Quantcast


Posts Tagged ‘Jonathan Papelbon’

The Phillies Bullpen is Really Good

Posted by Jonathan Nisula, Thu, September 11, 2014 10:00 AM Comments: 8

tabs-bullpenThe 2014 Phillies season is nearing its end, and barring a disastrous September, the Phils should end up with more wins than 2013. Part of the reason is due to the offense scoring slightly more runs per game–3.96 in 2014, 3.77 in 2013–but the pitching staff as a whole has done much better, as well. They are allowing 4.34 runs per game, compared to 4.62 in 2013, and their ERA is 48 points lower than last year (3.84 in 2014, 4.32 in 2013).

The starters, as a whole, have a lower ERA than 2013–3.96 to 4.41–but their other stats don’t much support that. They are walking more hitters and notching less strikeouts, both which support the fact that their FIP (Fielder Independent Pitching) is actually slightly higher than last year’s.

The bullpen, however, is a different story. They surrender less walks and strike out more batters, and both their ERA and FIP are lower than last year’s. Still, the bullpen’s ERA is only 11th in the NL, and their FIP is 7th. So what makes them good, exactly?

The answer is in their top four guys: Jonathan Papelbon, Ken Giles, Jake Diekman, and Justin De Fratus.

Giles and Papelbon are especially good. They both have outstanding ERA’s, and rarely allow baserunners. But they are also really good at avoiding the home run. They are the only two reliever teammates in NL history (min 39 IP each) to have an ERA below 1.61, a WHIP below 0.87, and a HR/9 below 0.30. And there are only 12 such player seasons that meet that criteria. The Phillies have two of them in the same season.

Giles has a 1.13 ERA with a 0.81 WHIP, and Papelbon has a 1.61 ERA with a 0.86 WHIP. If we bump those numbers up to a 3.74 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP, the Phillies would be tied for third in the NL with four such players.

The problem is that three out of seven players with at least 23 innings pitched for the Phillies in relief have ERA’s above four. And then there’s guys like Phillippe Aumont and Luis Garcia, who’ve thrown only a handful of innings, but have given up a bunch of earned runs.

The top six relievers in innings pitched for the Phillies (Diekman, Papelbon, Bastardo, De Fratus, Hollands, and Giles) have a combined 3.45 ERA. The rest? 6.46–a steep dropoff.

So while the team stats may lead you to believe that the bullpen is near the bottom of the NL, that isn’t the case. The top four guys in the ‘pen are right up there with the NL leaders, and the top two are having a historical season together. The 2015 bullpen is looking mighty strong.

  • 8 Comments
 

The Decline of Jonathan Papelbon

Posted by Jonathan Nisula, Thu, April 03, 2014 12:14 PM Comments: 12

PHOTO: AP / Jim Cowsert

Last night, Jonathan Papelbon blew his first save opportunity of the season, surrendering three runs in the bottom of the ninth inning in Texas. This has been somewhat of a theme for Papelbon recently. As Todd Zolecki noted last night, Paps has pitched poorly over his last 39 appearances–4.46 ERA, and eight blown saves. His infamous “I didn’t come here for this.” quote also came during that span.

Another thing to note, though, is over that same period of time, his fastball velocity has decreased. Last night, his fastball averaged 91.62 MPH. On June 24 of last year–the date that Zolecki used–his fastball averaged 93.44 MPH. In 2012, he was in the 93-96 range all year, and in 2011 he was up near 95-97.

Of course, a decline in velocity for a 33 year-old isn’t unexpected–but another thing to consider is his arm slot, which has steadily decreased (Credit to Bill Baer and John Stolnis for that find).

The question is–will this continue? Or is Papelbon simply in a pitching slump? The answer isn’t simple. It’s easy to expect more of the same old “Papelblown”, especially from a guy that seems to be extremely easy to hate by Phillies fans. But he’s gone through slumps like this before, too. In 2009, he had a 1.85 ERA with 3 blown saves–followed by a 2010 season where he had a 3.90 ERA with eight blown saves. He knows adversity.

However, if his dropping arm slot and velocity are effects of an injury, that’s a different story. We’ve seen this kind of reduction in velocity and effectiveness before. See: Roy Halladay. Halladay didn’t drop his arm slot like Paps is doing, but the drop in velocity and decrease in effectiveness is similar. Halladay labored a lot more than Papelbon is now, as well. So I’m not saying that Jonathan Papelbon has a bum shoulder, or that he’ll retire next year, but it is definitely something to watch. 33 is not terribly old for a closer–but Jonathan Papelbon is a crazy man. Not an ordinary closer. Still, there’s always a chance he gets past this.

