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Phillies Have Puny Presence On Prospect Lists

Keith Law has released his Top-100 Prospects list for 2008.

The Phillies have one representative: pitcher Carlos Carrasco, at No. 53.

Here’s what Law had to say:

“The Phillies’ system is not strong, and Carrasco is the one legitimate above-average prospect in it at the moment. Carrasco’s best attribute is his easy velocity, mostly 90-94 and touching 95 at times, with fringe-average command. His secondary stuff is a work in progress, with his short downer curveball ahead of his changeup, on which he slows his arm too much. Because his arm works well, it’s possible to project him as someone who’ll have three average pitches down the road, and he might pick up a few more miles an hour as he fills out or if he lengthens his stride a bit, all of which would make him a solid No. 3 starter in the majors.”

It’s pretty accurate, and while I’m not the best source on Phillies prospects (this is the best source), Law seems to know what he’s writing. Carrasco should figure to be a No. 3, and it’s way too early to tell if pitchers Joe Savery, Kyle Drabek and Andrew Carpenter have the stuff to make a top-100 list.

Kevin Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus also wrote out his top-100 list . He has Carrasco at No. 68 and Joe Savery squeaks in at No. 96.

Truth is, top-100 lists can be misleading. You never know where quality will come from. But it’s a good indication of the state of the Phillies farm system â€” it’s not good, but there’s enough in the middle of the pack that could surprise very soon.

Of all our prospects, I can see Carrasco in the Majors by next season, maybe as the No. 3 starter behind Hamels and Myers. Savery may be projected for late-2009 or 2010, while Drabek and Carpenter seem to be looking more at 2010. Infield prospect Adrian Cardenas could be with the club by next year.

And oddly enough, Law wrote out his top-five prospects for each team. Here’s his Phillies list:

Carlos Carrasco, rhp
Joe Savery, lhp
Kyle Drabek, rhp
Josh Outman, lhp
Travis d’Arnaud, c

Cardenas is not listed here, and maybe it’s a bit high for Drabek?

Tim Malcolm

Tim first found the Phillies as a little infant at Veteran’s Stadium, cheering on a Juan Samuel game-winning home run in his very first game. With the pinstripes in his blood, he witnessed Terry Mulholland’s 1990 no-hitter, “Steve Carlton Night” at the Vet, game three of the 1993 World Series, countless games during the charmed 2008 championship season and various road excursions. Since November 2007 Tim’s been writing about them daily at Phillies Nation, becoming one of the world’s most popular Phillies scribes. You can catch him on Twitter and Facebook, as well. When he’s not talking about the Phils he’s relaxing with a St. Bernardus ABT 12 or one of his many favored brews.