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Brown and Howard Power Phils Over Yanks

Posted by Ian Riccaboni, Tue, March 19, 2013 07:46 PM | Comments: 25
2013 Spring Training

Richie Ashburn Award: Kyle Kendrick

Kyle Kendrick gave up one unearned run and struck out three over six behind homers by Dom Brown and Ryan Howard as the Phils won 4-1 at Bright House Field over the Yankees.

The Good

Phillies pitching was superb today, with Kendrick, Mike Adams, Jonathan Papelbon, and Chad Durbin combining for a two-hitter against most of the Yankee regulars.

Brown went 1-3 with a HR, bringing his triple-slash to .397/.465/.714. Brown’s .714 SLG in 63 AB leads all MLB players in Spring Training with 50 or more ABs and he leads all MLB players in Spring Training in ABs, hits, runs, and homers.

Areas Of Opportunity

Michael Young committed a throwing error. This was a good win, though.

Avatar of Ian Riccaboni

About Ian Riccaboni

Ian Riccaboni has written 751 articles on Phillies Nation.

Ian's athletic achievements include getting stuffed by NBA center Aaron Gray in high school and hitting .179 over four years for NYU against D-III, NAIA, JuCo, and NCBA schools. Ian hopes his athletic successes will help him achieve his dream of becoming the underground Bob Uecker.

 
 
  • Posts: 0 Justin McElroy

    Keith Law lists Domonic Brown as one of his “breakout players for 2012″:

    “Domonic Brown | OF, Philadelphia Phillies

    The Phillies have been messing with his swing since he first emerged as a prospect, but it looks like they might have found a formula, as new hitting coach Wally Joyner has altered the position of Brown’s hands. Execs and scouts are telling me Brown looks noticeably better at the plate, and better able to drive the ball. He’s still well below average on defense, but if he starts hitting and the Phillies don’t try to re-re-rework his swing in late April, he’ll hold on to the left-field job.”

     
  • Posts: 4409 Lefty

    Avatar of Lefty

    Best all around game I’ve seen this season. I thought Kendrick was outstanding pitching, on defense and he got a hit. Relievers looked good, might have been the fastest inning I’ve ever seen Papelbon throw. Rollins took 2 walks, Utley 2 hits, Young an RBI single, and the already mentioned power. It’s way too early to draw conclusions, but it was just fun to watch today.

     
  • Posts: 0 glutenous

    We need kendrick to pitch the way he did during the 2nd half of last season all year, and we need lannan to overachieve some. A lot of people are worried about how Cole, Roy, and cliff do, but provided they do their rhung I think the performance of those two is even more important.

     
  • Posts: 0 Jaron B

    Lannan has a 0.500 record and a 3.80 ERA against any team not named the Phillies. Kendrick did well according to the reports… good change-up. All Brown really needs are reps and he’s certainly earned them here. I’m looking forward to the season, but would like to see Halladay do well first and, of course, sort out the remainder of the roster: catcher, relief core, utility IF and the rest of the OF. I can wait but prefer not to do so… lol!

     
  • Posts: 0 glutenous

    With what we have seen so far from doc I would say staying healthy, winning around 15 with a 3.5 or so era would be welcome here. I believe, as I’m sure many do, that his 20 win, sub 3 era days are long gone.

     
    • Posts: 0 Justin McElroy

      You’re more optimistic about Halladay than I am. What have you seen so far this spring that leads you to believe that he’s healthy? Until he gets back up over 91 MPH with that fastball, I don’t think he has a shot at being a 15 game winner again.

      Olney: “Halladay had only one start in 2012 in which he had an average fastball velocity of over 91.4 mph — on May 7, against the Mets — and on that day, not surprisingly, he had a typical Halladay outing, allowing two runs in seven innings.

      In 2011, he had an average fastball velocity over 91.4 mph in 26 of his 32 starts. To repeat: in 26 of 32 starts, he had a better fastball than he did in all but one of his starts in 2012.”

      He simply did not have anything close to the same weapons he had in previous seasons, and his performance suffered, a lot, with his ERA climbing by more than two runs.

      The early signs this spring are not good. Which is why his next start will be the most watched outing of the spring, after his aborted attempt Sunday. Radar guns really aren’t needed; the opposing hitters will tell us whether Halladay is in trouble, and if the Phillies, too, are in trouble.

