Quantcast


Free Agency

Free Agent Pass or Play: Curtis Granderson

Posted by Ian Riccaboni, Fri, November 01, 2013 12:15 PM Comments: 15

http://www.bronxbaseballdaily.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/curtis-granderson-540x374.jpgEach day until free agency begins, we at Phillies Nation will take a look at a player who will become a free agent five days from the conclusion of the World Series. We will explore potential performance, fit, cost, and feasibility. We continue today with left-handed center fielder Curtis Granderson. And a reminder: you can check out all the “Pass or Play” posts by clicking on the category hyperlink.

Performance

Granderson is coming off a six-year, $43.25 million contract signed prior to the 2008 season. During that time, Granderson provided roughly $91.1 million to his teams according to FanGraphs. Granderson led the American League in runs scored and RBIs in 2011, finishing fourth in MVP voting but is coming off two straight seasons of on-base percentages of .319 or lower. Since 2009, Granderson’s strikeout rate has increased every year, including a career-high in a season with at least 200 PA 28.2% K-rate.

Granderson, as a player, is nearly tailor-made for Yankee Stadium’s short right field porch. His left-handed, feast-or-famine approach has rewarded him in the House that George Built, hitting 40+ homers in back-to-back seasons in 2011 and 2012. Granderson fractured his forearm in the first game of Spring Training in 2013 and then subsequently missed more time with a fractured pinkie. Granderson, when healthy, is a frequent threat for 30 homers and 15 steals a year, but his high strikeout rates (23.1% career) and low on-base percentage (.340) are worrisome to a team looking at the 32-year old outfielder. Continue reading Free Agent Pass or Play: Curtis Granderson

  • 15 Comments
 

Heyman: Phils Looking at Choo, Cruz, Ellsbury, Grandy

Posted by Ian Riccaboni, Thu, October 31, 2013 05:10 PM Comments: 40

http://l.yimg.com/bt/api/res/1.2/KWP9V8PTlNjSf2r6SBCheA--/YXBwaWQ9eW5ld3M7cT04NTt3PTYwMA--/http://media.zenfs.com/en/person/Ysports/shin-soo-choo-baseball-headshot-photo.jpgAccording to the latest from CBS Sports Jon Heyman, the Phillies are well aware of their outfield woes and are preparing to make runs at outfielders Shin-Soo Choo, Nelson Cruz, Jacoby Ellsbury, and Curtis Granderson. Of that group, only Cruz is right handed.

According to FanGraphs, Choo, 31, should expect a five year deal around $15-16.5 million a year, Cruz, 33, around $9-10 million a year for two to three years, Ellsbury, 30, around a five year deal for between $17-18 million per year, and Granderson, 32, a three or four year deal for $12-14 million per year. All four are expected to be offered qualifying offers but none are expected to accept.

Of note in the Heyman piece is Heyman’s source’s claim that indicates the Phillies were prepared to offer Hunter Pence a contract had he reached free agency. Heyman also says that Amaro won’t yet address specific players but instead referred to the Phillies needs as “catching, pitching, outfield.”

Analysis: To me, what is incredibly surprising are the caliber of players listed among the Phillies targets. As I found out while researching for this article, the Phillies will be at almost exactly their Opening Day salary of 2013 even after Roy Halladay and Carlos Ruiz come off the books. Where is the money coming from? Is the new TV deal set? Or is Amaro bluffing?

 

  • 40 Comments
 

Free Agent Pass or Play: Dioner Navarro

Posted by Ian Riccaboni, Wed, October 30, 2013 11:00 AM Comments: 8

http://l.yimg.com/bt/api/res/1.2/0jsVpqgMo9Fb0RGeaISwDA--/YXBwaWQ9eW5ld3M7cT04NTt3PTYwMA--/http://media.zenfs.com/en/person/Ysports/dioner-navarro-baseball-headshot-photo.jpgEach day until free agency begins, we at Phillies Nation will take a look at a player who will become a free agent five days from the conclusion of the World Series. We will explore potential performance, fit, cost, and feasibility. We continue today with switch-hitting catcher Dioner Navarro. And a reminder: you can check out all the “Pass or Play” posts by clicking on the category hyperlink.

