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How’s Your Confidence Level, Philadelphia?

Posted by Don M, Tue, October 04, 2011 12:37 PM | Comments: 28
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The Phillies and the St. Louis Cardinals split the first two games of the NLDS… now the first team to win two more will advance to face the winner of the Brewers-Diamonbacks series (the Brewers lead 2-0).  All season we’ve talked about the “Four Aces,” and how Cole Hamels is “the best #3 pitcher in baseball.”  Tonight, we’ll need him to prove it once again against a determined Cardinals lineup, and a raucous St. Louis crowd.

The Phillies have done everything by the book thus far, leaving little room for second-guessing.  They clinched early, rested their stars, and lined-up their starting rotation the way they wanted.  On paper, the Phillies should be the favorite for each of the remaining games in this series, but that doesn’t always equal victory.  *Since the start of a 4-game set at Citizens Bank Park on September 16th, St. Louis is 10-5 overall, including a 4-2 record against the Phillies (with Hamels, Roy Halladay, Cliff Lee…and Michael Schwimer all being tagged with a LOSS ).

Before the start of this series I assumed the Cardinals would win one or two games, but it’s the way in which they won Sunday night that is cause for some concern.  You can’t give away a 4-0 lead at home in the postseason, it gives the Cardinals more increased confidence and has given them “home field advantage” in what is now a best of three series. 

Regardless of the road trip, the blown lead in game 2, or anything else you can think of… I have faith the better team will prevail.  My confidence remains high, how about you, Phillies Nation?

Avatar of Don M

About Don M

Don M has written 21 articles on Phillies Nation.

 
 
  • Posts: 0 Sue R

    I have faith that our boys will win this series, and enough faith left over to share with any of you doubters! The Phillie’s are OUR team, OUR city, OUR guys. They will bring what they need to get this thing done!

     
  • Posts: 0 GENE

    ON A SCALE OF 1- 10 CONFIDENCE LEVEL 9 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

     
  • Posts: 1190 Manny

    Avatar of Manny

    My confidence is shaky. Game 3s are usually the pivotal ones in any short series (best of 5 and even best of 7), and Garcia owns us… I think Cole will turn out a quality outing, but if Garcia is looking sharp out there tonight, then we’ll be in for a grueling game and series.

     
    • Posts: 1190 Manny

      Avatar of Manny

      That being said, AGHHH LETS GO PHILLIES!!!!! LETS WIN THISSSS!!!

       
    • Posts: 0 Don M

      Manny…. the short series is tough for the “better team” …. one of my coworkers is a Tigers fan, and I said the same to him, that the Tigers are far more dangerous in a 5-game series than in a 7-game series ……… think of how many teams once trailed 3-2, but went on to win a 7-game series

      Garcia’s got a lot on his shoulder’s tonight.. hopefully the Phillies punish any mistakes

       
      • Posts: 1190 Manny

        Avatar of Manny

        I’ll agree with that. This is why I hate the current format of the division series.. they should just make them all best-of-7 series in the playoffs.

         
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    If Mayberry starts tonight, should he bat 5th, Vic 6th to split up all the RH bats from 6-7-8 ? … or just keep it the same subbing JMJ for Ibanez 6th ?

    I think I would go with Howard, Mayberry, Victorino, Ruiz, Polanco, Hamels … split up the RH since you know St Louis has lots of Righty power arms from the bullpen

    BUT do you play to beat the starter, or to beat the bullpen (which, with La Russa managing, you know he’ll go crazy with matchups late in the game)

    and Ruiz has been both BETTER VS RHP than LHP…and BETTER THAN POLANCO VS RHP
    but Polly has the better numbers vs. LHP if you want to just go against Garcia

    I think I would have Polly bat 8th because whenever Garcia comes out of the game, you know that La Russa won’t have any LHP pitching to the bottom of our order…but this is my own “overmanaging” right now

     
    • Posts: 1190 Manny

      Avatar of Manny

      I’d go with the same lineup (Howard, JMJ, Shane, Chooch, Polanco). The fact that Polanco can’t hit for his life is another reason to have him hitting after Chooch. Plus, isn’t Chooch a postseason monster anyway?

       
  • Posts: 0 brain

    This can go either way and there is no clear favorite. Confidence is definitely on the Cards side today but if hamels shows up, and the bats aren’t on vacations., this should be a win… However Garcia always handles us for whatever reason. That said, Go Phillies!!!!! Let’s get this!!

     
  • Posts: 0 Jeff

    Stop already. My God. Hamels is on the mound. We have righties now. Pence and Mayberry. Just get to this Garcia early. Get in his head.

     
  • Posts: 0 Ryan H

    pretty confident. I actually think the phillies are going to lose tonight and win in 5.

     
  • Posts: 0 Scott in D.C.

    Not necessarily feeling confident about this afternoon. But like Ryan H, I’m pretty certain they can at least split in St. Louis and win it at home.

