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What are the Odds?

Posted by Pat Gallen, Mon, March 25, 2013 12:56 PM | Comments: 15
Analysis, News, Opinion, Posts

Will Cole win his first Cy? (AP)

Will a Phillie win the Cy Young or MVP? Bovada has released the odds for several categories so you can bet on your favorite player.

Cole Hamels provides the best shot of any Phillies player at winning a major award in the National League, with Bovada giving him 10/1 odds of winning the Cy Young award. Here are the listings, including a Michael Young sighting.

Odds to win the 2013 AL MVP
Mike Trout 6/1
Miguel Cabrera 7/1
Robinson Cano 8/1
Albert Pujols 17/2
Jose Bautista 10/1
Josh Hamilton 12/1
Evan Longoria 12/1
Prince Fielder 15/1
Adrian Beltre 18/1
Jacoby Ellsbury 18/1
Yeonis Cespedes 20/1
Adam Jones 20/1
Jose Reyes 20/1
Edwin Encarnacion 25/1
Dustin Pedroia 25/1
David Price 25/1
Justin Verlander 25/1
Jered Weaver 25/1
Felix Hernandez 33/1
Joe Mauer 33/1
Justin Morneau 50/1
C.C. Sabathia 50/1
Ichiro Suzuki 50/1
Derek Jeter 100/1
Odds to win the 2013 NL MVP
Joey Votto 15/2
Ryan Braun 9/1
Bryce Harper 10/1
Matt Kemp 10/1
Buster Posey 12/1
Andrew McCutchen 15/1
Stephen Strasburg 15/1
Clayton Kershaw 18/1
Jason Heyward 20/1
Matt Holliday 20/1
Yadier Molina 20/1
Troy Tulowitzki 20/1
Justin Upton 20/1
Jay Bruce 25/1
Adrian Gonzalez 25/1
Chase Headley 25/1
Aramis Ramirez 25/1
Giancarlo Stanton 25/1
David Wright 25/1
Ryan Zimmerman 25/1
Starlin Castro 33/1
Allen Craig 33/1
Carlos Gonzalez 33/1
Ryan Howard 33/1
Hunter Pence 33/1
Hanley Ramirez 33/1
B.J. Upton 33/1
Rickie Weeks 33/1
Michael Young 50/1
Odds to win the 2013 AL Cy Young
David Price 11/2
Justin Verlander 6/1
Jered Weaver 6/1
Yu Darvish 10/1
R.A. Dickey 10/1
Felix Hernandez 10/1
C.C. Sabathia 12/1
C.J. Wilson 15/1
Josh Johnson 18/1
Matt Harrison 20/1
Jake Peavy 20/1
Chris Sale 20/1
Max Scherzer 20/1
James Shields 20/1
Brett Anderson 33/1
Clay Buchholz 33/1
Tommy Hanson 33/1
Derek Holland 33/1
Jim Johnson 33/1
Jon Lester 33/1
Matt Moore 33/1
Fernando Rodney 33/1
Mark Buehrle 50/1
Ryan Dempster 50/1
Joel Hanrahan 50/1
Jeremy Hellickson 50/1
Joe Nathan 50/1
Mariano Rivera 50/1
Ervin Santana 50/1
Odds to win the 2013 NL Cy Young
Stephen Strasburg 11/2
Clayton Kershaw 6/1
Gio Gonzalez 10/1
Cole Hamels 10/1
Matt Cain 12/1
Cliff Lee 12/1
Johnny Cueto 15/1
Zack Greinke 15/1
Roy Halladay 15/1
Adam Wainwright 15/1
Aroldis Chapman 20/1
Yovani Gallardo 25/1
Tim Hudson 25/1
Ian Kennedy 25/1
Craig Kimbrel 25/1
Mat Latos 25/1
Tim Lincecum 25/1
Ryan Vogelsong 25/1
Jordan Zimmerman 25/1
Madison Bumgarner 33/1
Jaime Garcia 33/1
Lance Lynn 33/1
Wade Miley 33/1
Jason Motte 33/1
Johan Santana 33/1
Josh Beckett 50/1
Chad Billingsley 50/1
A.J. Burnett 50/1
Jonathan Niese 50/1
Ricky Nolasco 50/1
Jonathan Papelbon 50/1
J.J. Putz 50/1
Wandy Rodriguez 50/1
Rafael Soriano 50/1
Edinson Volquez 50/1
Who will hit the most HR’s in the 2013 Regular Season?
Giancarlo Stanton 13/2
Jose Bautista 17/2
Miguel Cabrera 10/1
Albert Pujols 12/1
Prince Fielder 14/1
Edwin Encarnacion 16/1
Ryan Howard 16/1
Ryan Braun 18/1
Jay Bruce 18/1
Matt Kemp 18/1
Josh Hamilton 18/1
Adam Dunn 22/1
Robinson Cano 25/1
Adrian Beltre 25/1
Bryce Harper 30/1
Troy Tulowitzki 33/1
Joey Votto 33/1
Evan Longoria 33/1
Mark Trumbo 33/1
Mike Trout 33/1
Adrian Gonzalez 40/1
Pedro Alvarez 40/1
Josh Willingham 40/1
Ike Davis 40/1
Chris Davis 50/1
Yeonis Cespedes 50/1
Mike Napoli 50/1
Aramis Ramirez 50/1
Mark Reynolds 66/1
Mike Morse 66/1
Josh Reddick 66/1
Jason Heyward 75/1
Justin Upton 75/1
Allen Craig 75/1
Nelson Cruz 100/1
Dan Uggla 100/1
David Ortiz 100/1
Wilin Rosario 100/1
Season Stat Specials
Highest Save total by a pitcher?
Over/Under 47½
Highest Strikeout total by a pitcher?
Over/Under 245½
Highest Home Run total by a batter?
Over/Under 44½
Highest RBI total by a batter?
Over/Under 133½
Highest Hit total by a batter?
Over/Under 213½
Highest Win total by a pitcher?
Over/Under 21
Highest Loss total by a pitcher?
Over/Under 17
Will any pitcher pitch a perfect game this Season?
Yes +200 (2/1)
No -300 (1/3)
How many No-Hitters will there be in the Regular Season?
0 3/1
1 11/4
2 11/4
3 5/1
4 or more 4/1
Avatar of Pat Gallen