Performance

Navarro, 29, was an All-Star in 2008 at age 24 with the Rays, his second full season in the Majors after being involved as a piece in separate trades for Randy Johnson, Shawn Green, and Toby Hall. After such a promising start to his career, Navarro battled injuries and was a well-below average hitting catcher from 2009-2012, posting a triple-slash line of .215/.270/.323 in stints with the Rays, the Dodgers, and Reds. Navarro spent 2013 with the Cubs and had unpredictable and unprecedented success, posting career highs in all triple-slash categories (.300/.365/.492 with 13 HR in 266 PA).

Fit

Navarro’s switch-hitting ability makes him a nice fit with the Phillies. Navarro’s splits skew better hitting as a righty against lefties, getting on base by 30 points more from the right side and slugging at about 100 points higher. While Navarro likely has some upside at age 29, there are questions about his durability and ability to start for a full season, last attaining 400 or more plate appearances in a season in 2009 with the Rays. Continue reading Free Agent Pass or Play: Dioner Navarro

  • 8 Comments
 

Free Agent Pass or Play: Corey Hart

Posted by Ian Riccaboni, Tue, October 29, 2013 03:00 PM Comments: 2

http://www.whereseric.com/sites/default/files/discography-images/corey%20hart%20first%20offense.jpg

The only thing offensive here is Ian’s joke.

Each day until free agency begins, we at Phillies Nation will take a look at a player who will become a free agent five days from the conclusion of the World Series. We will explore potential performance, fit, cost, and feasibility. We continue today with right-handed outfielder Corey Hart. And a reminder: you can check out all the “Pass or Play” posts by clicking on the category hyperlink.

Performance

Corey Hart played exactly zero innings with zero plate appearances in 2013. Hart was rehabbing his right knee after surgery when he injured his left knee so much that that knee required surgery. It is rumored that he was injured while wearing his sunglasses at night – but don’t worry folks, he will never surrender.

Ok, I’ll stop.

(On a side note, my mom at one point believed she was the inspiration for the song “Sunglasses at Night” after seeing Corey Hart, the singer, perform in Allentown before the tune came out.)

Since becoming a full-time player in 2007, Hart has averaged 23+ homers and 15+ steals a year, playing primarily right field for the Brewers. From 2007 through 2012, Hart was worth 15 WAR according to FanGraphs, making him the 28th most valuable outfielder in the Majors.  Entering 2014, Hart has a career triple-slash line of .276/.334/.491 but was worth -55.9 runs on defense, or about negative three and a half wins, from 2007 through 2012, putting himself in defensive company with Manny Ramirez and Pat Burrell in that stretch. Continue reading Free Agent Pass or Play: Corey Hart

  • 2 Comments
 

Free Agent Pass or Play: Shin-Soo Choo

Posted by Ian Riccaboni, Mon, October 28, 2013 09:00 AM Comments: 15

Choo will be on everyone’s radar this free agency.

Each day until free agency begins, we at Phillies Nation will take a look at a player who will become a free agent five days from the conclusion of the World Series. We will explore potential performance, fit, cost, and feasibility. We continue today with left-handed outfielder Shin-Soo Choo. And a reminder: you can check out all the “Pass or Play” posts by clicking on the category hyperlink.

Performance

Choo became a regular with Cleveland in 2008 after arriving in a trade for first baseman Ben Broussard. The deal would be one of the best in Cleveland’s history and likely the worst in Mariners history – Choo was worth 18 wins from 2006 through 2012 while Broussard has not played in the Majors since 2008 and only played a season and a half with the Mariners.