       
  • Posts: 513 Bruce

    Avatar of Bruce

    Hope springs eternal…

    It’s certainly encouraging to see signs of improvements within the team. To have a healthy Utley and Howard to start the season is huge for the team. Dominic Brown is gradually making me a believer that he is ready to have a ‘breakout’ season. Howard finally may have support if Brown is hitting 5th in the batting order.

    Of course, there are many questiion marks that will need to have answers. I can see defensive liabilities in LF, RF, 3B and catcher (until Ruiz returns). Will the young arms in the bullpen be ready with minimal experience in the majors? After being dumped to the minors by Washington Nats last season, can John Lannan pitch effectively and CONSISTENTLY as 5th starter for the Phillies? Can Halladay be nearly as good as in the past (we can take that)?

    It will be interesting to see the final roster make-up for the bench. Will Ruf stay or go to Lehigh Valley ? If Frandsen has a hot bat, will he have the opportunity to get more at bats especially if the aging Michael Young struggles at the plate? How will Delmont Young fare in RF? Will his at bats make up for his liability on defense? Will catching behind the plate be a liability with Kratz and and back-up Quintero. Will the pitchers be comfortable with them in calling the pitches?

    Questions.. questions.. we still hope for the best with our Phillies.

     
    • Avatar of The Original Chuck P

      I don’t think we’ll be that bad defensively… the corner outfield spots are certainly question marks (Dom has the athleticism to be better than people think and he look much more comfortable) but I think that Michael Young and Erik Kratz are both going to be just fine. Kratz is tough as nails and he threw out 45% of all base stealers last year. In addition, he handles the staff well. In the minors, his career average caught stealing percentage is 32% which is above league average for a major leaguer. Is he Johnny Bench? No, but I’d rather have him than Brian Schneider or Dane Sardinha.

      My gut tells me that we’ll have a little while to figure out what we’re going to do with Frandsen/Ruf/Inciarte (which is what it looks like it’s going to come down to).

      Here’s my 25 man…

      7 relievers: Pap (R), Adams (R), Bastardo (L), Aumont (R), Horst (L), Valdes (L) and Durbin. Stutes probably is the odd man out here. I don’t know that they can go into the season with Bastardo and Horst as their only lefties in the pen. That’s risky considering how inconsistent Bastardo is and relatively unknown Horst is. Plus, Valdes has played his way into a spot more so than Stutes.

      5 SP – Hamels, Lee, Halladay, Kendrick, Lannan

      2 C – Kratz (R), Quintero (R)… Chooch

      6 IF – Howard (L), Utley (L), Rollins (S), M. Young (R), Galvis (S), Frandsen (R)

      5 OF – Brown (L), Revere (L), Mayberry (R), Ruf (R), Nix (L) (with D. Young starting the season on the DL)… so the odd man out is Inciarte. I actually had him in here over JMJ but I don’t think it’s going to happen. As much as I don’t like JMJ, he’s a solid defensive replacement at 1B for Howard, he can play all three outfield positions and he’s right handed which might help late in the games if Cholly decides that he wants to pinch hit for Revere (and we’re very lefty heavy as it is). Cholly is probably going to play a platoon in RF early on – Nix and Ruf/Mayberry. Those three should see plenty of playing time early on. I think it will work itself out.

       
      • Posts: 4409 Lefty

        Avatar of Lefty

        OCP – Is Valdes your long man in this scenario?

        Also, Am I the only one that wonders why the Phillies, the media, and most fans say Bastardo is a lock to make the club? Seriously, what has he done in the last year plus ST to earn that? The last time he pitched well (and I get that It was really well) was Mid August of 2011. He was terrible that September, just fair last season, and has a 5.40 ERA now in ST. I know his K rate is very high, but that in itself does not prevent runs.

         
      • Avatar of The Original Chuck P

        I guess Valdes would be the long man and a lefty in the pen… he could probably fill both roles adequately (he started a game for us last year) but RAJ has to understand that he’s a guy that may or may not make it through this entire season with the big league club. I mean, over the past six years, he has been released by three different teams, designated for assignment and spent two years in the independent leagues. He has looked good during his stop in Philadelphia but he only logged 31 innings with the big league club so he’s still a relatively unknown 34* year old Cuban commodity.