About Pat Gallen

Pat Gallen has written 1684 articles on Phillies Nation.

Pat is Editor-in-Chief of Phillies Nation. He also covers the Phils for 97.5 FM in Philly.

 
 
  • Posts: 0 MikeyPaDc

    Lohse- Brewers

     
  • Posts: 5223 Lefty

    Avatar of Lefty

    Halladay 15 to 1, 9th best chance of Cy Young in baseball. Are these people kidding? Aren’t they the same ones that said we’d tie with the Mets in third place this year.

    I’d like nothing better than to see Doc make me eat my words, but that just isn’t close to right.

     
  • Posts: 2069 Brooks

    Avatar of Brooks

    Pat, who actually took some time out of their day to come up with such fantastical names? I want to know, to make sure I never get one of their publications – unreal.

     
  • Posts: 0 George

    I’m surprised Rodrigo Lopez wasn’t listed as a possible Cy Young, and that Michael Martinez missed out as a likely MVP.

     
  • Posts: 0 Chris Norton

    These odds are made to entice betting, not to necessarily reflect reality. That’s the only reason why Bovada releases these.

     
    • Posts: 0 George

      You’re ponting out the obvious; any idiot most likely knows these things are just another way to get people to lose their money. But more people would probably be losing that money if these odds reflected reality a little more than they do. Also, the simple “what have they been smoking” nature of these makes them perfect material for sarcasm and rude comments.

       
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    While some of the odds seem a little crazy.. many of them are right on the mark. The Top pitchers have the best odds at Cy Youngs ….. the top Power hitters have the best odds for HR title, etc.

    The odds aren’t good enough for me to bet on any one player to win an Award… but it’s interesting to see some of the names they think could win (Bryce Harper at only 10/1 odds for NL MVP) …

     
  • Posts: 0 Ken Bland

    And the answer to the affiliated question of what are the odds of Sports Illustrated picking up cirvilation in the Delaware Valley with their pre season picks are many to few against.

    For example….7 scribes polled, and nadda one of ‘em saw the Phils ranging between divvy champs and two card winners. Four of the 7 picked the Washington Nats to win the World Series. That, in and of iteself oughta increase the Phils chances of somewhere between goodness and greatness ten fold.

    Asked to pick a surprise team, Albert “Another Chen off the old block tried to playcate Philly readers uptempo picking the Phils. But his selection of Nats, and Braves and Dodgers in the wildcard didn’t leave room for much surprise.

    For NL MVP, the foolishness of predictions was visibly demonstrated with 5 of the 7 picking Joey Votto, the remaining two Bryce “Guess they never heard of a sophomore slump” Harper.
    The problem with Votto as a choice, great, great player that he is would be the Natti is a reasonable selection to run and hide from the division, leaving players from NL East and West clubs to ganin “value” momentum should their races be more competitive.

