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With Ordonez, Risks Outweight Benefits

Now that Magglio Ordonez has been pulled out, let’s look at him a little further.

He does make much more sense than Matt Holliday, who will be a free agent after 2009 and command a Herculean deal. Here are the benefits of Ordonez:

  • A lifetime .312 hitter who hit .363 in 2007.
  • A guy who strikes out less than 80 times per season.
  • A right-handed hitter who can break up Chase Utley and Ryan Howard.
  • Team control possible in 2010 and 2011.

The downfalls, however, are large:

  • A history of knee problems.
  • $18 million the Phils would have to pay much of in 2009.
  • Potential $15M in those 2010 and 2011 seasons.

According to Bless You Boys, the Tigers are trying to get relief pitching, catching and/or a shortstop. Some names I can immediately throw into the fire: Ryan Madson, Carlos Ruiz, Lou Marson, Jason Donald.

A trade for Ordonez would likely mean taking on most of his salary, plus adding either Marson or Donald. Maybe a smaller, minor league filler player, as well.

So, would eating a potential $30M through three years, plus — let’s say — Lou Marson and Antonio Bastardo be the kind of deal that we’d want?

I don’t know if that’s good. Ordonez is a skilled hitter, but the money is too large, and the Phils would still have to give the Tigers some sort of young bounty. You’re also looking at a potential injury risk with Ordonez playing everyday in left field. Would I be happy with a Rocco Baldelli out in left field? Not necessarily. But I’d be unhappier with the cost of Magglio.

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Tim Malcolm

Tim first found the Phillies as a little infant at Veteran’s Stadium, cheering on a Juan Samuel game-winning home run in his very first game. With the pinstripes in his blood, he witnessed Terry Mulholland’s 1990 no-hitter, “Steve Carlton Night” at the Vet, game three of the 1993 World Series, countless games during the charmed 2008 championship season and various road excursions. Since November 2007 Tim’s been writing about them daily at Phillies Nation, becoming one of the world’s most popular Phillies scribes. You can catch him on Twitter and Facebook, as well. When he’s not talking about the Phils he’s relaxing with a St. Bernardus ABT 12 or one of his many favored brews.

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