Choo was traded to Cincinnati for the 2013 season and responded with 21 homers, 20 steals, and a .423 OBP, good for second in the National League. Choo has been the eighth most valuable outfielder in Major League Baseball since 2008, trailing only Manny Ramirez and Mike Trout in on-base percentage in that time frame and ranks 11th among Major League outfielders in On-Base+Slugging in that same time frame. Choo has quietly been among the most productive outfielders in the Majors in the last six seasons but the secret is out among MLB GMs, as we will see in our salary projections. Continue reading Free Agent Pass or Play: Shin-Soo Choo

  • 15 Comments
 

Free Agent Pass or Play: Grant Balfour

Posted by Ian Riccaboni, Fri, October 25, 2013 03:00 PM Comments: 12

http://a.espncdn.com/photo/2013/0425/mlb_a_balfourg_400.jpgEach day until free agency begins, we at Phillies Nation will take a look at a player who will become a free agent five days after the World Series’ conclusion. We will explore potential performance, fit, cost, and feasibility. We continue today with right-handed reliever Grant Balfour. And a reminder: you can check out all the “Pass or Play” posts by clicking on the category hyperlink above.

Performance

Since 2008, Balfour has been a force to be reckoned with out of the bullpen. Balfour posted a 2.74 ERA in that span and since 2010, his ERA has been an even lower 2.47, good enough for tenth in the American League in that time among relievers. Balfour was a late bloomer, becoming a full-time Major Leaguer for the first time in 2008 at age 30 with the Tampa Bay Rays. The Aussie has pitched well since and has served as the A’s closer for each of the last three seasons on a three-year, $12.25 million contract. That contract now looks like a bargain – FanGraphs, though, puts the contract as an almost perfect fit, calculating Balfour’s value for 2011-2013 at $12.1 million.

Balfour gets hitters out with a fastball/curveball/slider/change-up repitoire, sitting between 93-94 MPH with his fastball. During his time in Oakland, Balfour has obtained better control of his curveball, leading to further success. The caution with Balfour comes with his propensity to allow home runs (0.8 HR/9 IP in his career), his propensity to walk hitters (3.9 BB/9 IP), his fortune of pitching in pitcher-friendly parks (Oakland was once again the toughest park to score runs in in 2013), and his fortune of having a solid defense around him (Oakland ranked seventh in UZR/150 from 2010-2013 and Balfour’s ERA was 0.90 points lower than his FIP in 2013). Continue reading Free Agent Pass or Play: Grant Balfour

  • 12 Comments
 

Free Agent Pass or Play: Nate McLouth

Posted by Ian Riccaboni, Thu, October 24, 2013 06:00 AM Comments: 10

http://www.baltimoresun.com/media/photo/2012-08/71607703.jpgEach day until free agency begins, we at Phillies Nation will take a look at a player who will become a free agent five days after the World Series’ conclusion. We will explore potential performance, fit, cost, and feasibility. We continue today with outfielder Nate McLouthAnd a reminder: you can check out all the “Pass or Play” posts by clicking on the category hyperlink above.

Performance

When I think of Nate McLouth, he will forever be linked to his wonderful breakout 2007 campaign which led me to a fantasy baseball title, hitting 13 HR and stealing 22 bases. 2008 brought improvements to all three triple-slash categories (.276/.356/.497) with 26 HR and 23 steals. Midway through the 2009 campaign, McLouth was traded to the Braves. Through injuries and the emergence of Jason Heyward, McLouth was reduced to the playing time of a part-time player. McLouth hit just .229/.335/.364 as a Brave before becoming a free agent after the 2011 season.