        Bastardo is left handed… again, if you look at the make-up of the pen, we don’t really have a dependable shut-down left handed reliever so he sort of makes the team by default. We just have to hope one of the guys we’ve got is solid (or that Diekman figures things out). Tony has had some success in high pressure situations in his career (working in the 8th/9th inning two years ago when he was healthy and confident) so that’s a huge plus… you’ve seen him do what we need him to do under the bright lights.

        George… I think what I meant was we DID have more question marks prior to last season BUT everyone poo pooed them aside because we had the three horses and the gravy train had been riding so smoothly up until that point. Last year was a wake up call – nothing comes easy. You’ve gotta work hard to get to the point where you need to be in order to have success and hope that the ball bounces your way (or at least doesn’t bounce away from you). This season, we have fewer question marks BUT considering the season we had last year, there are more people (in general) questioning whether this team can be successful. I’m not one of them… I feel good but I’m also a realist. Without Halladay (or any one of our starting pitchers), we’re in deep trouble. Tell me, who do you start if one of our pitchers goes down?

         
      • Posts: 0 schmenkman

        Lefty, I think the truth is somewhere between his 2011 and 2012 seasons. Quoting a Bastardo preview from another site on March 17:

        “Antonio Bastardo was one of the overlooked heroes of the 2011 Phillies’ 102 win squad. For the first five months of the season, the young left-hander was one of the most dominant relievers in baseball. Despite stumbling in September, Bastardo’s season ending line (bolstered by a mind-boggling and historically low .179 BABIP), showed that he was one of the best relievers in baseball, but also that some regression was very likely in 2012.”

        and

        “But Bastardo actually demonstrated some improvements in 2012 that indicated that he might be better than he looked in 2011. Bastardo’s always been a good strikeout pitcher, but his strikeout rates spiked in 2012. His 14.02 K/9 was third best in baseball (min. 50 IP), trailing only the masterful Craig Kimbrel (16.66) and Aroldis Chapman (15.32), and his K% of 36.2% was sixth overall in MLB. He is also adept at inducing the best kind of batted ball, the infield fly ball — his 17.9% IFFB% was 11th best.”

         
      • Posts: 4409 Lefty

        Avatar of Lefty

        Again, just to be clear- there is no doubt that Bastardo should be in the running with Horst and Valdes for LOOGY, I just don’t see anything past the K rate that should elevate him to such high regard. He gave up twice as many Walks and Home Runs as Kimbrell and Chapman. His ERA was 3 runs higher than them. His strand rate at 72% is respectable, but not great for a one inning pitcher.(20 points behind the remarkable Kimbrel)

        In terms of the Phillies of 2012, he wasn’t even the best left-hander behind Horst and Valdes in most key categories. I’d rather he threw a higher GB% as well. (second lowest on the team) and I fully get that these stats are not enough of a sample to be fair. Again, should he be considered a contender to make the pen, absolutely. But a guaranteed spot? I just don’t see it either on the field or in the numbers. I like pitchers that miss bats, but in the end an out is an out, and IMO- he does not have enough of a track record to be considered a lock to go north with guys like Papelbon and Adams.

         
      • Avatar of The Original Chuck P

        I get what you’re saying and the leash is certainly going to be short with whoever gets the nod to be the LOOGY… I think it will be Bastardo to start because when you look at it in terms of potential and actual talent, Bastardo is the best option… Cholly just has to be aware that Tony’s not always going good. There are days when he can’t throw a strike and Cholly has to be prepared to cut his losses and move on when/if he’s in one of those modes. I think Schmenk is right – the real Tony B is probably somewhere between his remarkable 2011 and last year (where everyone wearing red pin stripes seemed to forget how to play baseball). I’m ok with an unstable Bastardo as our LOOGY… he’s not our 8th inning guy (he was to start the season last year) so you’re just hoping he can get through a half inning, at most and to pitch out of a few tight spots.

         
      • Posts: 0 George

        OCP, I’d agree that many people overlooked the 2012 question marks and that due to that troubled year, they’re probably looking for question marks this year that might not exist. I wasn’t quite sure what you were trying to say at first.

        One reason why Bastardo seems to be a lock is that no one else is, and somebody has to be there to get those pesky lefty batters out. I haven’t seen Diekman, Horst, or Valdes outperforming the him yet, either. I also don’t think it’s fair to compare him with Kimbrel and Chapman; nobody is remotely close to thiose two.

        As far as “what if Halladay goes down…” I can only say, pitch anybody. Your season’s a goner anyway, so even a guy from Lakewood wouldn’t hurt the team’s chances much.