And for our sake, I hope he bounces back.

  • 12 Comments
 

Halladay Beats Marlins in Possible Last Start in Philly

Posted by Pat Gallen, Tue, September 17, 2013 09:54 PM Comments: 5

Weird to think, but it could be true. We could have witnessed the final start by Roy Halladay in Philadelphia as a member of the Phillies. Over six innings, Halladay gave up just one run on four hits as the Phils beat the Marlins, 6-4

Jonathan Papelbon made it extremely interesting in the ninth, allowing one run on three hits.

Halladay’s fastball was around 85-88 most of the evening and if the opposition were a little bit more apt to hit, it may have been a different outcome.  He’s just not as sharp as he needs to be if he wants to pitch consistently into the sixth, seventh, or even eighth inning. Halladay walked three and struck out just two.

Think about how weird it would be if Halladay never stepped on a mound as a member of the Phils again. Clearly, his skills are eroding, and have done so rapidly. There’s a chance that the Phillies see something in him this offseason that would move the team to bring him back. But he’ll have to show them that his velocity has increased and leveled off somewhere near 90, and that he can control his pitches well enough. It’s a tough road ahead.

However, we have the good times, too. The no-hitter, the perfect game, the overall awesomeness. So if this is his final start here, it’s been a hell of a run.

As an aside, people hit the ball tonight. Chase Utley went bonkers, going 3-for-4 with a home run and four RBI. Jimmy Rollins also finished the night 3-for-4, while Cesar Hernandez and Darin Ruf each had two hits. Carlos Ruiz chipped in with two RBI.

  • 5 Comments
 

The Ultimate Season-Ending Phillies Polls — Part I

Posted by Pat Gallen, Wed, September 11, 2013 11:38 AM Comments: 40

(AP)

We want your opinion, it’s important to us at Phillies Nation. Just fill out the polls below, telling us what you think about several topics pertaining to the future of the Phillies. Many of these will be featured in an upcoming episode of Phillies Nation TV.

And if you leave some half-decent comments in the section below, they too could make the program. Tell us what you think!

—————–

Will Ryne Sandberg be the Phillies Manager in 2014?

View Results

Will Ruben Amaro be with the Phillies beyond 2014?

View Results

Will Maikel Franco be with the Phillies at the start of 2014?

View Results

How many games will Ryan Howard play in 2014?

View Results

Will Jimmy Rollins be with the Phillies to start 2014?

View Results

Will Cody Asche be the everyday 3B in 2014?

View Results

Which free agent pitcher will be in the Phillies rotation in 2014?

View Results

Will Kyle Kendrick be in the Phillies starting rotation in 2014?

View Results

Do you think Jonathan Papelbon will be the Phillies closer Opening Day 2014?

View Results

Will Darin Ruf be a starting outfielder on Opening Day 2014?

View Results

What will Dom Brown's average be in 2014?

View Results

  • 40 Comments
 

Phillies Sweep Braves on Ruf’s 8th Inning Homer

Posted by Pat Gallen, Sun, September 08, 2013 08:24 PM Comments: 36

Cole Hamels actually got lucky. It’s about time.

Hamels went eight innings, giving up two runs on two hits while striking out nine in the Phillies 3-2  Another solid performance that dropped his ERA to 3.45. It’s almost going unnoticed how great he has been. His only blemishes came off the bat of Evan Gattis.

The mule-strong Gattis hit the longest home run in Citizens Bank Park history at 486 feet on Ashburn Alley. He’d also add another bomb to torture Hamels.

However, Hamels was bailed out by Darin Ruf with his 13th home run in the eighth inning. Ruf has done that damage in just 188 at-bats. With 15 career home runs in 252 plate appearances, that extrapolates to 37 home runs over a 162 game season. The Phillies are sorely lacking that power.

Jonathan Papelbon was given the day off, so BJ Rosenberg came in for a nine-pitch save.

