

       
    • Posts: 41 JakeyJ

      Avatar of JakeyJ

      I just came across a AP article that the Heath Bell trade between Giants and Padres fell apart but it gave little detail what happened. Anyone else find a better source about this?

       
    • Posts: 155 therookie300

      Avatar of therookie300

      Ah yes, the great Billy Butler, 25 years old and already relegated to DH duties. That should bode well for his future.

       
     
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