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PN Mailbag #5: Mega Powers Explode

Posted by Ian Riccaboni, Tue, December 18, 2012 07:00 AM | Comments: 6
Analysis, Features, Fun Stuff, Mailbag, Posts

Lot of questions this week to check out, not a lot of time – let’s get to it!

From willcorr91 via Twitter: Now that Hamilton is off the market, who’s next on the short list of free agents?

Let’s address the title of this mailbag first: the Mega Powers Explode was the subtitle of Wrestlemania V, the Wrestlemania where the Mega Powers, Hulk Hogan and Randy Savage, reached a boiling point and fought each other over the WWF title, and more importantly, the love of Elizabeth. How it relates to this mailbag and this question? Eric Seidman and I have vastly different opinions to this question.

Eric is like Hulk Hogan when it comes to talking baseball – he’s stable, his actions are reasonable, he’s got a tremendous Twitter following, and he’s generally right on the money. I see myself as “Macho Man” Randy Savage – I sometimes have wild, reactionary opinions to Phillies news (“Get Excited About Chad Qualls“), wear sequined robes, and depending on the article, I’m either with or against Eric. Eric’s piece about Scott Hairston or Laynce Nix being a cheaper and possibly as effective solution to the Phillies’ outfield situation was way too rational for my tastes. This was the equivalent of the Macho Man being completely befuddled by Hulk Hogan’s completely rational helping the lovely Miss Elizabeth up after she was knocked to the mat by the giant Akeem on the Main Event in February 1989.

I’m not going to doctor footage like the Macho Man did and maniacally attempt to discredit Eric – I agree with him and the premise of his article, which I read as this: a combination of Hairston, Nix, and John Mayberry would likely produce the same result as the Phillies signing Cody Ross. But, that’s not the move I would make. I’d make the Macho Man move, much like he made in 1989 with his world title: I’m taking my ball and going into battle with the guys I have.

But, if you’re wondering who’s next on the Phillies list, it’s Ross, with a hint of interest in Rick Porcello per Danny Knobler of CBS Sports and Vernon Wells per Ken Rosenthal of Fox Sports. Yuck.

From woo9535 via Twitter: I know he never walks and is coming off a surgery, but why isnt anyone mentioning Delmon Young? He’d come cheap and is a RHH.

John (woo9535) and I regularly bounce stuff back and forth on Twitter and he comes with, what’s on the surface, a pretty decent question: Why not Delmon Young?

Young turns 28 next year and is coming off an appearance in the World Series. He will also be on his fourth team in seven seasons, which may speak quite a bit about his likability. Young was supposed to be part of a core of outfielders in Tampa Bay, featuring himself, B.J. Upton, and Elijah Dukes that would lead them into competitiveness through the 2010s. The good news for the Rays? They quickly became a competitive team. The bad news? Other than Upton, this outfield that was supposed to lead them through the years as a top team fell apart before it could get started.

To answer John’s question, I think baseball folks have finally reached the convergence of the following factors: Young’s strange temperament (the 2006 bat flip at the umpire and his 2012 incident where he reportedly blurted out horrible words that I do not wish to repeat in this column), his potential that he never reached (was the number one pick in 2003 and has been an average at best, solidly below replacement player at worst) and his declining, not improving play. Young, for his career, is a only a +0.8 fWAR player and has been of negative value in three of his six full seasons. His baserunning and defensive tools never developed and his career 4.1% walk-rate leaves a lot to be desired. Talent often overcomes attitude, in spite of itself. I think the opposite is true for Young.

From sheadtoo via Twitter: How about Trumbo if we don’t have to sell the farm?

Mark Trumbo seems to be out of a job right now with the Angels signing Josh Hamilton.

Let’s run down Trumbo’s credentials:

Right-handed? Check.

Powerful hitter? Check.

Outfielder? Check. Although, probably better defensively at first.

The Angels have reported made most of their outfielders not named Hamilton or Mike Trout available, with Trumbo being the least likely to be traded. Trumbo turns 27 in January, hit 32 HRs with a triple-slash line of .268/.317/.491, with improvements in almost every category offensively. He’s got four years of team control left and the Angels have no need to sell quick. The Angels are looking for quality starting pitching to go with their All-World offense. In this regard, the Phillies do not fit the bill. The Phillies do not have any piece that the Angels could insert right this minute and become better and, if you look at their roster, that’s what they need.

Some folks floated around the names Jesse Biddle, Sebastian Valle, citing a catching need on the Angels end, and others; those folks won’t get it done. Not because they are valuable enough trade chips but because it isn’t the right fit for the Angels.

Thank you again for the questions – it was a busy week this week with the Mike Adams and John Lannan news followed almost immediately with the speculation that the Phillies were moving hard after Ross. Be sure to check back next week with more PN Mailbag.

Avatar of Ian Riccaboni

About Ian Riccaboni

Ian Riccaboni has written 803 articles on Phillies Nation.

Ian's athletic achievements include getting stuffed by NBA center Aaron Gray in high school and hitting .179 over four years for NYU against D-III, NAIA, JuCo, and NCBA schools. Ian hopes his athletic successes will help him achieve his dream of becoming the underground Bob Uecker.

 
 
  • Posts: 0 Pops

    Still not thrilled with the Lannan signing. Why not spend the extra coin on an option with a little higher upside? Shaun Marcum would have fit the bill on a two year deal comparable to what Brandon McCarthy got in the desert.

     
  • Posts: 5142 Lefty

    Avatar of Lefty

    I love Trumbo, but agree that the Angels are not selling him to us for anything less than Cliff Lee or Cole Hamels, and that ain’t happening.

    Eric looks like he has a little more definition in his arms, but Ian looks a little tougher. It’s going to be one for the ages.

     
    • Posts: 0 psujoe

      What the hey. Sign Lohse 3/$39 and trade Lee for Trumbo, Garrett Richards and (Cowhart or Segura). They would have some OFs to trade for even more pitching.

       
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    Career Pitching Numbers:

    Player A (32 years old): 4.37 ERA, 1.34 WHIP
    Player B (29 years old): 4.02 ERA, 1.28 WHIP
    Player C (28 years old): 4.01 ERA, 1.42 WHIP

    Player A signed a 2 year, $15 M contract (3rd year, $8 M club option, $1 M buyout)
    Player B signed a 2 year, $15.5. M contract
    Player C signed a 1 year, $2.5 M contract

    Player A is Joe Blanton
    Player B is Brandon McCarthy
    Player C is John Lannan

    It was also pointed out that in his career, Lannan owns a 3-13 record, 5.53 ERA vs Phillies, but against the rest of MLB he is 39-39, with a 3.80 ERA … not bad as your #5 starter, for $2.5 M

     
    • Posts: 0 psujoe

      IMO, Lannan or Minor are a bridge to Pettibone. He’s almost ready.

       
    • Posts: 1135 EricL

      Avatar of EricL

      Try this:
      (Including ERA+, which adjusts for ballpark and league, and FIP)
      Player A (32): ERA+ 92, WHIP 1.34, FIP 4.15
      Player B (29): ERA+ 108, WHIP 1.28, FIP 4.19
      Player C (28): ERA+ 103, WHIP 1.42, FIP 4.57
      Player D (31): ERA+ 102, WHIP 1.26, FIP 3.95

      Player A signed 2 yr, $15 M contract
      Player B signed 2 yr, $15.5 M contract
      Player C signed 1yr, $2.5M
      Player D signed a 1 year, $5.5 M contract

      Player D is Scott Baker.

       
 
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