  • 36 Comments
 

Freddy Galvis Walks It Off

Posted by Amanda Orr, Sun, September 08, 2013 12:27 AM Comments: 1

Freddy Galvis, who homered to give the Phillies the victory, is interviewed after receiving a shaving cream pie. (Photo Credit: AP)

Freddy Galvis had a night to remember.  With Jimmy Rollins having the night off, Galvis had a chance to prove his worth.  He did just that as he went 4-for-5, including a walk-off home run.

Kyle Kendrick pitched well for the Phillies, lasting six innings.  He gave up three runs on four hits and three walks.  He struck out eight.

Along with Galvis, Carlos Ruiz had himself a good night.  The Braves took a 2-0 lead in the third, but Chooch responded with a two-run single to tie the game.  Ruiz would later give the Phillies the lead in the fifth inning, smashing a double.  Galvis added an RBI single, giving the Phillies a 4-2 lead in the fifth.

Kevin Frandsen put the Phillies up 5-3 with a run batted in during the eighth inning.  With Jonathan Papelbon in to close, it looked as if it would be another victory for the Phillies.

In the ninth, Chris Johnson, who doubled earlier in the game, hit a soft liner to center field.  It could be argued that Roger Bernadina should have made the catch, but didn’t.  It could have been a 1-2-3 inning, but wasn’t.  With a man on, Andrelton Simmons tied the game with a homer just over the left field fence.  Papelbon completely missed his spot as he left the pitch middle-in.  The game was suddenly tied at five.

Every time the Braves scored on Saturday, the Phillies quickly responded with some runs.  The trend continued into the ninth inning.  Freddy Galvis, the second batter of the inning, smashed the 1-0 offering into the right field seats.  There wasn’t a doubt about it, as he got under it and lifted it.  The dugout emptied onto the field, and the Phillies had themselves another walk-off victory.

With the 6-5 victory over the Atlanta Braves, the Phillies could complete the sweep over the first place team on Sunday.

  • 1 Comments
 

Rally in Eighth Backs Dominant Hamels

Posted by Ian Riccaboni, Mon, September 02, 2013 10:31 PM Comments: 4

B.J. Rosenberg stood on the mound surrounded by Nationals, bases loaded with the team from Washington up 2-1. On three straight sliders, Rosenberg struck out Ryan Zimmerman and the Phillies went to the eight down 2-1. With two outs, center fielder Cesar Hernandez walked and Jimmy Rollins smacked the eighth pitch he saw for an RBI double off of Tyler Clippard. After an intentional walk to Chase Utley, Carlos Ruiz drove in Rollins from second to put the Phillies ahead 3-2. Jonathan Papelbon struck out Wilson Ramos and Anthony Rendon with runners on first and third to earn his 24th save of the year.

Positioned to Win

The Phillies would have never been in a position to win tonight’s game had it not been for yet another quality start from Cole Hamels. It was Hamels 21st quality start of 2013, tying him for third in the Majors, behind only Clayton Kershaw and Adam Wainwright. Hamels went seven, giving up just two hits, including a first inning solo homer from Zimmerman, striking out eight and walking none. Hamels and opposing starter Stephen Strasburg (6 IP, 1 ER, 10 Ks, 2 BB) earned no decisions despite great outings.

Bullpen Nearly Lets it Slip Away

Justin De Fratus gave up a single and a walk before handing the ball to Cesar Jimenez. Jimenez walked Bryce Harper to load the bases before allowing Scott Hairston to hit a sacrifice fly. With two outs and the bases loaded, Rosenberg limited the damage by striking out Zimmerman to end the threat with three straight sliders.

No Offense But the Phillies have No Offense

The Phillies went just 4 for 27 tonight with five walks and nine LOB. This is not a particularly encouraging sign considering the club hit just .202 on their most recent seven game road trip.

The Philies continue their set with the Nats tomorrow as Ethan Martin will pitch against Gio Gonzalez.

  • 4 Comments
 

Lee and Asche Lead Phils Over Mets

Posted by Alex Lee, Mon, August 26, 2013 10:07 PM Comments: 16

Cliff Lee got his 11th win of 2013 on Monday night in New York. (AP Photo)

Cliff Lee got his 11th win of 2013 on Monday night in New York. (AP Photo)

The Phillies beat the Mets, 2-1, at Citifield on Monday night behind a stellar outing from Cliff Lee and a two-run triple by Cody Asche.  Lee was brilliant against a depleted New York lineup that was without third baseman David Wright, earning his 11th win of the season.  He was economical with his pitches (at least until the eighth) and fielded his position well, recording five outs himself on ground balls back to the pitcher.