     
  • Posts: 13 BrewTown PhilsPhan

    Avatar of BrewTown PhilsPhan

    I’m reasonably certain that my low confidence level has a lot more to do with my own glum personality than with the ability of this team to win. C’mon, Phils! Gimme a reason to smile!

     
  • Posts: 1190 Manny

    Avatar of Manny

    Garcia’s ERA at Home this year: 2.55
    Away: 4.61

    DAMMIT.

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from Waldorf

    Considering that Donny Moron wrote the topic for the day
    = Depressing

    After they lose he can do some topics on grammar and spelling
    And how me posting into game day threads kills it.

    But then he wont post into one for 6 months after.

    Whats Baumanns take? Lets really tard it up.

    Now we are talking about killing a site.

     
    • Posts: 0 branderson

      Glad I’m not alone in my dislike of Baumann. He is just terruble. His articles are strictly for the birds.

      Confidence level 8. Hamels will perform but will out bats? I see it being a close affair (as does everyone else and their mother). I do see the Phils on top 5-3 when we strike against their shoddy ‘pen

      GO PHILS.

       
    • Posts: 580 Brian Michael

      Avatar of Brian Michael

      Call someone a name again, and you’ll be banned. This goes for everyone. The childish stuff stops now.

       
      • Posts: 2993 Chuck A.

        Avatar of Chuck A.

        Thanks, Brian. This dude, AFW, has crossed the line way too many times to even count.

         
    • Posts: 2993 Chuck A.

      Avatar of Chuck A.

      I figured that since it was the postseason and all that you wouldn’t resort to name-calling. Guess I had too much faith in you.

       
  • Posts: 0 SavannahPhilliesPhan

    “THERE’S PHILLIES and then there is everyone else” I think our guys are going to get hot today. They like a challenge….remember the Brewers who were supposed to be so good and the Giants….look what we did to them in their house!!! Our guys are embarassed because they had the lead and lost it. They want to win for the fans….I think they will score lots of runs tonight and scare the crap out of Garcia!!! They need to attack and unnerve him!!! Go Phillies!!!! and guess what Cards suck!!!

     
  • Posts: 0 Jeff

    I do not like what Rollins had to say. First he answers Mr. Pat’s Gallens question about fans. He said they dont field or hit the ball. Then after the loss he complained they were not loud enough. Sorry Mr. Rollins. When the offense cant get hits against a horrible pen and Mr. Lee gives up 5 to lose the game there is not much to get excited about.

     
    • Posts: 0 Ryan H

      I personally LOVE what Jimmy said. the crowd was absolutely pathetic in game 2. I think the eagles poisoned everybody’s brain.

       
  • Posts: 0 Darren

    BIRDS!!

     
  • Posts: 0 Andrew from Waldorf

    Kind of convienant to all of the sudden care about name calling.
    When Don M cornered the market about 6 months ago and Baumann makes novels about people.

    But these are the writers. Sanctioned name calling is better I guess.

    3rd grade level here.

    But chuck likes the agreeable and hates the disagreeable.

     
  • Posts: 522 Morris Buttermaker

    Avatar of Morris Buttermaker

    I’m 100% confident the Phillies are going to win. We have a World Series MVP pitching for us.

    I also agree with Jimmy Rollins about what he said about the fans. I also think it was a great move by him. It took a lot of the heat and focus off of the rest of the team, and put it all on him. It was a great move. All of the stories are about him instead of Cliff Lee.

     
  • Posts: 0 HotelBar

    I don’t know about everybody else but I think I took Sunday’s loss a bit harder than I should have. I was off work yesterday and had a chill day. Relaxed. Caught a flick. But there was this unmistakeable pain deep in my gut the entire day over Sunday’s loss. Why?

    It’s 1-1. We were 1-1 with Colorado in 2009 and won. We have Cole FREAKING Hamels on the mound. The same guy who pitched a CG shutout last year in the NLDS against just as good of an offense. Heck, if I think logically enough I could make an argument we are not doomed even if we lose today. Just need Oswalt to pitch great (which seems likely) and then we come back home with Doc on the mound.

    But I

     
    • Posts: 0 HotelBar

      I think the reason why, then, is that Sunday’s game was a game we should have won. It was eerily similar to game 6 of the NLDS last year. Get an early lead, get to the bullpen early and it seems like we would coast. Then little by little the unthinkable happens. So I am not sure how I feel.

      What makes me feel good:

      We got hosed by an ump. Cliff Lee pitched worse than he has in a long time. Our offense was a non-factor for 7 innings AND we still only lost by 1 run. Before the 8 or 9 game slide when we had nothing to play for: Losing 2 in a row was unheard of for us, let alone 3 in a row. Cole

       
      • Posts: 0 HotelBar

        What makes me feel nervous:

        You can not lose games you should win. Cliff Lee getting a 4-0 lead early should equal a W. Facing 6 pitchers from a bullpen that has been awful should equal a W. We just can not give games away like that.

        So I am nervously optimistic. I think.

         
 
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