    3 of 7 picked Yu Darvish to win the AL Cy Young. Tat answers the question of do they serve Kool-Aid in Japanese. Can’t er all be right thinking and just predict Verlander for the next 6 years and be right 2 or 3 times, which is a decent predicvtion percentage.

    The Phils were shut out in NL Rookie of the Year respect. None of Ruf, Inciarte or Jamie Moyer got a mention. Actually scratch Moyer as a contestanr. He’s not even a rookie retiree even though it appears too much trouble for him to officially retire.

    Free agent bust was funny to read. 7 pollsters, and a whopping 4 voted for Vic. Boy is he loved, or what?

    Breakout player of the year was interesting. I guess the crowded Dodger outfield eliminated this Spring Hall of Fame Puig has had from garnering any respect. But Dom Brown failed to get a single vote of respect, and apparently, the just recent release of Yuni Betancourt still didn’t get him a single vote despite a better than world class spring.

    The bottom line? Lotsa hot air, print style. Keep your subscriptiions, but take the narratives for what they are.

    http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/mlb/news/20130325/mlb-preview-staff-predictions/?sct=hp_t12_a6&eref=sihp

     
    • Posts: 0 Don M

      Just saw the CNNSI predictions today too… we gave ours yesterday, and SPOILER ALERT: I thought I was bucking a trend by selecting Yu Darvish as my Cy Young (figured Price, Verlander, Felix Hernandez would still be the most popular choices)

       
      • Posts: 0 Ken Bland

        Multiple fols around the game have had Darvish in the same sentence as CY for a while. It’s not ridiculous, but it’s kinda like with Cole now, or a guy like Smoltz in his prime. It’s great to even break into the class of the super elite pitchers, it’s another to outdistance them. You never know, but the likes oif Verlander and Felix, let alone Price in the way, it just seems optimistic.

        I’m really wild guessing per your comment below re Cook and all, but I have a feeling they are higher on Morgan than Pettibone. Or maybe it’s that I am, and I’m transferring the feeling. Not that I don’t like Pettibone, but I like Morgan’s stuff. We could see either or, or Valdez, a little stretched out in the “wrong” situation, we could see a couple everpopular pen by committee type games.

        Double for Brown. Rock and roll.

         
  • Posts: 0 Ken Bland

    How’s this for beating odds?

    “Congratulations to Jamey Wright for making the Tampa Bay Rays roster. He has made eight straight OD rosters as a non roster invitee”

    And a tip of the cap to Phillies management for whacking Aaron Cook off the roster. This corner of the world will not miss him from being on the ballclub.

     
    • Posts: 0 Don M

      I thought that Aaron Cook was going to make the roster as insurance for Halladay… or at least be offered the $100,000 to go to AAA

      But I think this shows that the Phillies are learning a little … no need in paying $1.5 M or so for guys that can produce about the same as a young AAA-arm being called up for the first time … I think this means they’re really high on Pettibone and/or Morgan, as i’m pretty sure the need for a “6th starter” will come up .. it does for almost every team at some point throughout the 162-game season

       
  • Posts: 0 Ken Bland

    I know George recently said he wasn’t a big fan of I guess acronyms, and too lazy to type full words, but since someone who shall remain nameless has assumed the liberty of broadening the topic here of upsets of sorts against the plain topic of odds….when I just read this, I decided there’s only 1 proper reaction….

    Chad Qualls made the Marlins’ bullpen, MLBTR has learned.

    lolololololololololololololololol

    Man, the Phils better decimate this guy. That could be quite embarrassing otherwise.

     
  • Posts: 0 Don M

    Good read about the youth movement in baseball … and even mentions some Odds .. and MVP candidates, etc. how it ties to the Phillies, Yankees, Red Sox

    http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/mlb/news/20130326/mlb-season-preview/?sct=hp_t12_a2&eref=sihp

     
    • Posts: 0 Ken Bland

      That seems a very good breakdown by Verducci. I wish I remembered the year this happened, I want to say it was when the White Sox won in 2005, but quite oinestly, it might have been several years before it when a commentator (I believe during a post game, or in game, so it was someone who I’d recollect followed the game closely) spoke about recent WS winners rosters being younger than older, and spotting a trend. What I better remember is the comment was geared toward everyday players. Verducci doesn’t overlook that, but puts more premium on the pitching than the comment I am referencing from several years back in being the leading factor..

      Most of all, Verducci does a helluva job firing folks up to get their hopes up for the Phils season. With enemies like that, who needs more enemies?

       
 
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