The Phils’ bats struggled against rookie phenom Zack Wheeler, but Asche’s first career triple provided all the offense Lee would need.  After a Michael Young single and a Darin Ruf walk, Asche launched a 1-0 high fastball into the gap in right field.  It rolled all the way to the fence and Asche ended up on third base.

Jonathan Papelbon pitched a 1-2-3 ninth to notch his 22nd save on the year.  It was only the third save opportunity for Papelbon since the All-Star break.  The Phils have now won seven of nine.

VINTAGE CLIFF LEE

- Lee had his best start since May on Monday night, tossing eight innings and allowing only one earned run on five hits.  He faced three batters in six of his first seven innings and retired 10 consecutive hitters heading into the eighth inning.  Lee threw 121 pitches on the night, 84 of which went for strikes.  He struck out seven Mets.  It was Lee’s first win in his last nine starts. Continue reading Lee and Asche Lead Phils Over Mets

  • 16 Comments
 

18-inning Marathon Results in Early Return For Doc

Posted by Jay Floyd, Sun, August 25, 2013 06:15 AM Comments: 33

RoyH3

Roy Halladay, Image- Jay Floyd

Righty hurler Roy Halladay, who was slated to appear in another rehab outing for Double-A Reading on Sunday will return to the big league club instead, following a marathon of baseball Saturday night at Citizens Bank Park.

In Saturday night’s (Sunday morning’s?) 12-7 defeat at the hands of the Diamondbacks, the Phillies sent nine pitchers and two position players to the mound to make it through the lengthy affair. Starter Ethan Martin could not escape the opening frame, as he allowed three hits, three walks and three earned runs. Over the 4 2/3 innings that followed, Luis Garcia and Zach Miner allowed a combined four earned runs. The remainder of the relief corps including Cesar Jimenez, Justin De Fratus, Jonathan Papelbon, Jake Diekman and B.J Rosenberg combined for 6 2/3 scoreless innings while Sunday’s originally scheduled starter Tyler Cloyd was called upon to toss five scoreless frames.

As the need to use Cloyd approached, the Phillies dugout got in touch with general manager Ruben Amaro Jr. to consult him on the possibility of having Halladay return to Philly, instead of taking the mound in Reading on Sunday. The GM obliged and Cloyd was used in relief to begin the 12th inning with no end in sight.

In Halladay’s most recent rehab effort on Tuesday, the 36-year-old, who has been out of action since May following shoulder surgery, allowed seven hits while striking out four and walking three in six innings for Class A Lakewood. He threw 90 pitches, 52 of which were strikes, in that effort and gave up two runs, although only one was earned.

In his nightly press conference Phils manager Ryne Sandberg confirmed that with the taxed bullpen, the team anticipated adding a rested relief pitcher to the mix on Sunday prior to the team’s 1:35 PM series finale against Arizona. Cloyd, who threw 91 pitches, and Rosenberg, who pitched three straight days, are the likely candidates to be demoted.

Continue reading 18-inning Marathon Results in Early Return For Doc

  • 33 Comments
 

Phillies Win Via Third Straight Walk-Off

Posted by Jonathan Nisula, Fri, August 23, 2013 10:23 PM Comments: 5

PHOTO: AP

PHOTO: AP

SHRIMP. With the bases loaded in the bottom of the ninth inning, and the Phillies and Diamondbacks wearing throwback uniforms for retro night,  Chase Utley drew a walk to give the Phillies their third straight win–all via the walk-off. They’ve now won five of their last six.

The inning started off with two straight singles by Cody Asche and Jimmy Rollins, followed by an intentional walk to Michael Young. Kevin Frandsen struck out swinging, but Utley was able to draw the game-winning walk off a wild Eury De La Rosa.

Cole Hamels had a decent start, giving up three runs over seven innings. He gave up six hits, struck out four, and walked one. His ERA is now 3.62. Jonathan Papelbon pitched a scoreless ninth, his sixth scoreless appearance in his last seven outings.

Darin Ruf homered again, his 10th of the year. Domonic Brown, Carlos Ruiz, and Ruf all had multiple hits.

UP NEXT

The Phillies and Diamondbacks are back at it again tomorrow, with Randall Delgado pitching for the D-Backs and Ethan Martin Pitching for the Phillies.

 

  • 5 Comments
 
Previous Page