McLouth signed a one-year pact to return to the Pirates for 2012. McLouth would get off to a rough start, hitting just .140/.210/.175 before being traded to the in-contention Baltimore Orioles. McLouth would flourish in Baltimore, hitting 7 homers and stealing 12 bags in 236 PA after the trade. McLouth would re-up with the Orioles for 2013 on a one-year, $2 million deal, one of the better bargains of the offseason, and hit .258/.329/.399 with 12 HR and 30 steals in 37 chances. Throughout his career, McLouth has been a negative defender, ranking 459 out of 494 outfielders in UZR from 2007 through 2013. Continue reading Free Agent Pass or Play: Nate McLouth

  • 10 Comments
 

Free Agent Pass or Play: Scott Feldman

Posted by Ian Riccaboni, Wed, October 23, 2013 06:00 AM Comments: 2

http://www.baltimoresun.com/media/photo/2013-07/76603940.jpgEach day until free agency begins, we at Phillies Nation will take a look at a player who will become a free agent five days after the World Series’ conclusion. We will explore potential performance, fit, cost, and feasibility. We continue today with 6’7″ righty Scott FeldmanAnd a reminder: you can check out all the “Pass or Play” posts by clicking on the category hyperlink above.

Performance
Feldman got his first taste of Big League action in 2005 as a 22-year old who had spent the previous two seasons in Rookie Ball with the Rangers. After appearing in parts of three seasons as a reliever for Texas, Feldman transitioned to a near full-time starting pitcher in 2008. Feldman throws a low-90s fastball with a slider, change-up, and curve, with a 15-MPH difference between his fastball and curve but just a five-MPH difference between his fastball and change-up.

Feldman has a career 4.62 ERA but a 1.370 WHIP, suggesting that some of his high ERA may have come from pitching in Texas. Yet, Feldman struggles to strike opposing hitters out (5.6 K/9 IP) and really struggles to not walk them (3.0 BB/9 IP). Despite his struggles, Feldman has played above replacement level according to FanGraphs, posting 3.4, 1.3, 0.3, 2.3, and 2.1 WAR in each season since 2009.
Continue reading Free Agent Pass or Play: Scott Feldman

  • 2 Comments
 

Free Agent Pass or Play: Jarrod Saltalamacchia

Posted by Ian Riccaboni, Tue, October 22, 2013 04:00 PM Comments: 10

http://cdn.bleacherreport.net/images_root/slides/photos/003/215/020/hi-res-170342025_crop_650.jpg?1371379700Each day until free agency begins, we at Phillies Nation will take a look at a player who will become a free agent five days after the World Series’ conclusion. We will explore potential performance, fit, cost, and feasibility. Today, we will start with World Series-bound catcher, Jarrod Saltalamacchia.

Performance

Saltalamacchia, or Salty as he is known to Sox fans, was a first round draft pick of the Braves in 2003 out of high school. Saltalamacchia did not disappoint in the minors and was named Baseball America’s #18 prospect in 2006 and #36 prospect in 2007. The Braves’ aggressive placement of Salty, and his performance in response to it, saw him make his MLB debut on his 22nd birthday against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Salty was packaged with Elvis Andrus, Neftali Feliz, and Matt Harrison by the Braves and sent to the Texas Rangers in a mega-deal for Ron Mahay and Mark Teixeira on July 31 of that same year. Salty struggled to stay in the Majors from 2007 through 2010 but finally showed much of the promised potential in 2011, earning about half of the plate appearances for the Red Sox. Continue reading Free Agent Pass or Play: Jarrod Saltalamacchia

  • 10 Comments
 

Phillies Sign 16 Year Old Luis Encarnacion

Posted by Jonathan Nisula, Fri, August 09, 2013 07:56 AM Comments: 11

20130809-081717.jpg According to Baseball America, the Phillies have signed 16 year old international prospect from the Dominican Republic Luis Encarnacion to a contract worth $1 million.

He turned 16 at midnight this morning, and shortly thereafter the Phillies jumped in with the signing. (how’s that for a birthday present?) People with knowledge of the situation would’ve been shocked if the Phils didn’t sign him.

The 6-2, 195 pound third baseman is considered the #4 international prospect and a top hitter in Latin America according to the linked article. He’s expected to move to either LF or 1B.

Continue reading Phillies Sign 16 Year Old Luis Encarnacion

  • 11 Comments
 
Previous Page Next Page