         
    • Posts: 0 George

      All teams have question marks, but at least there aren’t nearly as many on the Phils as there were last season. That young bullpen actually is now mostly veterans like Papelbon, Adams, and Durbin, who have all been effective in the past, and this will also be the third season for Bastardo, and although he has had some problems, at least has gained some experience. John Lannan has actually been quite consistent over the years, and with a 3.80 ERA against teams not named “Phillies,” he’s fine for a #5 starter. Kratz plays decent defense, and will only be the regular catcher for 25 games. (I don’t think the team will lose all 25!) Young at 3rd is no Polanco, but he’ll probably be adequate and at least he’s not injured. And if the Phils could survive Pence’s defense in RF, they can manage a few miscues there again. It’s also good that there are some better bench options for the infield besides Wigginton, who never saw a grounder that couldn’t be kicked.

       
      • Avatar of The Original Chuck P

        There weren’t as many question marks heading into last year as there are this year… it’s a nature of the season we had in the applicable prior years (2011 and 2012). We won more games than any other team in baseball in 2011 so of course we were feeling pretty good heading into 2012. We were like “Yeah, Chase Utley’s not ready BUT he will be. Yeah, Howard’s in rehab BUT we’ll get by with JMJ. I mean, look at our starting pitching!” Fast forward through the mulligan that was 2012 – we’ve tightened up the bullpen (which cost us 7-12 games in 2012), found a dependable replacement at third and Howard and Utley both seem to be doing ok. Maybe Michael Young isn’t Polanco with the glove but we shouldn’t have to worry about him injuring his lady parts (forcing us to play the butcher/petty thief, Ty Effing Wiggington). Maybe Utley and Howard won’t be what they were three years ago but we shouldn’t need them to be if our pitching holds up… and that’s really the only question mark. If one of our starters goes down, who is next in line to join the rotation? Tyler Cloyd? Ethan Martin? Aaron Cook? Jonathan Pettibone? Does anyone think that those guys are capable of winning games for us?

         
      • Posts: 0 George

        OCP, I think you’ve missed some huge question marks that 2012 had, as did many others. There were, however, some who noticed that Polanco was coming off an injury plagued season, that Utley and Howard were not really replaceable for an extended period and that Howard would be a shell of himself when he did return. There were those who didn’t think JMJ would cut it, either.

        As far as pitching goes, who in the world did the Phils have to win games when Lee, Halladay, and Worley went down with injuries? I can’t even remember the non-talents they used, although I do remember one game in which the starter was a reliever, and was followed by even more relievers. And not one of them was worth snot.

         
      • Posts: 4409 Lefty

        Avatar of Lefty

        What’s the going price for snot these days? This one will sit in the recent comments for a while. It’s just a joke people, not a particularly funny one, but a joke nonetheless.

         
      • Avatar of The Original Chuck P

        George – surprisingly, Hamels, Lee, Kendrick, Halladay, Blanton and Worley started 154 of the team’s 162 games last year. Kendrick was a valuable commodity in the pen… we don’t have that this year.

         
  • Posts: 2952 Chuck A.

    Avatar of Chuck A.

    When’s the parade?????

     
  • Posts: 0 Bob in Bucks

    I have hear the Lannan better numbers if you take out his record against the Phillies. However, just want to point out that you are now replacing the Phillies with the better hitting Nats.

     
  • Avatar of The Original Chuck P

    The problem with hanging your hat on the John Lannan against everyone else argument is that his numbers at Citizens Bank Park are absolutely dreadful… 2-05 with a 6.49 ERA (with hitters posting an OPS+ of 153). This is the place he will now call home.

     
    • Posts: 0 schmenkman

      Some of it is the park, but most of it is the Phillies:

      Phils vs. Lannan at CBP: .329/.409/.546 (.953 OPS)
      Phils vs. Lannan at Nats: .302/.387/.474 (.861 OPS)

      BTW, the 153 is tOPS+, which just shows how the CBP numbers compare to the rest of Lannan’s OPS, not the league OPS, which is what OPS+ typically measures.

       
      • Posts: 0 schmenkman

        (in fact you can attribute the difference to home field advantage, rather than the park itself)

         
  • Avatar of The Original Chuck P

    Thanks for that clarification, schmenk. I didn’t realize that’s what that was referring to… good stuff.

     
 
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